Afghanistan and the Delta variant. The US quietly pulled out of Afghanistan last week. It was actually more sneaking out as the last Americans pulled out under the cover of darkness. The Americans left behind the Afghans who supported their war against the
philstar.com/opinion/2021/0…
Taliban, which was also their own creation at the time it was the USSR ehich invaded that country. The Afghans have again proven their mettle against a superpower. They have now defeated the US and Russia one after the other. So much for the fight against terrorism which was the
US battlecry when they justified the war with Iraq and Afghanistan. Iraq is also in shambles despite the continuing US presence. The US can't afford a total pullout just yet because of the Iranian threat. The Afghanistan withdrawal serves a warning to US allies throughout the
world; the US always puts its interests first. Its guarantees cannot be taken to the bank. Up front, they're at best, lip service. The opposition continues to criticize Duterte's foreign policy but as it appears now, the President is more pragmatic. This is why he continues to
hold the VFA over the US' head like a Sword of Damocles. Duterte realizes we cannot be at the wrong side if and when a shooting war breaks out between China and the US. The flashpoint will most likely be Taiwan. China will not back down over Taiwan which it deems to be a renegade
province. The US will not back down either because it considers the island as vital in keeping that sea lane open from the East China Sea into the Pacific Ocean. China has been clamping down in Hong Kong because Xi can't afford to have renegade provinces making a fool of the
central government. The US would like nothing better than for China to become a "democracy." This is not likely to happen even in the far future. The powers that be will fight tooth and nail to preserve the status quo. This is why China has been beefing up not only its defensive
capabilities but its offensive as well. We can't afford to get caught on the wrong side as when we did during World War II. /The Delta variant has reached the country. It was not a question of if but when. We can't afford another lockdown because of the economic burden but we
are also incapable of handling a surge of this magnitude. Indonesia is now the epicenter of COVID-19. It has alread exceeded both Brazil's and India's record-highs in daily cases reported. The quarantine classification for hotspots should revert to ECQ. NCR+ should revert to GCQ
with restrictions. Children below 18 years old shouldn't be allowed out of their residences because Delta is infectious for the younger in the demographic. The IATF-EID should finally come out with a unified contact-tracing system. We should be testing more. We cannot prevent
OFWs from returning but quarantine protocols should be stricter not only for them but for all returning residents. The daily number of cases reported hasn't gone down below the 3,000 level since March. The government should follow Singapore in assuming the pandemic is endemic if
the economy is to maintain a semblance of normalcy. Again, digitization should be prioritized. The red tape in the construction of mobile broadband towers should be eliminated. The government must compel telcos to construct these towers for improved connectivity which is what is
required of digitization. Lawmakers should pass emergency powers for the President in the same manner a bill was passed during the Ramos administration for power plants. Covid is living up to its moniker as the forever virus. We should do what we can for the younger generations
NOW.

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More from @marortoll

20 Jul
MLQ3 makes much of the old political party conventions to select national candidates. Truth is these were just for show as it was essentially imposed upon by the Americans during the Commonwealth period. But that was also a period of monolithic rule as the
opinion.inquirer.net/142281/candida…
party in power was controlled by his adoptive grandfather El Mestizo, Manuel Quezon. It was MacArthur who ordered Manuel Roxas to put up the Liberal Party. Collaboration with the Japanese was the major issue then and post-independence politics dictated that the veritable pound of
flesh be extracted. Not that Roxas was clean himself. It was just that he was fortunate enough to obtain MacArthur's anointment. Roxas went on to defeat Sergio Osmeña in the 1946 election. The Americans then had their puppet government in place. The 1935 Constitution was even
Read 15 tweets
20 Jul
I keep wondering why everything that is wrong with this country is blamed on Marcos and Duterte and not the political bloc which was in power for thirty years. Marcos was in power for twenty-one. Duterte six. That's a total of twenty-seven. You don't need
philstar.com/opinion/2021/0…
to have a PhD in any discipline to analyze what went wrong with the Philippine economy. You just need to read history and analyze the political structure. The Spanish and American periods saw the Philippines producing coconut oil, abaca and sugar. These were the main exports.
Manila then was the Pearl of the Orient. A trading outpost similar to Hong Kong with a large expatriate community of Europeans and Americans. It was a plantation-style economy which was nothing but a modern version of fief and serf in medieval Europe. The monarchy was the
Read 16 tweets
20 Jul
It was inevitable that Javad comes up with this comparison given the most recent surveys having the Manila Mayor in the number two slot after the Davao City Mayor. Javad's comparison fails because Isko is just about to complete his first term while
opinion.inquirer.net/142237/isko-vs…
Daughterte has been in office as Vice-Mayor or Mayor since 2007. Isko was a Councilor or Vice-Mayor then. It is but natural to compare the two. Daughterte is a lawyer. Isko managed to complete his education when he transitioned to politics from showbiz. As Javad notes, Isko tends
to be performative while Sara is mostly stoic. She has charm and charisma but is not in the news cycle 24/7 or 25/8, as Isko is on social media. If you believe the Chief Political Analyst that is Antonio Contreras, Isko's voter base trumps Daughterte. But that is as per their
Read 16 tweets
19 Jul
Constantly amazed by his logic. A political scientist with a PhD who reasons as he does should be stripped of his doctoral degree. Surveys are based on science because the discipline of statistics is involved. As such, there is the survey design made by
manilatimes.net/2021/07/20/opi…
a statistician or a data analyst. It has to be totally random in order for the results not to be skewed. If skewed then the purpose of the survey is defeated. Not all surveys are correct. Think of Hillary Clinton's pollsters who had her leading by 10 points in the 2016 election.
Election night had Hillary losing to Donald Trump in what was considered a major upset. Last night, I read an article about a statement made by the national group of pollsters in the US saying they made a mistake in their surveys for Congressional races. This is why the
Read 14 tweets
19 Jul
It's not really the early bird which catches the worm aphorism which allies in the face of the Lacson-Sotto tandem but more of a calculated risk in taking on the daunting challenge of running for the two highest posts in the land. In 2015, the news cycle
businessmirror.com.ph/2021/07/15/the…
was occupied by candidates who wanted to get PNoy's anointment. There was Poe and Cayetano in the headlines. The former because of the case questioning her citizenship while the latter was jockeying to become Roxas' running mate as gratuity for his demolition job on Binay. The
situation is different today not only because of the pandemic but also due to the changed political landscape. Duterte broke the political template with the strategy he employed in 2015. It was political striptease at its best. When he finally decided to run, he seized control of
Read 17 tweets
18 Jul
Banayo thinks that an amendment of the Constitution solve the the problem of political turncoats. I don't agree. We've seen what happened with the Nacionalista and Liberal parties in the past and those which were organized for the 1992 election. Only NPC
manilastandard.net/opinion/column…
survives with a relative measure of clout because Boss Danding deemed it necessary to provide financing every election cycle. But Boss Danding is gone. It doesn't look like RSA is interested in NPC because his financial resources aren't as deep as the original patron. Other
parties represent business interests such as the NUP which is identified with Ricky Razon. The same is true with the Manila Standard which Razon bought from Andres Soriano IIIss Anscor group. The other parties are only hollow shells like corporate holding entities. LDP has only
Read 14 tweets

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