#SecurityCluster
I've earlier argued that we've been betrayed by the security cluster. Here's why:
1. On the day the CC delivered the order for incarceration, they should have known that it was unprecedented and could inflame uncritical minds of his followers
2. A simple strategic risk analysis should have revealed and concluded that immediate and visible preventative measures should have be rolled out.
3. Strategic national feeder routes should have been flagged as potential targets for creating chaos.
4. This would not be new. Past demonstrations have targeted Mooiriver Plaza. And it would have required no more than 20 SANDF members to send a frightening message
5. Shopping malls would also be primary targets. Here also the SANDF should have been deployed.
6. The choice of SANDF is easy to make.Their presence is and has been a disincentive for overzealous reaction.
7. Conclusion:
The SSA and SAPS were negligent in their duty.
The poor assurances + explanations by Dlodlo at the press briefing must be rejected.
The President was very simplistic in his consideration of the implications that could arise from the Zuma incarceration.
In normal countries Dlodlo and Cele would have been fired this past Monday. They don't possess the intellectual capacity to lead
such complex departments.
The 1st responsibility for any government is to protect its citizens and maintain law and order that are prerequisites for development. Security cluster is central to this mandate and responsibility.
It Must be overhauled. Period.

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More from @MotsohiThabang

13 Jul
The planners and perpetrators of these vile acts of looting and destruction are well-off and living on their fat pensions. Many of the poor looters will be in jail. Others have lost their treasured jobs as the businesses they worked for have been erased.
The majority of these businesses are black owned. Many are under insured. Recovery will be impossible. The looters can hardly think this deep. For them the moment is now.
Yet we have warned govmnt about this eventuality. They never listened.
Ours are considered strange voices. They love voices from inside the tent bubble.
These riots manifest policy failure. The ANC has rejected and failed to create mass employment opportunities. Read:
google.com/amp/s/www.busi…
Read 6 tweets
12 Jul
It is absolutely clear that the majority of the looters are mainly young people in all areas.
This is criminality on steroids fueled by poverty and unemployment. The Zuma case was just a trigger.
By definition the situation demands the deployment of the SANDF
SA is a young and nascent democracy. Incidents of this nature can disrupt our democratic institutions. They have already reversed the gains made with investments.
The President seems reluctant to restore order using the SANDF. The price will soon be too high
The single message from all interviews with these unemployed and riotous young people is that they want money and they are hungry.
No platitudes and tough talk will stop this. The momentum has been reached. Only the SANDF can stop this because they are geared
Read 4 tweets
18 Jun
DPE have declined to reveal other offers on the SAA deal. This should not surprise. Reality is that what was on sale was the SAA residual or scrap value. Offers must have been so embarrassingly low that a friendly and leveraged deal was the only option.
The Takatso consortium "deal" must be understood from this backdrop.
Value in SAA was destroyed immediately after Jarana resigned and accelerated by a series of events/missteps that precipitated the BRP intervention.
1) Ill-advised strike by T/Uns in 2019
2) Action by Solidarity to press liquidation
3) Refusal by DPE to disband Board and implement preconditions to facilitate the Ethiopian Airlines option that I advised Jarana to urgently pursue
4) ET had in principle agreed to:
a) at least 51% majority
Read 7 tweets
11 Jun
When the President announced the new in house energy generation caps, he exposed a desperate need for a new form of governance for a critical department like DME to economic recovery. I suggest ot must have a standing committee of five persons.
4 from private sector and the minister as the 1st among equals. The delays and policy uncertainty we have experienced could have been avoided. The problems of ESKOM have been known for decades. His decision could have been made 3yrs ago under this proposal
Instead the market was subjected to the whims of Mantashe who behaves like a 19th Century tin-pot chief. We have had enough of him. He's a real counter-revolutionery on energy matters.
Read 4 tweets
11 Jun
Pravin Gordhan will make a statement on SAA today.
Plse inform yourself about key SAA issues and read this in order to ask informed questions.
Challenge for Jarana was to:
1. Turn SAA from a beaurocratic organisation into
thabangjmotsohi.com/saa-what-might…
commercial operation in a viciously competitive operating context.
2. Ensure that all routes were operated on an operating profit basis. Some routes (almost 50% of them) had been operating at a loss for almost 8 yrs !!!🙆‍♂️🙆‍♂️
This required serious structural
cost cutting. It also meant substantial job losses. These all agreed with trade unions.
His efforts were starting to show results.
But he encountered political and beaurocratic interference and frustration. He resigned.
DME were inexplicably pushed
Read 7 tweets
18 May
Societies in terms or attitudes and cultures naturally reflect the values that have shaped them over time. In a dynamic world and as more connectedness increases, these values also evolve. The younger generation will always be the frontline of change.
As the speed of connectedness increases, change may may also be faster and very dramatic and disruptive. Contemporary South Africa carries the legacy of racialized apartheid exclusion that it must reverse and replace with equitable inclusion at all levels.
It is a task and journey that will also be shaped and guided by evolving new values and attitudes that will reflect growing awareness for diversity and social justice. So, transformation will always be an outcome of changing values and attitudes.
Read 5 tweets

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