THREAD: Mexico's August 1 referendum as to whether to investigate former presidents & other actors for past crimes will be hindered by the fact that the National Electoral Institute is only setting up 57,000 precincts, a fraction of last month's midterms.
2. The Institute claims it simply doesn't have the money to set up more precincts. But as @HernanGomezB points out, the real truth is that the directors blow their budget on obscene salaries, benefits, bonuses, "advisers", meal budgets, and more.
3. The number of precincts is important, because the referendum needs a 40% participation rate in order to be legally binding. Offering fewer places to vote -with the longer lines that will ensue- is effectively a way to sabotage the vote.
4. And if the genuine concern was cost, they should've combined the ballot measure with last month's elections, as most countries do. But neither the Right nor the Institute wanted this, because they feared a higher turnout for MORENA.
5. So now, because of crude political calculations, we have a referendum held needlessly a month after the midterms, with insufficient publicity and precincts.
This kind of structural sabotage does not bode well for future referendums.
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1. "On this July 4, we would do well to renounce nationalism and all its symbols: its flags, its pledges of allegiance, its anthems, its insistence in song that God must single out America to be blessed...
2. "Our citizenry has been brought up to see our nation as different from others, an exception in the world, uniquely moral, expanding into other lands in order to bring civilization, liberty, democracy. That self-deception started early.
3. "When the first English settlers moved into Indian land in Massachusetts Bay and were resisted, the violence escalated into war with the Pequot Indians. The killing of Indians was seen as approved by God, the taking of land as commanded by the Bible.
1. El día del #1DeJulio de 2018 estuvimos realizando observación electoral en Ixtapalapa; de hecho, nos tocó en la misma casilla que @danieljadue, el próximo presidente de Chile.
Vimos, sin poder hacer nada, muchísima evidencia de compra de votos, "casas amigo", todo.
2. Después del cierre de la votación, tuvimos que retirarnos para preparar nuestra primera transmisión para @jacobin. En el taxi de regreso, oímos a Meade reconocer su derrota en la radio. Poco después, siguió Anaya. En el centro, la gente empezaba a salir.
3. El festejo. Incluso había personas que, por antecedente histórico, estaban listas para pelear otra fraude. No resultó ser necesario.
1. A look at local numbers reveals the breadth of #MORENA's victory in last Sunday's #Mexican midterms. Of the 19 state legislatures won, in 5 of them it swept *every single seat*; in 7 more it won between 70-80%.
2. These super-majorities will give #MORENA the power to amend state constitutions, enshrining labor, women's & social rights. As most crimes are state level, it'll also allow legislatures to pass amnesty measures for non-violent "offenses" such as drug possession and abortion.
3. In 2019, the #MORENA-majority legislature in #Oaxaca surprised the nation by legalizing abortion. With the party now set to govern 19 states, it can take the lead on key issues at the state level, pushing the federal party to act where it won't alone.
After suffering through various forms of fraud in election after election, #Mexican voters are fighting back: here, in Nacozari de García, Sonora, citizens stopped municipal employees from the conservative PAN from attempting to buy votes with foodstuffs.
Unfortunately, in other parts of the country, these practices continue unabated.
Here, Cándido Coheto, legislative candidate for the #PRI-#PAN coalition in Villa Alta, #Oaxaca, demands a helicopter come to deliver money to buy votes or "we're screwed."
Still in #Oaxaca, a truck and warehouse were discovered with more foodstuffs allegedly for vote-buying by the #PRI in the Colonia Jardín neighborhood.
While thousands of #Mexican poor languish in prisons for months or years before ever getting to a trial, a judge in #Tamaulipas grants Governor Francisco García Cabeza de Vaca an injunction against the federal arrest warrant out for him.
Cabeza de Vaca, of the conservative #PAN party, is accused of some $6.5 million pesos' worth of fraud and diversion of resources, purportedly used to rack up a series of luxury properties. He is also suspected of ties with the Sinaloa Cartel.
The Federal Congress stripped him of his political immunity in order to clear the way for a trial. But the state legislature in Tamaulipas has refused to recognize the order and is protecting him, even sending armed vehicles to guard his residence.
1. #PRI's gonna PRI: the candidate for governor of the State of Nuevo León, Mexico is trying to buy votes.
Adrián de la Garza's campaign has distributed pink debit cards, promising women a bimonthly stipend will be deposited into it if he wins.
2. Electoral law is crystal clear in this respect. Article 7 imposes fines and a sentence of six months to three years in prison for those who (Section VI) "seek votes through payment, promise of money or other compensation."
(*Click on image to see full page.*)
3. At his press conference denouncing the act, AMLO asked, "Where's the INE?"
Answer: busy contradicting itself. Here's @CiroMurayamaINE saying one thing in 2017 and the exact opposite in 2021, even though the law on this is even clearer now than then.