@chrischirp
Q: What *exactly* does "70.4% effectiveness" mean?

Does it mean 70.4% will gain total immunity no matter how huge the viral load / number of exposures?

Or does it mean, everyone gets a bit of an immune boost, so an individual needs 100÷(100-70.4)=3.37 x as..
..big a viral load to succumb (or 3.37 x as many encounters).

This is a genuine question and the answer has big implications for the UK.

Because it seems like the Gov policy is to deliberately raise a child army of covid vectors and unleash them.

As I understand it
"effectiveness" is calculated by comparing infection rate in say 50K vaccinated and 50K unvacfinated people in the same community, ie the same exposure profile... what happens when the government throws virus-bomb into the population, creating artificially high exposure?
I don't know if this has ever been tested (though native Americans and "smallpox blankets" comes to mind) but I guess we are about to find out.

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More from @mac_puck

5 Jul
Given the blizzard of lies emanating from Lord Frost right now, this BBC article is a useful reality check. It dates from 17.10.2019 - the day that the text of the "oven ready deal" was agreed.

bbc.com/news/uk-500830…
It makes it clear that all goods would face customs checks, and those deemed at risk of being transported to Ireland would pay taxes at the GB/NI point of entry.

This history has been rewritten into "only 'at risk' goods were supposed to be checked". "EU moving the goalposts"
Simply not true.

Then there is the issue of regulatory checks. The BBC article of 17.10.2019 made it perfectly clear the UK agreed to checks between GB & NI, EU officials present, with power to overule.

Now Frost is acting all surprised.
Read 4 tweets
2 Jul
When all you have is a hammer everything looks like a nail. But the Bastani / Jones strategy of hyper-motivating a core of "working class voters" demonstrably failed in GE19.

1/
And the Blue Labour response - target the working class voters who switched to the Tories via UKIP & Brezi's, by saying "look! we can be racists too!" is the ultimate blind alley. Why buy Pepsi when you can have the real thing?

2/
What if there is another path? An offer to the "ordinary decent Tories" in the shires? They are probably only a third of Tory voters (the rest being xenophobes and/or authoritarians) but I am convinced there is a constituency of small c conservatives who are

3/
Read 7 tweets
26 Jun
Basically we are seeing a gang war between two of the most powerful families within the Tory OCG. Cummings is a button man for Gove, capo in the Murdoch regime.

He has carried out a botched hit on Hancock, who is now, figuratively, on a saline drip in an unguarded hospital room.
Hancock is a made man in "the Tufton Street gang", running a crew for underboss Neil Record.

So far the Bratva (Russian mafia) have not got involved. Their front man, Boris Johnson, is under orders to keep a lid on things and not draw too much heat from feds.
His boss, Lebedev, is a consiglieri who reports directly to underboss Vladimir Putin, who is second only to boss of bosses, Semion Mogilevich.

The 2 other main families in the Tory OCG are: corrupt property developers and "the firm" - a group of high ranking Met police officers.
Read 4 tweets
10 Jun
Nice province - shame if sumfing 'appened to it...

John Stevens' collusion inquiry into the West Belfast UDA and murder of Belfast solicitor Pat Finucane found that of 210 UDA members it probed 207 were on the British State payroll. That's 98.5%.

1/
Initially, the British Army briefed Stevens that "no dedicated Military Intelligence unit operates in Northern Ireland" and he only found out about the Force Research Unit when senior RUC officers blamed the unit for an arson attack that took place at his Inquiry headquarters

2/
It turns out the FRU was involved in the murders of over 200 British citizens in the 70's and 80's in Northern Ireland - although the victims were mostly Catholics, so maybe the FRU didn't class them as "proper" citizens... or "people" even? But it "taught them a lesson".

3/
Read 8 tweets
11 Sep 20
Any fule kno "renewables aren't reliable"; "are expensive"; "are difficult to integrate into grids"

The problem is the fools never, EVER, bother to check the facts. So this thread is for all you fools out there, to save you 30 seconds googling.

Continued...
1. Reliability
University of Pennsylvania have done some good data digging: repository.upenn.edu/psr/vol1/iss8/…

They looked at SAIDI - average interruption duration ( minutes) of States in US and countries in EU.

Higher %ge renewable = longer SAIDI, right? WRONG.
Quite the opposite.
And the German switch to renewables the "Energiewand" must have led to an increased SAIDI, yes? NO.
Read 11 tweets
23 Jul 20
Does anyone else feel a bit disappointed that the ISC report mentioned "9 Russians" but did not name them?

Actually you can find out quite a lot with a bit of googling...
This might not be "the 9", but I bet there is some crossover....

@fascinatorfun @BenPBradshaw @peterjukes
1. Lubov Chernukhin, wife of Vladimir, one-time Putin crony & head of Sberbank, who has been charged with multimillion dollar fraud.

dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2… Image
2. Sergei Romashov, who is linked to Putin. His frontman at Rise Capital is Gerardo Lopez, who donated 400K to the Tories 2 months before the ref. theguardian.com/politics/2016/… Image
Read 20 tweets

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