Trump faces criminal & civil trials in over 20 cases. These 4 will get him life in prison (each)
1. Weisselberg (NY State: tax fraud) 2. Giuliani (Federal: Ukraine) 3. Matt Gaetz (Federal: bribes Presidential pardons) 4. Roger Stone (Federal: Jan 6)
Scheduling Update Thread 2/
My TW feed was the first anywhere to give you expected schedule of indictments
Weisselberg indicted July 1 (as I said, July or Aug)
Next up:
Giuliani will be indicted in July or Aug
Matt Gaetz in Aug or Sept
Roger Stone Autumn 2021 to Spring 2022
Scheduling Update Thread 3/
The Weisselberg path (5 SEPARATE criminal cases, Manhattan DA/NY Taxes is only FIRST of 5) is the FASTEST to get Trump in prison
Allen was indicted Thursday. There are MORE criminals who committed SAME tax fraud with Allen. More than 1 more.
Scheduling Update Thread 4/
At least 1 of co-criminals committed BIGGER tax fraud than Allen Weisselberg (biggest will be Trump)
Allen FINANCIAL penalty is about $3M incl back taxes & penalties. Trump will be much more
Allen prison TIME is about 12 years. Trump is same OR more
Scheduling Update Thread 5/
There is a Special Grand Jury, which sits to November. It took SGJ one month to indict Weisselberg. There will be MORE INDICTMENTS in this case, by November. It is LIKELY (but not certain) we get more roughly 1 per month. Maybe 4-5 more indictiments
Scheduling Update Thread 6/
This Special Grand Jury will not have to END after November, it CAN BE EXTENDED to indict EVEN MORE criminals, if needed.
My GUESS is that next up will be Trump kids. Possibly Don Jr or Eric next, but could be Calamari (or Ivanka or Jared)
Scheduling Update Thread 7/
With Allen Weisselberg, his WIFE and at least one of his sons, has ALSO committed tax fraud with prison time. They have not been indicted YET. This is because Manhattan DA can issue 'superceding indictments' unless Allen flips & rats out Trump
Scheduling Update Thread 8/
I told you, to expect Allen Weisselberg trial THIS AUTUMN. We have the first court date, it is Sept 20 (again, I was correct)
It is LIKELY but not CERTAIN that Allen flips before 20 Sept
It is POSSIBLE we get a Trump kid or employee to flip by then
Scheduling Update Thread 9/
Note, Trump & Idiot Sons 1 & 2, Beavis & Butthead, have CONFESSED to the Weisselberg crimes now, this past weekend - on video. Trump at Sarasota Rally. Eric & Don Jr on Fox. Their videos will be played in court to the juries (unless one pleads guilty)
Scheduling Update Thread 10/
Allen Weisselberg will be convicted of tax fraud & Grand Larceny, get 12 years prison time & pay $3 million unless he flips & testifies (then likely 5 years + $1M)
I have predicted Allen flips, but we do not know WHEN he does so. Remember FIVE cases
Scheduling Update Thread 11/
Weisselberg & Trump will be convicted of FIVE criminal financial cases
1 NY taxes (Manhattan DA)
2 Money laundering, Mafia (NY AG)
3 Sanctions busting, Russia (Federal)
4 Inaugration & campaing fraud (Federal)
5 Emoluments etc during POTUS (Federal)
Scheduling Update Thread 12/
Like ANY Mafia trial, the BOSS is ALWAYS tried LAST. Weisselberg is STEP:
1 - Michael Cohen
2 - Weisselberg
3 - Don Jr/Eric/Ivanka
4 - Trump
NEXT INDICTMENTS will NOT BE Trump. It will be his KIDS (and/or Calamari, others in Trump Org)
Scheduling Update Thread 13/
SECOND path to take Trump to prison is Giuliani rogue foreign policy & OTHER Giuliani crimes. There are at least 6:
1 Ukraine
2 Venezuela
3 Turkey
4 Georgia Big Lie
5 Arizona Big Lie
6 Jan 6th Insurrection
Ukraine is FIRST trial against Rudy Colludy
Scheduling Update Thread 14/
Giuliani's arrest is near. I said it happens in July or August. His home & lawyer offices were raided by FBI. Evidence seized is with Special Master. When SP releases evidence to federal prosecutors, a few days/weeks after that Rudy is arrested
Scheduling Update Thread 15/
This arrest is CERTAIN to happen, but exact date is not yet clear. The Special Master is SAME as with FBI raid of lawyer office of Michael Cohen
Expect Giuliani arrested now in July or Aug. This goes to trial also this Autumn
Scheduling Update Thread 16/
Like in Weisselberg case: Giuliani has confessed to this crime on TV. There is a person who flipped (Lev Parnas). There is TONS of evidence against Giuliani. Trump has already confessed to Rudy being his man on the crime. And again there are OTHERS
Scheduling Update Thread 17/
Like with Weisselberg, Giuliani is Mafia trial, BOSS goes LAST
1 Lev Parnas
2 Giuliani
3 Pompeo, Bill Barr, Jared
4 Trump
I do NOT expect further INDICTMENTS until we Rudy flips (I promise he will), and level 3 trials happen before Trump himself
Scheduling Update Thread 18/
The notorious serial butt-dialer & ex attorney Rudy Giuliani is TERRIFIED of prison, for good reason. He was a prosecutor who sent Mafia murderers to life sentences. There is no prison where Rudy will be safe. He was blackmailing Trump for a pardon
Scheduling Update Thread 19/
Like with Weisselberg, Giuliani FIRST Trial (Ukraine) leads to MORE trials ALSO CONVICTING Rudy AND Trump
When Rudy flips & confesses, he has to confess ALL HIS CRIMES and agree to testify against ALL other co-criminals involved, incl Jan 6 Insurrec
Scheduling Update Thread 20/
THIRD criminal case is OFF SHOOT of Matt Gaetz teen rape case. Trump has been selling Presidential Pardons, with at least Roger Stone & Jared involved
Matt Gaetz will flip on Roger Stone & Trump because this is FEDERAL case (Florida Gov Death Santis cannot pardon him). IT carries MANDATORY MINIMUM sentence of 10 years. Gaetz faces about 25 years. Child rapists do not have pleasant prison time
Scheduling Update Thread 22/
Like with Weisselberg & Giuliani, this is MAFIA trial boss goes last:
1 Greenberg
2 Matt Gaetz
3 Roger Stone & Jared
4 Trump
NOTE there are 5 OTHER rapists in Florida who raped with Matt Gaetz & Greenberg. Expect surprises..
Scheduling Update Thread 23/
Gaetz will not get us Trump directly
He gets us Roger Stone (who is in more trouble in the 4th path, see next). But Gaetz does have to confess to all his crimes & will add incriminating testimony against Trump
Roger Stone gets Trump PARDON crimes
Scheduling Update Thread 24/
Note Trump is TERRIFIED of Matt Gaetz case because if could unravel his lucrative crime of selling Presidential pardons. Remember he sold them to powerful people. Trump does not want to cross all those criminals and have the pardons revoked...
Scheduling Update Thread 25/
FOURTH path to send Trump to prison for life, is his worst crime against America: organizing the terrorist attack of January 6th insurrection. This criminal case is in EARLY investigation, with first TRIALS expect in February 2022
(That is normal)
Scheduling Update Thread 26/
Do not yell at ME, for informing YOU that a normal criminal prosecution takes MORE THAN A YEAR. This is NORMAL
BUT we have a SHORTCUT because of efficient work by the FBI. It is Roger Stone's Oath Keepers domestic terrorist gang.
Scheduling Update Thread 27/
The Feds have already received THREE CONFESSIONS of Oath Keepers. At least TWO of them are now cooperating witnesses - against Roger Stone
My first preliminary scheduling estimate is that Roger Stone is indicted this Autumn or next Spring.
Scheduling Update Thread 28/
Like any Mafia trial, the boss is tried LAST
This PATH is as follows:
1 Oath Keeper flips (2)
2 Roger Stone
3 Gen Flynn, Erik Prince, Bannon, Don Jr, Giuliani, My Pillow Guy
4 Trump
Getting Roger Stone makes this prosecution FASTER
Scheduling Update Thread 29/
The CONGRESSIONAL Select Committee of January 6th will HELP find witnesses, evidence, testimony in the case against Trump and the organizers of the terrorist attack of Jan 6 Insurrection
This case may VERY WELL see SIGNIFICANT short cuts
Stay tuned
UPDATE - CHANGE IN MATT GAETZ SCHEDULE
One day after this Thread, attorneys in Greenberg (= Matt Gaetz) case have requested 90 day delay in Sentencing, because he has apparently much more to testify (more people or crimes to rat out). Gaetz now Nov-Dec
I am doing my first preliminary estimate of TOTAL prison time awarded to Trump, now that we see his trials are coming, and have some visibility on the TYPES of crimes with Giuliani, Weisselberg, Roger Stone etc
("Number are my buddies!")
Preliminary Trump Sentencing Thread 2/
This thread builds partly on the reasoning in my Thread about the schedules of Trump trials coming up. You may find it helpful to first read this thread:
This thread is about YEARS of prison time. But often prison sentences are LIFE sentences. There are years associated with Life sentences that vary (state vs Federal etc). Here is short thread about Life and Years:
To understand time - prison time - we need briefly to discuss life. Life sentences.
Many people who receive a Life Sentence in state prisons are released after about 15 years served, because of parole. So a 'typical' life sentence in a STATE conviction is about 15 years, roughly
To understand time - prison time - we need briefly to discuss life. Life sentences.
Federal life sentences do not have possibility of parole. But their duration is most typically 20 years
Then there are 'Determinate' Life sentences without parole, for actual 'life remaining'
Those federal Life sentences that actually mean the full remaining life span, are for very serious crimes like treason, mass murderers, terrorists.
In our case, with Trump, Weisselberg & Giuliani old men in their 70s, let's estimate that life would end in about 25 years, roughly
Tweeps? These 3 confessions. Trumps REALLY are this stupid. Their plan is to escape a speeding ticket by admitting to the speeding but saying others also speed at that point.
That is EXACTLY what they are doing. They have ALL confessed now. They go to prison on tax evasion
Remember this is VERY serious tax fraud, systematic tax fraud over 16 years, for which the prosecutors have the double accounting records.
The penalty for Don Jr & Eric is of scale of 5 years in prison and $3 million in back taxes and penalties. Each.
For Donald Trump the time is equivalent to Weisselberg so 12 years on this tax fraud scheme and grand larceny related to it. And Trump taxes due and penalties, I estimated at $60 million dollars
On this one tax fraud criminal case alone (= Weisselberg 1 out of 5 cases to come)
I will do my ADDITIONAL reasons, after these 10 excellent reasons by Richard Signorelli. I will retweet EACH of his brilliant Tweets, and comment on a few points, before I add my reasons. This is excellent analysis, Richard. Thank you!
Richard's first 3 reasons. VERY IMPORTANT point number 3: Weisselberg is no fool. He is affluent. He has hired INDEPENDENT and competent attorney (not a lunatic like say Giuliani would be telling bedtime stories to Trump).
Richard's second set of reasons. Item Nr 5. Trump WILL TURN on Allen Weisselberg. Trump HAS to blame Allen that this is an evil plot by an evil accountant who stole money from Trump behind his back. This is a 'killer' argument
Thursday was Weisselberg Day as Trump's accountant and his company CFO surrendered, was indicted on 15 counts of criminal financial frauds including tax evasion.
This thread summarizes what I learned incl great discussions with my Tweeps
Tomi's Take on Weisselberg Day 2/
We learned Weisselberg has been indicted on 15 counts. He is due $1 million dollars in unpaid taxes and could get 5 years. He is charged with Grand Larceny on systematically falsifying tax documents over 16 years which could add 7 years.
Tomi's Take on Weisselberg 3/
Weisselberg arrived at 6:15 AM voluntarily to surrender. He was cuffed. He entered plea of not guilty to all 15 charges. He was considered a flight risk. He surrendered his passport. He was released without bail because these are non-violent crimes.
As Trump Allen Weisselberg CFO to Trump Org and Donald's accontant surrendered today to Manhattan DA, arrested on Tax Fraud crimes against NY state, I have updated my Weisselberg Threads, & added some related Threads about secret Trump Pardons, Flight risk etc.
Today 1 July 2021 Allen Weisselberg surrendered (as I had predicted, with the first published timeline anywhere, for all major Trump crime cases due this year)
This is Manhattan DA & NY Taxes. To understand the case, here is the thread:
Allen Weisselberg is not only investigated for the Manhattan DA case of NY tax crimes with Trump. They are involved in FIVE different financial crimes now under investigation. This thead discusses the 4 OTHER financial crimes: