New study finds that, of the people released from jail before trial in San Francisco, half committed new crimes and 1 out of 6 committed a violent crime

"San Francisco’s observed safety rate is substantially lower than local & national validated rates"

sfchronicle.com/bayarea/articl…
I, like many people, have long liked the idea of pre-trial diversion, for some crimes. Why hold people in jail at great cost to taxpayer? Few will re-offend, I thought.

That assumption turned out to be wrong.
“Nobody can look at this report and say we’re doing great. It validates the experience that people in San Francisco are feeling when they’re concerned about crime,” said SF Supervisor @SupStefani

She was rightly skeptical about previous (wrong) reports of low recidivism rates.
Here is a link to the new study

static1.squarespace.com/static/56a45d6…
We don't have to choose between lawlessness and mass incarceration. There is a better way. Cal-Psych. Shelter for all. Abstinent-contingent housing. Addiction recovery as *alternative* to prison.

We need both carrots and sticks

Learn more:

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/why-californ…
The whole narrative that San Franciscans, the most progressive people in America, suddenly became right-wing, tough-on-crime zealots, particularly during the Trump years, never made much sense. It was always more plausible that the increasing crime they experienced was real.
They manipulated the data on re-offending by reporting quarterly rather than annually, says @Twolfrecovery

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More from @ShellenbergerMD

11 Jul
“People wonder how we made it through the heat wave of 2006. The answer is we had San Onofre [nuclear plant] and a number of other plants totaling thousands of megawatts not there today.” - California electricity grid manager, 2020

forbes.com/sites/michaels…
“For years we pointed out that there was inadequate supply after electricity from solar has left the peak. We have indicated that procurement needed to be fixed. We have told regulators over and over that more should be contracted for. That was rebuffed. And here we are”
Despite the on-going energy crisis created by shutting down a nuclear plant that generated power for 3M Californians, Gov @GavinNewsom is moving ahead with plans to shut down another nuclear plant that provides electricity for 3M Californians

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/the-real-rea…
Read 9 tweets
10 Jul
Homeless encampment in Oakland up in flames just now

California cities are sinking into worsening chaos

“When there is no vision, the people perish”

@GavinNewsom @LibbySchaaf
Cory, a spokesperson for the encampment says the rats took over, were wiped out, and then evolved

He thinks the fire was arson

Half the fires In LA are at homeless encampments, while in Oakland fire fighters told me “a lot” and “maybe half”
There are 3 homeless encampment fires PER DAY in Oakland, a *tripling* since 2019

"[The city has] allowed these homeless sites to go unchecked, out of control," West Oakland resident Daniel Burns said. "They’ve become fire hazards”

ktvu.com/news/oakland-b…
Read 22 tweets
6 Jul
That fire in the Gulf of Mexico was bc of a broken gas pipeline, not climate change

Old trees *need* fire

And the gas from the faucet that caught fire wasn't from fracking

The real reason they fear fire in nature is because they're alienated from it

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/the-reason-t…
After a dramatic video of a fire on the surface of the water in the Gulf of Mexico went viral last week, many journalists, scientists, and elected officials referred to it as more evidence of catastrophic climate change.
“The ocean is literally on fire,” tweeted California Governor @GavinNewsom , “but yeah, sure. We can't afford climate action.”

Read 63 tweets
3 Jul
You spread misinformation to distract from your

- effort to kill source of reliable, pollution-free power to 3M people, at a time of blackouts, & replace it w/ nat gas

- cuts to fire prevention

- support for PG&E’s plan to raise rates by $365/ year

- wife’s payola from PG&E
The fire was from a ruptured natural gas pipeline, not climate change:

reuters.com/business/energ…

However, your plan to close Diablo Canyon will increase reliance on natural gas pipelines, something even anti-nuclear activists now admit

blog.ucsusa.org/mark-specht/di…
Your wife, and thus you, took hundreds of thousands of from PG&E
Read 5 tweets
1 Jul
People are blaming heat deaths, fires, & electric shortages on the climate

But their causes are bad forest management & lack of energy & A/C, not marginal changes to temps.

Here's why those who say civilization is unsustainable are making it so

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/the-real-rea…
Journalists, experts, and elected officials are today blaming heat wave deaths, forest fires, and electricity shortages in New York, California, and Texas on climate change
But the underlying cause of those events is lack of air conditioning, lack of electricity, and the failure to properly manage forests, not marginal changes to temperatures.
Read 41 tweets

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