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Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
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7 Jul, 5 tweets, 1 min read
No, the NSA may have been spying on foreigners who Tucker Carlson talked to. That's a pretty big difference.
I think most people understand the difference, they just don't want to.
If Dennis Rodman calls up his buddy Kim Jong-un, I'm pretty sure the NSA will be listening. That doesn't mean the NSA is spying on Dennis Rodman. It means they're spying on Kim - as they darn well should be.
Also, let's go back to Tucker's original and explicit claim: that the NSA was TARGETING HIM IN ORDER TO TAKE HIS SHOW OFF THE AIR. There is zero evidence this is true.
BTW, I'm not moving the goal posts here. I laid down the goal posts a week ago when this all began, when I speculated it could be something connected to US surveillance of Guo Wengui.

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More from @prchovanec

Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
9 Jul
If China invaded Taiwan, and President Biden sent US forces to defend it, what would the Fox News/Newsmax narrative be? I am genuinely curious.
I suspect it would be that Biden's weakness invited the invasion, and that he was screwing up the conduct of the war (perhaps on purpose). Unlike with Putin, they couldn't openly side with China.
But I wonder how far it would go. Would it simply be scoring points off Biden, or would they actively oppose the war effort itself?
Read 4 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
8 Jul
The reality is that the US is not driving the push for decoupling and confrontation now. Beijing is.
Some are responding "for some time now". Not true, in my view. The 2008 crisis definitely altered Beijing's view of the US for the worse, but even during Trump's trade war, China was looking for ways to deescalate. This changed in 2019, and solidified in 2020.
You can say "deescalate on their own terms" and that's absolutely correct. But the shift towards China seeing decoupling as an objective is of much more recent vintage, the past two years or so. And I think it's a very alarming trend.
Read 11 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
8 Jul
Preoccupied with the coming July 4 weekend last Friday, I didn't do a download of the June employment report. So I'll rectify that, before any more time goes by.
The US economy added +850,000 new jobs in June. That is still -6.8 million jobs below February 2020. Image
The unemployment rate rose slightly in June to 5.9%. Image
Read 15 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
8 Jul
Tucker did. Even if someone in the US government were aware of Tucker's conversations being intercepted, they (properly) didn't make it public in an attempt to cast aspersions on him. Tucker is the only reason we've heard anything about this.
If Tucker had been "unmasked" for political motives, you'd think we'd have heard about Tucker's calls from someone who wanted to use it to damage him. But we didn't. We heard about it solely from Tucker.
If the US government overhears you talking to foreign agents, doesn't make it public, and maybe - I don't know if this happened or not - privately tells you you've been picked up and might want to be more careful who you talk to, that doesn't strike me as a political hit job.
Read 4 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
8 Jul
A long day reading about aircraft maintenance records, in preparation for check ride.
This is the boring part that nobody even wants to teach you because it's so boring, but you have to know to pass.
"So, you've just realized that your flaps don't work. Are you allowed to take off?"
Read 4 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
8 Jul
US personal income fell -2.0% m/m in May, up +2.8% from a year ago, which put it back down close to trend following another big stimulus-driven spike.
US consumer spending was flat in May, but still up +18.9% compared to the COVID shutdown a year ago. The absolute numbers (below) show it roughly recovered to pre-COVID trend.
The US personal savings rate declined to 12.4%, after an unprecedented spike during COVID, though it remains at levels not seen since the early 1980s.
Read 6 tweets

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