Lindsey Graham has been in the Senate long enough to know this wouldn't work. The Texas legislature has a 2/3rds quorum requirement. In the U.S. Senate, a quorum only needs a simple majority.
The GOP leaving DC would not shut down the Senate the way the Texas walkout is doing.
Another problem with Graham's idea: to dissolve a Senate quorum, you would need one Republican to stay in the Capitol to raise a point of order. So if all Dems were present and the one Republican to raise a point of order, that's 51. Clearly a quorum.
When Republicans controlled the Senate, some liberal activists suggested Democrats do the same thing to retaliate for denying Merrick Garland a hearing, then to stop Trump confirming justices.
Dems didn't do this because, just like Graham's threat now, the math doesn't work.
That said, if Rs actually tried this it would be an annoyance to Ds. With no unanimous consent, they'd need a roll call on every procedural vote, plus every D senator would have to stay in DC and couldn't do business at home.
But it would not block them. Just slow them down.
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Republicans claim they are bullish on winning back Nevada because Clark County is "trending right."
Okay, let's look at the actual numbers here. Is that really true?
What the numbers actually say is a lot more complicated. From 2000 to 2020, we see a steady trend *up* in Democrats' topline each cycle. Republicans' topline, meanwhile, has bounced around all over the place and if anything has gone down very slightly.
So why, then, are people claiming Clark County is trending right? Because they're starting the clock at 2008. Obama massively overperformed in Clark in 2008 and 2012, then there was a reversion to the mean in 2016 and 2020.
No, he wasn't. Thanos was just recycling the same Malthusian crap that's been used by hundreds of years of politicians to justify forced sterilizations in America, famines in British India, and China's one-child policy.
Malthus has been proven wrong time and time again.
First of all, when societies face scarcity, families have *more* children because they need more capital to get the same resources. Fertility rates are negatively correlated with a country's level of development.
And second of all, the scarcities that cause these population pressures are a direct result of governments taking away people's power to act in their own interests.
If you look through history, you see a startling fact: famines do not occur in democracies. Ever.
There is a whole class of Twitter trolls who direct swarms against anyone who criticizes Ron DeSantis. Fried is obviously a top target, but they also go after small-time commenters. It's eerily cult-like and doesn't seem organic.
Manchin has to know the JLVRA isn't getting through the Senate either. Among the GOP, only Murkowski backs it, and if we add gerrymandering to it, even she might back out.
What does he do when his pet voting rights project fails and the *only* option is ignoring the filibuster?
I don't think Manchin really has a long game anymore — I think he genuinely believed he could make the Senate work with no rule changes, and he's backed himself into a corner as it's become obvious he can't.
What's frustrating is it was totally unnecessary for him to do this. Other filibuster-supportive Dems like Tester & Feinstein left open the possibility they'd change their mind if the GOP operated in bad faith. It would've been so easy for Manchin to say that too, but he didn't.