1/5
Pension funds & financial institutions are complicit in a lot of the rot but certainly not the cause of it. 2008 the gdp went as low $5bn. If GDP recovered to $15bn. It means new member contributions are way higher than old contributions. New members have bigger piece of pie
2/5
This is because pension funds are a pyramid scheme. Nothing unique to Zim but worldwide. They rely on new members & new contributions to sustain them. It’s a huge problem in the UK. The US is different because of 401k. The individual has greater say in investing.
3/5 In other words. Most pension funds around the world have not kept pace with inflation. Pension funds invest in property, stocks & bonds. They’re forced to take up bonds which yield negative returns. In Zim it’s prescribed assets. Which never yield positive returns.
4/5
So a member that joined say in 1960 paying real money. Inflation wipes away their savings. And only new members in 2021, contributing real present dollars can pay the retiree. The investments have underperformed inflation. Imagine were there is hyperinflation?
5/5
While internationally the problem is a bulging,aging population with a contracting youth base esp in Japan. In Africa esp Zim it’s youth unemployment. In both cases pensioners will never maintain the same lifestyle after retiring. Hyperinflation just exposed quickly the skew!

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tinashe

Tinashe Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @baba_nyenyedzi

21 Jul
1/24
CORRUPTION IN ZIMBABWE

Ian Senior, Corruption,the World’s Big C: Cases, Causes, Consequences, Cures (2006), asserts no significant correlations between high degrees of personal honesty and religious practice and less bribe-taking around the world.
2/24
What do we learn from this significant conclusion on corruption? It means even the most ethical, religious & morally astute societies can be infested with the corruption scourge. Because corrupt states make it impossible to play or move without paying.
3/24
Under Roman statutes corruption was defined as

“whenever money is taken and a publicly-conferred duty is violated.”

An example may suffice to illustrate.

Why do governments erect toll gates? Let’s think of this in simple terms
Read 24 tweets
18 Jul
Ken Flower the head of the CIO went to complain to Ian Smith about dodgy touts becoming government’s business partners.These individuals were meant to be in jail. Smith thought he could control these chaps. These chaps eventually funded Smith’s downfall. Unscrupulous.
Fay Chung in her book explains how a large donation came from Tiny Rowland. Chiwara, the Zanu representative in London was excited & relayed information to Lusaka. But , but, Ndaba Sithole chose to hide this information.. he wanted it for himself! He was forced to share.😂😂
Miles Tendi book on Mujuru recounts a Public Accounts Commitee led by Mangwende on MOD during Nhongo’s reign. It was a fest of irregularities & claims of untouchables & commanders resigning after allegedly receiving kick-backs from tenders. Mugabe turned a blind eye.
Read 4 tweets
7 Jul
1/5
Suppose the RBZ & general analysts were correct that replacing RTGS with printed notes & coins is innocuous.

Then why would RBZ not print enough notes & coins for the convenience of the public?

$2& $5ZWL cannot buy anything in Zim. Why keep them in circulation?
2/5
Why print a $50 ZWL note that cannot buy bread.

Imagine a US$100 or 200ZAR that is not enough for a kombi ride or bread?

The rural economy is a cash society. If replacing RTGS with cash is innocuous why has this not happened already? Why punish the rural folks?
3/5
In Feb 2021. Money supply was $100bn ZWL. While notes & coins was $3bn. Of which only $1.2bn was in circulation ( banking system).

This tells us the RBZ is systemically starving the economy of notes & coins.

But why?

Afterall it matters not whether RTGS OR notes.
Read 5 tweets
1 Jul
1/9
Twitter and Economists

In Zim to be specific & Africa in general there is a stiff neck attitude amongst scholars & economic thought leaders to avoid Twitter & social media.

This is most unfortunate & JH university has articulated the impact of social media on Economics
2/9

In their words

“The technological progress in our modern societies has witnessed the emergence of persons who deploy different means of communication across social networks, seeking to generate an impact among their audiences.
3/9

These efforts in social media communications attempt to alter consumption preferences and patterns, political choices, as well as reinforce or modify opinions of all sorts and stripes. Individuals who attain greater relevance due to effects they trigger on third parties are
Read 9 tweets
24 Jun
Kuvimba declares US$5.2m in dividend. How in the world of the living, this is a good thing is beyond me. Perhaps a reflection of our tolerance for pain & suffering as a people.

Firstly, it's not even clear to the tax payer how these assets were acquired and at what cost
How do farmers, War vets, Datvest nominees & other investment vehicles own what was private companies that owed creditors north of US$100m. To whom erstwhile shareholders were paid out north of US$100m. The cost of investment must be established & how the money was paid.
Secondly. GOZ is mandated by our constitution to take care of public health facilities & schools. How many people have died, kids failed for lack of investment. Therefore resources were diverted to buy mining companies & declare a dividend to spurious causes outside the mandate..
Read 6 tweets
19 Jun
1/10

Economic survey by Afrobarometer .. my thoughts

The survey was carried out between April and May. After the Agriculture harvest.

It comes after the WB report that 49% of citizens live under extreme poverty

It’s worth considering what the people themselves are saying.
2/10
The 67% of people believe the country is going in the wrong direction.

There is a gapping disparity between what GOZ says & lived reality.

Agriculture contributes 9.3% of GDP. A good harvest impact on our economy is now negligible. GOZ is out of touch with reality.
3/10
Does it mean GOZ will change course? Especially after launching its National Development Strategy NDS1?

Despite the rejection of NDS1 by the people, GOZ will not change direction. Because of GOZ paternalistic attitudes. Even in the face of hard facts & evidence.
Read 11 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(