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David Henig Profile picture
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4 Jul, 4 tweets, 2 min read
I think by now pretty much the entirety of the EU, plus those watching in the US, plus Northern Ireland politicians, believe the UK government is operating in bad faith over the Northern Ireland protocol. Which of course is no basis for progress. theguardian.com/politics/2021/…
It would seem more reasonable for the UK government to say things aren't working out as we thought if it hadn't tried to deny what the Northern Ireland protocol meant and break international law last year, or spent this year solely blaming the EU. The insincerity is glaring.
Without wanting to say this in so many words the EU and US believe the UK is inciting unionist communities to get out of a treaty. They struggle to negotiate with that. Meanwhile the UK government has never accepted the Brexit Northern Ireland trilemma.
As the UK government won't walk away with no deal, won't align, won't accept the protocol as it negotiated, and will blame the EU for that and not changing fundamentally, there isn't obviously much that can be done right other than keep going round the same horrible circles. Ugh.

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More from @DavidHenigUK

David Henig Profile picture
4 Jul
In line with European and US fashion for economic intervention. But is a competition with Conservatives over who can reward more cronies wise? Also plays into the continuing wrong narrative that the UK makes nothing. And does nothing for most workers. theguardian.com/politics/2021/…
Politics understood, desire to make more in the UK etc. But we do make lots of stuff here from whisky to rolls royce engines, JCB, sports cars etc. Just not employing as many as they used to do. As well as being a services world leader. Then trade this for stuff we don't produce.
As is increasingly noted, the chances of bringing back the same manufacturing to the same regions which lost it many years ago is ridiculously small. Improving the jobs and self employed conditions, absolutely. Smarter procurement yes - but that is not in any way new.
Read 4 tweets
David Henig Profile picture
3 Jul
My 3-0 England prediction off to a good start.
Though think England need to do more when attacking, too often having to go back for lack of support high up the pitch
England rather tailed off in their way, Sterling and Sancho impressive, but it isn't quite the glorious performance the commentators are suggesting. Need a bit more.
Read 9 tweets
David Henig Profile picture
2 Jul
Oh look, UK government ministers once again inciting divisions in Northern Ireland in preference to admitting what they signed. In July, the most sensitive month for Northern Ireland politics. irishtimes.com/opinion/we-mus…
Which of the 300-plus EU regulations that the UK government committed by treaty to apply in Northern Ireland do ministers now wish in fact not to apply? And when precisely were these assumptions and expectations laid out?
Those operating in good faith do not constantly undermine and deny the agreement they signed. Or indeed regularly write articles saying someone else is to blame. Indeed this article will be viewed by those on the other side as emotional blackmail.
Read 8 tweets
David Henig Profile picture
2 Jul
Proper football. Best two teams so far and it looks like it.
Italy brilliant in the first half hour, so far the better side
What a half of football. As good as it gets at international level.
Read 5 tweets
David Henig Profile picture
1 Jul
A useful summary from @MESandbu of the new globalisation, and in particular the move towards what I call 'conditional trade' - where imports of for example food may have to meet the same conditions as domestic production. ft.com/content/7b844d…
An article referenced, not paywalled, on the new globalisation. I think we are likely to see a more complex picture, with outright protectionism and subsidies in some areas, and free flows of trade in others. And supply chains weaving around restrictions. project-syndicate.org/commentary/fut…
In a sense the UK government's confusion over trade is actually a good representation of the globalisation debate in 2021. Talking free trade while increasing barriers, combining regulatory autonomy with the rules of trade partners, and introducing animal welfare and similar.
Read 4 tweets
David Henig Profile picture
30 Jun
The Nissan story is just as important to Brexit as Northern Ireland. It has become the emblem of the red wall and Brexit. Which means it must survive. And given a need to export to the EU that means the UK government can't afford to provoke a trade conflict. (clip from Tortoise) Image
As with Northern Ireland, the government is going to talk tough with the EU, and make bold claims on divergence. There will be trade deals. But ultimately gravity and the pull of a large market next door will win.
For the time being the rough equilibrium is the UK government talking tough re. the EU and hoping their supporters don't notice the lack of significant divergence. But that still doesn't feel terribly sustainable in the long term.
Read 9 tweets

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