Share this page!

Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Twitter logo
21 Jul, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Germany & US collude with Putin to undermine Ukrainian, EU, and global security for a pipeline & cash. Steinmeier, Merkel & Maas, who said appeasing Putin would be "good for Russian civil society" before Navalny was nearly murdered and jailed. dw.com/en/just-in-us-…
Whenever Putin attacks, I'm asked "what do we do?" You act before there's an attack. Establish deterrence, create leverage against things Putin cares about. You can't reinforce him with deals and then act surprised when he attacks again.
Putin needs foreign conflict and chaos to stay in power in Russia. He can't stop. He also needs lucrative deals with the West to solidify his standing as guarantor of his oligarchs' fortunes & families abroad. Deals like Nord Stream 2.
Ukraine has been treated like an annoyance by Europe while under attack by Putin. The US has decided that superficial comity with an ally is better than long-term deterrence against a hostile dictatorship. That's not leadership.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Garry Kasparov

Garry Kasparov Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Kasparov63

Garry Kasparov Profile picture
9 Jul
Putin promotes these attacks and won't end them unless there is action. Hitting Russian infrastructure would be cruel and pointless. It's already a mess and Putin wouldn't care. Go after their money.
If a few billion dollars of looted assets disappeared from Putin & his oligarch pals' accounts, these ransomware attacks would stop. The question has always been if US & EU are willing to do what is necessary to defend themselves.
Responding diplomatically is a waste of time and law enforcement is limited against state actors and those with state protection. And they know it. New mechanisms are needed to meet new threats, or you keep losing.
Read 4 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
2 Jul
Putin boasts that he could have sunk a British warship and nothing would have happened. Xi Jinping says he'll take Taiwan, an independent nation, when he wants. Testing the waters for a response. And?
Everyone saying "it's just words" will act surprised when action follows words, as it did in Ukraine and Hong Kong. Deterrence is based on standing up to the smallest aggressions to prevent bigger ones.
Putin and Xi know well that the West has the power to stand up to them. So when they choose not to, it's interpreted as a green light, and the "grave concerns" as performance.
Read 4 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
26 Jun
Joke on Russian internet: "Putin showing Merkel and Macron the salary charts of Rosneft and Gazprom."
Dependence on dictatorships like Putin's Russia is a package deal. You can't separate business from human rights and defending your democracy. The corruption spreads like a gas leak until it explodes.
Europe can't separate energy or business from politics when Putin won't. The list of ways to defend and deter includes "dictatorship substitution". I wrote about it specifically re energy in 2015: energyfuse.org/garry-kasparov…
Read 6 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
20 Jun
Putin got what he wanted the moment the summit with Biden was announced. We still don't know what Biden wanted. My op-ed on Geneva for @CNNOpinion. edition.cnn.com/2021/06/19/opi…
To change Putin's behavior, target things that affect his calculus of staying in power. Threats to his money & his mafia gang will work. Threats to national interests and the Russian people do not, because he doesn't care.
The summit was shorter than expected, and it's a blessing when bad food comes in small portions. Biden was fine, but it's irrelevant unless followed by action. Putin will know he's yet another American paper tiger and the next attack will prove it.
Read 4 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
16 Jun
EU keeps caving in to Putin without American leadership. Biden was supposed to stop that, even campaigned on it. He called Putin a killer—correctly. But looking tough in Geneva or using strong words doesn’t matter. Action matters, and so far Biden is failing that test.
We know the summit is good for Putin, or he wouldn’t do it. And everything Trump did was about Trump. But Biden? It’s not about him. To give such a gift to a killer who attacked the US, you have to make the case to the American people and he hasn’t tried.
The Russian hacks against the US are recent! You don’t normalize that behavior. When someone robs your house, you don’t ask him for a nice meeting in Geneva. You want him arrested, you want your stuff back. And if he does it again? And again?
Read 6 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
15 Jun
Mike, is this tweet from 2007?! This is what the West has been saying for 14 years. "If Putin keeps doing all these terrible things, THEN.." and he keeps doing them. It's 2021, everyone knows what Putin is.
Every new US administration doesn't press the reset button, they press the snooze button. Putin doesn't reset, he doesn't change, and he won't until someone stands up to him.
Putin goes through the same motions with every new democratic leader. They get to act tough for a moment; he gets to stay in power and keep looting Russia, attacking the world order, and his mafia pals live like tsars--in the free world of course.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get emails when @Kasparov63 has new unrolls!

Check out other threads from @Kasparov63!

Read all threads by @Kasparov63

:(