Securitization of piracy in the Mozambique Channel. A justified narrative or fear mongering?. @GI_TOC evaluates insurgents' "maritime capacity" concluding with risk appraisal.
Map Credit: CIMSEC
Flashbacks to:
1) 25 Dec 2010 - Taiwanese fishing vessel pirated off Madagascar…
2) 31 Dec 2010: The Mozambican flagged Fishing Vessel VEGA 5, which was previously reported missing by her owner, is now confirmed as being pirated in the waters between Mozambique and Madagascar.…
Due with publication in next Risk Bulletin.

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More from @Jasminechic00

21 Jul
South Africa
1) Why the need for intelligence? The following is a concise but excellent summary: Image
2) The next phase, specifically for provincial offices, is to enable accountable operational and analysis environments determining processes at play with concerning indications of intentional securitization and support for such calls. Image
3) From hereon with, determine issues to be registered, monitored, and investigated. Tactical early warning then gains a formalized and a substantiated framework, steering away from vague generalized scenarios. Imprecise early warning creates confusion and the client in panic. Image
Read 6 tweets
7 Apr
Mozambique: Children being recruited, trained by insurgents in north…
July 2020, five girls who had been abducted by insurgents during the attack on Mocimboa da Praia town fled from the camp where they were being held. Once free, they told of men and boys being given military training by the insurgents.
Photo by Laura Monahan
@news_pinnacle reported that that “hundreds” of boys are receiving training “far from Mocimboa da Praia.” Contact reports also indicated training of child soldiers.…
Read 6 tweets
6 Apr
Highly recommended read:
"The messianic promise of a social order, combined with the distribution of concrete benefits, has a seductive effect on vulnerable populations." Note the evolution of a social identity.…
Insurgents divide individuals into different functions, ranging from attack and defense activities, reconnaissance, filming and telecommunications, mechanics and nursing or logistics
Although women are mainly responsible for wives, tasks of observation and espionage, recruitment and loading of goods are still noticeable. Exceptional cases reported on women handling weapons during attacks, including in command positions.
Read 4 tweets
25 Nov 20
Will Tanzania and Mozambique’s joint efforts stamp out Islamist insurgents?…
Cooperation between the governments is of crucial importance. Borders provide ideal retreat, safe havens and training opportunities for insurgent.
Insurgents' occupation of Mocimboa da Praia provided them a base from which to launch attacks into Tanzania.
Read 5 tweets
24 Nov 20
1) Two conflicting narratives, but a concern, Muidumbe Sede not finally cleared from insurgents;
Narrative 1: Insurgents regained occupation, which raises some questions to which I do not have answers for now; and
Narrative 2: People in nearby areas reported heavy shooting from the direction of Muidumbe Sede - which implies insurgent presence and persistent clashes.
Ascertaining exact detail and verification in process.
Read 4 tweets
23 Nov 20
Zimbabwe stocking fires of terrorism as it dares to support Mozambique in fending off terrorists…
Treating the Cabo Delgado insurgency as just a “terrorist” threat, and responding only with force, risks feeding the insurgents’ propaganda – and is likely to be counterproductive.
The response from Mozambique’s security forces has been characterised by coercive tactics and human rights abuses, which risks entrenching local grievances against the state.
Read 4 tweets

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