The first thing before a position is initiated is a clear plan must be in place detailing specific entry areas, their associated sell stops, and potential profit-taking zones.
Below are some factors to consider when crafting your trade plan:
✅ Individual Goals
✅ Personal Progress
✅ Current Market Environment
✅ The many fundamental and technical factors relevant to each individual stock, its sector, industry group, and its overall strength relative to the rest of its industry.
2️⃣ Risk Management:
This is the golden key to consistent success in the stock market. Yes, it is even more important than stock selection.
Bernard Baruch, a close friend of Livermore said even being right 3 or 4x out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he cuts his losses.
3️⃣ Annual & Quarterly Earnings:
Look for companies with:
✅ Annual earnings that are positive and have been increasing YoY for at least 3 years.
✅ At least 25% QoQ earnings/sales growth for a minimum of 3 quarters.
These are early indicators a stock may be ready to explode.
4️⃣ Direction of the General Market:
Three-quarters of all stocks follow the direction or trend of the general market. William O’Neil would often say that getting this part of the equation correct is more than half the ballgame.
Keep in mind however that the stock market is half science and half art. Hence, this only solves the first half of the equation. The other half involves qualitative factors that largely concern the overall health and breadth of the market’s leadership.
Understanding how to correctly interpret the action of the market’s leadership is crucial, especially when the general market is in a correction or consolidation mode. Healthy rotation is always the key.
5️⃣ Emotional & Psychological Capital:
Understanding how to properly manage one’s emotional and psychological capital is every bit as important, if not more so than the proper management of one’s financial capital.
This goes well beyond simply understanding your psychology and emotions as they pertain to trading. How you handle your personal life plays a big role as well.
For example, things like your health, the health of your loved ones, all of your relationships, and personal finances are just as important as your trading and must be kept in balance as best as possible.
In general, the RS line for a stock should be in an uptrend and at a bare minimum, confirming new highs in price as a stock moves higher.
When the general market is consolidating or correcting, the RS line should start to make new highs ahead of a stock’s price.
7️⃣ Liquidity:
The more money you manage, the more you will learn to love liquidity. However, extremely large-cap stocks can become quite sluggish and slow.
According to a 40-year study by William O'Neil, if all else is equal when given the choice between two stocks, choose the stock with the lower amount of total shares outstanding in their capitalization.
8️⃣ Institutional Sponsorship:
Large institutions account for over 70% of the market's total volume. Some manage hundreds of billions of dollars. So when one of their portfolio managers decides to take a position in a stock, it can take weeks to months for them to accumulate.
It is often very difficult for large institutions to hide their tracks especially when they are all trying to pile into these same stocks. It is for this reason why heavy volume accumulation or distribution is so important and used to identify institutions entering or exiting.
9️⃣ Optimal Entry:
This is the point where risk/reward is highly skewed in your favor.
❗ Limit your buying activity to stocks that have formed constructive bases.
🔟 New Leadership:
The USA is often on the leading edge when it comes to developing new products and services that change the way we live, work and communicate. These companies are the lifeblood of a healthy bull market and the key ingredient to a sustainable uptrend.
Every bull market or uptrend is led higher by at least 2 or 3 groups of well-established leadership and every new bull cycle should be led by a fresh batch of new leaders.
Rarely does old leadership come back to life, and the ones that do typically take a very long time.
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CANSLIM is a growth stock investing strategy developed by William O’Neil.
O'Neil was the founder of Investor's Business Daily and in 1964 he became the youngest person to ever purchase a seat on the New York Stock Exchange at age 30.
O’Neil's success came from studying the greatest winning stocks of all time and the methods of the most successful investors of all time including Bernard Baruch, Jesse Livermore, Gerald M. Loeb, Jack Dreyfus, and Nicolas Darvas
After a basing/corrective period in the market, new merchandise will start to emerge and show itself as the market is setting up for another uptrend.
Some leaders from the previous run may continue their moves, but often it's the new leaders which will provide the most alpha.
So keep an open mind and search for the stocks that are standing out from the crowd with the strongest combination of superior price + volume action and fundamentals.
📚TraderLion’s Recommending Reading List 📚 (Thread)
⬇️
1. How To Make Money in Stocks - William O’Neil
William J. O'Neil is the founder @IBDinvestors. His #CANSLIM methodology and studies have influenced us at TraderLion & many authors including those in this thread.
Reminiscences is the biography of Jesse Livermore, one of the greatest speculators who ever lived. More than 80 years later, it is still one of the most highly recommended investment books ever written.
Impatience and instant success are built into our minds from the get-go. We want instant wins and instant rewards.
This has as much to do with our psychological build-up as it does with the society we live in.
In this thread, we will cover:
What to do if you are not trading well.
How to stop the drawdowns when no progress is being made.
How to have a systematic process that protects you from yourself.
What to look for when the market gets volatile. (Thread)
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The first thing you should be on the lookout for is tight price action in leadership names. During corrective markets, liquidity is low as market participants take a step back due to uncertainty.
This leads to larger price ranges and therefore tight action is a sign that liquidity is returning to the markets.
As certainty returns, price action becomes tighter and more rational.