A reminder from @AdamJKucharski about why we need to distinguish between isolation (for the infected) and quarantine (for the contacts of infected not yet testing positive)
And why we should be cautious about exempting the vaccinated from quarantine.
For instance. We know that 🇮🇱 is seeing a resurgence of infection (& now hospitalisations).
This outbreak cluster of 75 students started with a chain of 1 fully vaccinated person returning from the U.K. being infected and infecting another fully vaccinated person.
🦠🦠🦠 32,548 new cases ⬆️ 42% on a rolling 7 day average
In fact, looking at cases by swab date we can see we already breached 30k cases in a day on Monday.
⚰️ 28 day deaths (33) ⬆️ 42.5% on a rolling 7 day average
Noticeable increases now.
🏥 headline figures understate the present reality due to data lag
The 386 admitted headline is below England admissions which were 416 on Monday
Likely another 60 on top looking at the other 3 nations 475.
🛏 IN hospital is likely close to 2.6k
Ventilator 🛌 likely 420
💉 vaccination about 239k doses. So it continues to decline over delivery a month or so ago.
Whether the issue is supply of Pfizer/ Moderna or uptake hesitancy or both I do not know, but unhelpful when we are seeing such reckless reopening planning by the Government.
🇮🇱 COVID infections spike by 50%
501 new coronavirus cases on Monday, ⬆️ 50% from Sunday
The figure is the highest since March 30, when 571 tested positive for the virus
74 patients are hospitalized, 43% of whom were fully vaccinated. 5 were added on Monday, including 3 who were vaccinated.
Israel has fully vaccinated c55% of its population with another c10% single dosed
There is a big drive to vax teenagers now (16-19 already vaxxed)
33 patients in serious condition, a decline of 2 from the previous day. The figure includes 17 in critical condition, & 16 who are currently on ventilators (unclear about vax status)
Cases among children aged 0-11 has also quadrupled in the last week.
⚰️ 60 day deaths (44), 28 day deaths (37) ⬆️ 20% on a rolling 7 day avg, and ⬆️ 60% on same day last week. This will include a bit of a weekend catch up.
23rd April was the last time more than 36 (28-day) deaths reported.
Feels like we are allowing the advantages to slide away
🏥 4 nations data laggy so the headline figures are less than the current reality
406 Admissions
2140 in hospital (likely more than 2,400 given most recent data from each)
Referring to his dead wife’s cancer and chemotherapy and the millions of people with compromised immunity @Peston rightly points out that the prime minister’s freedom day is day of sheer dread for far too many people.
Jackass Johnson and #CovidJavid have shown their true colours
SURELY journalists such as @bbcnickrobinson@billtu@vicderbyshire will rise up as one and speak out on behalf of those who are being treated for cancer and other disorders that leave immune systems compromised - yet who do not have their platform or voice to speak for themselves