@fascinatorfun I think Dilettante Voice has found the smoking gun. Last year HMG ordered enough Pfizer for 20M first doses. By 30th June it had 0.9M left... with more than 15M under 40's to go and AZ contra indicated for them since 7th April.
But Bojo has been signing off PMQ's every week with "we vaccinate, while you procrastinate". If the vaxx programme slams to a halt, he is holed beneath the waterline.
So I reckon he has said "let her rip: they can get immunity by infection instead"
3/
The only downsides being:
Dozens of dead kids
Millions sick.
Tens of thousands with long covid.
Millions of workers isolating.
New variants brewed up.
Infection gives immunity to delta but not lambda.
But his 1 success - vaccination - doesnt turn to brown overnight.
4/4
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I believe the UK Gov. is adopting its new, highly unusual, "let it rip" Covid policy, to conceal a vaccine procurement failure that would be politically devastating for the UK Gov (& for brexit).
Vaccination capacity should increase over time not drop by 60%.
But Johnson would rather feed British kids into the covid mincer than ask the EU for help; it would end his career.
Why not offer to help? It would save lives in Britain *and* in the EU (particularly IRL).
And if it helped UK voters to realise the EU is not the enemy - in fact cares more about the health of Britain's children than its own government does - then all the better.
@chrischirp
Q: What *exactly* does "70.4% effectiveness" mean?
Does it mean 70.4% will gain total immunity no matter how huge the viral load / number of exposures?
Or does it mean, everyone gets a bit of an immune boost, so an individual needs 100÷(100-70.4)=3.37 x as..
..big a viral load to succumb (or 3.37 x as many encounters).
This is a genuine question and the answer has big implications for the UK.
Because it seems like the Gov policy is to deliberately raise a child army of covid vectors and unleash them.
As I understand it
"effectiveness" is calculated by comparing infection rate in say 50K vaccinated and 50K unvacfinated people in the same community, ie the same exposure profile... what happens when the government throws virus-bomb into the population, creating artificially high exposure?
Given the blizzard of lies emanating from Lord Frost right now, this BBC article is a useful reality check. It dates from 17.10.2019 - the day that the text of the "oven ready deal" was agreed.
It makes it clear that all goods would face customs checks, and those deemed at risk of being transported to Ireland would pay taxes at the GB/NI point of entry.
This history has been rewritten into "only 'at risk' goods were supposed to be checked". "EU moving the goalposts"
Simply not true.
Then there is the issue of regulatory checks. The BBC article of 17.10.2019 made it perfectly clear the UK agreed to checks between GB & NI, EU officials present, with power to overule.
When all you have is a hammer everything looks like a nail. But the Bastani / Jones strategy of hyper-motivating a core of "working class voters" demonstrably failed in GE19.
1/
And the Blue Labour response - target the working class voters who switched to the Tories via UKIP & Brezi's, by saying "look! we can be racists too!" is the ultimate blind alley. Why buy Pepsi when you can have the real thing?
2/
What if there is another path? An offer to the "ordinary decent Tories" in the shires? They are probably only a third of Tory voters (the rest being xenophobes and/or authoritarians) but I am convinced there is a constituency of small c conservatives who are
3/
Basically we are seeing a gang war between two of the most powerful families within the Tory OCG. Cummings is a button man for Gove, capo in the Murdoch regime.
He has carried out a botched hit on Hancock, who is now, figuratively, on a saline drip in an unguarded hospital room.
Hancock is a made man in "the Tufton Street gang", running a crew for underboss Neil Record.
So far the Bratva (Russian mafia) have not got involved. Their front man, Boris Johnson, is under orders to keep a lid on things and not draw too much heat from feds.
His boss, Lebedev, is a consiglieri who reports directly to underboss Vladimir Putin, who is second only to boss of bosses, Semion Mogilevich.
The 2 other main families in the Tory OCG are: corrupt property developers and "the firm" - a group of high ranking Met police officers.
Nice province - shame if sumfing 'appened to it...
John Stevens' collusion inquiry into the West Belfast UDA and murder of Belfast solicitor Pat Finucane found that of 210 UDA members it probed 207 were on the British State payroll. That's 98.5%.
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Initially, the British Army briefed Stevens that "no dedicated Military Intelligence unit operates in Northern Ireland" and he only found out about the Force Research Unit when senior RUC officers blamed the unit for an arson attack that took place at his Inquiry headquarters
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It turns out the FRU was involved in the murders of over 200 British citizens in the 70's and 80's in Northern Ireland - although the victims were mostly Catholics, so maybe the FRU didn't class them as "proper" citizens... or "people" even? But it "taught them a lesson".
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