One of the things that is interesting to me is teasing out the differences between how digital assets are value relative to the Bitcoin liquidity waterfall & their own inherent properties that drive their network effect inflation.
For example, one can study the narrative drive of Ethereum as a composable, smart contract platform that continues to add diverse use cases like DeFi, NFTs, AMMs, SCs, etc. (network effect drivers) vs. a single purpose digital asset like Monero (XMR), a privacy coin.
What you quickly notice is that for a while XMR & ETH traded at near parity (nascent networks without clear differentiation equally in the shadow of BTC). Once the additional network drivers took hold in ETH the deviation grew substantially.
For a while (between Dec.2017 & ETH & XMR were trading in relative tandem with some fixed premium, ETH ~ 175% or 3.4x the value of XMR & then suddenly started to accelerate in price appreciation (network inflation) w/ respect to XMR (~900%). This is dramatic.
We know anecdotally that BTC being the first, & arguably most single purpose digital asset from a narrative perspective (SoV), enjoys the branding network swell. We also know that ETH will likely see similar narrative swell alongside it's multi-use case inflows.
What I'm interested in is seeing whether or not privacy once again becomes a compelling use (& therefore narrative driver of network swell) once regulations inevitably overshoot on the upstarts that are digital assets to the traditional financial system. Privacy may overshoot!
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1/6 "Hand in hand with this centralisation, or this expropriation of many capitalists by few, develop, on an ever-extending scale, the cooperative form of the labour process, the conscious technical application of science, the methodical cultivation of the soil,..."
2/6 "..the transformation of the instruments of labour into instruments of labour only usable in common, the economising of all means of production by their use as means of production of combined, socialised labour, the entanglement of all peoples in the net of the world market..
3/6 "...and with this, the international character of the capitalistic regime. Along with the constantly diminishing number of the magnates of capital, who usurp and monopolise all advantages of this process of transformation, ..."
This should make you angry if you use PoW chains that utilize concentrated mining pools. Shows via data that there is likely collusion in processing mempool fees are processed & overall resources optimized for the miners. Why anyone would build a financial system on top of this?
Strategic Capacity Management is the name of the game. Keep your resource at a premium at all times, even if means not delivering on the end user. Wow! Talk about being held hostage when blocks are left underutilized even during congested periods.
Tokenized shared platforms (ICOs) w network effects are superior at delivering value to participants than a simple competition between centralized monopolists. Rent seeking can be overcome more efficiently by tokenomics & shared prosperity than competition.
Entrepreneurs essentially become issuing mini-central banks in their micro-economy that represent the platform network but with predetermined issuance policy that participants can transparently view.
The key is DLT allowing for the amelioration of counterparty risk, sharing a common resource, & transparency that reduces the power of platform monopolists (e.g. Uber model).
Wash trading on low ranked unregulated exchanges is highly incentived by rank improvement and attraction of traders that place a premium on liquidity. WT comprises a significant portion of the industry activity, dominates.
Excellent paper by Lin William Cong and team at Cornell.
XRP is the favorite to spook wash trading, but the arbitrage bots collapse the effect in less than 1 week. Likely due to low final settlement chain fees & large investor base.
Application of Benford's Law can catch wash trading exchanges:
Excellent paper by Giovanni Compiani & Matteo Benetoon of UC Berkley on the role of belief in the price action of digital assets over demographics (early vs. late buyers & age). cowles.yale.edu/3a/bcwp-invest…
Creating the model and sorting out some relative effects on a the data set.
The Arbitrary Nature of Economic Policy Preferences 1/ The vast majority of FinTwit / CrypTwit is consumed by the arbitrary application of preferred monetary policies. Constant tribalism between Keynesians/Austrians, De-/Inflationist, Centralists/Decentralists, Traders/Investors.
2/ What are economic principles & "schools of thought" if not arbitrary ideological preferences as to how we as human beings relate to one another? Money & Value are distillations of our collective efforts & obligations to one another across space & time, humans serving humans.
3/ Our collective sense of organization via incentives distill down to the constituent physical elements that constitute our world, matter & energy. Consumption of matter & energy are abstracted into currencies, stores of value, assets, interest rates (time).