The 2020s are the Remote Work decade

A few more predictions of what is likely to emerge

[ a thread ] πŸ’»πŸ πŸŒ
πŸ€– personal RPA: robotic process automation will transform work for individuals

No-code tools that enable workers to built bots that automate menial parts of their roles will be huge
πŸ’€ Death of HQ: the office is dead but offices will persist. They’ll be used less frequently then hardly at all

Co-working, subscription clubs, will emerge that let workers who prefer that mode of work to operate from there
πŸŒ‰ City Unbundling: the allure of the city has been eroded by technology. You can easily spend time there without living there

Cost of living has made them irrational. Modern time-shares for city living, city services being distributed are inevitable in
🧰 Vertical Tools: Notion, Loom, Zoom etc. are incredible horizontal products that do nearly anything

Vertical products that do one thing, operating around a constraint that looks like a feature, will explode to prominence

Meetings, async & culture big opportunities
🟒 Presence: tools that provide an estimate of when you should expect a response will become big

These will measure the tasks your team are doing and use this to set expectations, allowing teams to escalate more easily when necessary
🚐 Remote Living: Work from anywhere RVs will become huge business

Associated business parks and services will spring up. This will happen even more rapidly as self-driving tech emerges

Expect a @Tesla product in this space
🏠 WFH Dominance: the majority of workers will work from home a majority of the time by the end of this decade

Employers will be responsible for ensuring the health and safety of teams operating at home
πŸ’« WFH Experience: offices have emerged to provide incredible experiences inside some companies. Lunches, laundrettes, child care

Companies will differentiate in this domain rapidly. The remote culture and experience a company offers will be a massive attraction for workers
βš–οΈ lifework balance: massive increases in part-time and freelance work

A recognition that we no longer have to sacrifice work for living, we can organize work around our lives
❀️ Family Reconnections: modern living tears families apart. The search for opportunity typically means relocation

Remote will see huge numbers of people return home, leading to more time with friends and family
🧢 Hobbie Renaissance: commuting and city living leave no freedom to do the things we are most passionate about

Working remotely allows us to surf or ski before work, travel more frequently, develop new passions
🀝 Relationships Reimagined: closest social contact decided by your boss’s HR policies is bad

Leads to shallow superficial relationships because the only thing you have in common is your employer's bottom line

Tools that inspire deeper new & existing relationships will be huge
πŸ’° Payment Preferences: workers will have the power to shift the currency they receive payment in at the touch of a button

Fractional ownership of their company over salary will become an option
πŸ‘¨β€πŸ‘©β€πŸ‘§β€πŸ‘¦ Community-Led SaaS: as no-code continues to grow, tech is barely a barrier

Communities become the most important moat a company has
🎫 Remote Visa: small nations coming together in order to attract remote workers at different stages of the year

Huge opportunity to synchronize education to enable families to be more fluid in their locations
🏑 Co-working homes: micro co-working spaces on every street, a decentralized WeWork that comes with all the amenities

They will have great coffee, on-demand fitness equipment, and be an easily accessible space close to home
✈️ Remote Retreats: purpose-built destinations that allow for entire companies to fly into a campus for a synchronous week

Likely staffed with facilitators and educators who train staff on how to maximize effectiveness
πŸ‘©β€πŸ« Democratize Coaching: everyone who wants to will have access to a coach. This will help people perform and optimize

Companies will provide these to teams, remote focussed coaches will be incredibly
πŸ’£ Hybrid Implosion: the worst of both worlds because it dilutes the benefits of remote or office work

The maximization of the negatives of each mode will mean that hybrid companies are the least successful of the 3 options: remote, office, hybrid
πŸ›  Tool Experts: VP of Notion, Head of Figma, Firstbase Manager

The tools needed to effectively work remotely will lead to deep specialists inside organization who optimize the use of that product for that teams needs
✈️ Meeting Death: wasting 2 hours travelling to a meeting will end. The benefits of in-person are eroded by the benefits you get of not travelling

Conferences and quarterly networking events will becomes more important for cultivating in-person relationships
πŸŒͺ Hyper-Turnover: we are about to live through the highest period of turnover between companies in history

Workers will reorganize rapidly, choosing the workplace that suits their working style best
πŸ“ˆ Quality of Life: disposable income will increase. It no longer makes sense to live in a high-cost of living city with a relatively low quality of life

People will live close enough to cities to go into them 1-3 times a month. Rapid mass transit becomes very important
What will great remote work look like?

FirstbaseHQ.com

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More from @chris_herd

9 Jul
On March 12th 2020 the world changed

In the 15 months since remote work has accelerated 15 years into the future

Where prior to the pandemic only 3% of the US workforce worked remotely full-time, after the pandemic 10X that number will

[ a thread] πŸ’»πŸ πŸŒ
The numbers πŸ“Š

3–4M full-time workers operated remotely full-time in 2018

By 2030 that number looks set to grow to at least 80M workers

I expect that number to increase dramatically as millions of workers experience normal, healthy remote working for the first time
Pandemic Remote🦠

What people have worked through in the last 15 months has been the worst possible version of remote work

Lockdowns, homeschooling, unable to travel, can’t see friends, little freedom to do the things that make us happiest
Read 31 tweets
6 Jul
Remote work changed my life

I missed my daughter walk, laugh, and talk for the first time due to working in an office

I was told this is normal: β€œjust what happens when you have to put a roof over your families head”

Turns out the need to be in an office to work was a lie
I dream of a future of where you live not determining your access to opportunity

- I’m from a small city in Scotland
- never stepped foot in Silicon Valley

At no other point in history could I still live in this city and have raised $15M to build a global tech company
Offices have been great for some people and terrible for others

The data of women falling out of the workplace during covid id a horrific example of this

Remote work should lead to the most diverse, inclusive and accessible companies in history

But will it?
Read 6 tweets
2 Jul
I've spoken to 10 of the biggest organizations in the world about their plans for remote work

Here’s what you need to know:
🏒 HQ’s are finished: companies will cut their commercial office space by atleast 50-70%

The will allow every worker to work from home 2-4 days a week, and come into the office 1-2 days a week
🌍 Fully distributed: 30-50% of companies will get rid of the office entirely and go remote-first

Companies doing this have seen their workers decentralize rapidly, leaving expensive cities to be closer to family
Read 19 tweets
24 Jun
I've spoken to 2,000+ people about remote work in the last 12 months

A few predictions of what is likely to emerge before 2030

[ a thread ] πŸ’»πŸ πŸŒ
🚜 Rural Living: People will move to smaller cities, have a lower cost of living & higher quality of life

These regions must innovate quickly to attract that wealth. Better schools, faster internet connections are a must
⏰ Asynchronous Work: Offices are instantaneous gratification distraction factories where synchronous work makes it impossible to get stuff done

Tools that enable asynchronous work are the most important thing globally remote teams need. A lot of startups will try to tackle this
Read 21 tweets
23 Jun
fear: offshoring from remote work

reality: renaissance of states, cities, towns, and places forgotten about as people left in pursuit of opportunity only available in big cities where they can now return to due to remote work
many of the people who fear this have no idea how high wages are in the places they think jobs will disappear to
and some people genuinely argue that a $10K-$50K expense of an office is going to keep jobs here? $10M-$50M per 1,000 person company

after a global pandemic that literally proved almost any job can be done remotely over 15 months of a global pandemic
Read 7 tweets
9 Jun
Back to the office, hybrid or fully remote?

I spoke to 1,000+ companies over the last 6 months to find out more about their plans

This is what I learned

[ a thread ] πŸ’»πŸ πŸŒ
🏒 HQ’s are finished: companies will cut their commercial office space by 50-70%

The will allow every worker to work from home 2-4 days a week, and come into the office 1-2 days a week
🌍 Fully distributed: ~30% of the companies we talk to are getting rid of the office entirely and going remote-first

Companies doing this have seen their workers decentralize rapidly, leaving expensive cities to be closer to family
Read 23 tweets

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