What is chlor-alkali cycle-By Charles Fryer
Chairman, Tecnon Orbichem)
-Mr. Fryer noted that the typical
industry cycle for the chlor-alkali sector
involves oscillating demand-supply
movements for chlorine and caustic
soda.
At the beginning of a recovery
from recession, chlorine tends to
bounce back well before caustic soda.
The construction industry being a
favoured early component of any
economic recovery, PVC tends to see
strong demand during the early phase
of an economic recovery,
thus boosting chlorine demand.
-As the recovery progresses, prices of caustic soda – which
go into a wide range of industries – tend
to strengthen, even as PVC demand
tapers down, pushing chlorine prices
down.
In the last part of the cycle
entering a downturn, chlorine prices
reach its lowest point, and caustic soda
prices come off their highs and return
to the low point where they were about
4-5 years earlier at the bottom of the
last recession.

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