It occurs to me that modern society has led to the perspective that we have immense control of our lives. This was not always true in the past where people could die for many reasons out of their control.
The modern understanding of the word 'tragedy' is that it when someone suffers for something that they could have avoided entirely. That there exists this means of control one's destiny and that it was ignored.
We see this play out on a mass scale with our actions in the pandemic (facemasks and vaccinations) and our absence of risk mitigation against climate change. But we remain utterly perplexed as to why people can't see the tragedy that is happening in slow motion?
Perhaps we aren't aware that a majority of people actually aren't in control of their lives. They live their lives just like people who lived their lives in the first half of the 20th century. They live paycheck to paycheck, not knowing if they've got food on the table tomorrow.
If you live a life without any control of your future, would it matter if you took the vaccine or not? After all, events in the future appear random, and getting infected by Covid appears also as a chance event.
We have to come to grips with the reality that people think very differently because they exist in very different situations. The great divide in current US politics is due to the great divide in how we live our lives. It's a different perspective of what freedoms are available.
The freedoms that the status quo conservatives seek are very different from the freedoms that the progressive liberals seek. One group believes in an idealized perfect world of the present, the other believes that perfection is a continuous process.
The unfortunate reality for all humanity is that the only thing that remains constant is that change happens. We can put our heads in the sand and pretend that it can be avoided, but there are plenty of instances of groups of people who have been left behind as a result.
The point though is that embedding one's heads in the sand is a natural action for those who have a lack of control of this world. Also, note that lack of understanding of this world leads to the feeling of absence of control.
So it should come to nobody's surprise that the exponential growth of technology is leading people to a lesser understanding of this world. That lack of understanding generates a perspective of lack of control of one's destiny.
Thus we are left with a major part of society unable to make decisions to help themselves. We end up with a tragedy at a massive scale.
It occurred to me the @BretWeinstein is crafting his concern about the covid19 vaccines in a way to appeal to a specific crowd and avoiding the more likely dangerous scenario. This is why his message is biased and self-serving. Let me explain.
Weinstein argues that there is a concern that vaccines being imperfect (as they always are) will give the virus an opportunity for a breakthrough that can lead to an arms race. Oddly enough, he doesn't apply the same logic for cures like the unsubstantiated one he promotes.
However, the obvious danger is that the mRNA virus mutates faster proportionally to the size of the unvaccinated and infected group. We already saw this in India where the most dangerous delta variant emerged from a huge population of unvaccinated.
I'm composing this tweetstorm from a tweetstorm of a dream I had. It begins with the idea that Ptolemy's model of the movement of the planets was extremely accurate.
Ptolemy's model was accurate enough to be very useful for navigators of their time. But it worked well because it was finely tuned to fit with observed experimental data.
But was wrong with Ptolemy's model is that it did not correctly capture cause and effect. The earth and the planets revolve around the sun due to gravity and not everything revolves around the earth. This was the Copernicus model which he paid gravely for proposing.
It is a surprise to many that the math used in physics is a weird kind of handwavy math.
"Quantum field theory is mathematics that has not yet been invented by mathematicians." quantamagazine.org/the-mystery-at…
The math in physics is not as rigorous as found in math but it works with extreme accuracy! Maps (i.e. models) are not the territory, but you want your maps to accurately represent the territory.
As Feynman has said "It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong."
It's becoming depressingly obvious that we have to depend on stupid people to do the right thing (see: vaccination and climate change).
We've been under the false assumption that stupid people can be convinced by good arguments and reason. You will have to throw away that assumption forever!
Explain to me why the CDC has masks-wearing guidelines that appeal only to smart people? The damn problem with smart people is that they assume most people are smart enough to understand good reasoning. Wrong!!!