COVID sitrep: Have been off this week so something slightly different. News stories like this one suggest the number of new infections may be beginning to stabilise. Experience tells us it is far too early to know. 1/10 bbc.co.uk/news/health-57…
When cases passed 60,000 a few days ago we were starting to worry, so it’s good news if this was a one-day spike. If we look back, we can see these are spikes common. It’s too early to know whether this is a genuine fall. The numbers jump up and down for lots of reasons. 2/10
Hospital admission rates are around a quarter of what they were in the winter. We have vaccination to thank for this. But the link is only weakened, not broken. More than 5000 people were admitted to hospital with COVID last week. 3/10
I really want to talk about the people we see in hospital. Appalling commentary in the press this week. One public figure dismissed COVID saying patients were dying from other diseases and not from COVID. The implication is that some lives don’t matter so much. @BBCr4today 4/10
I have seen many patients die from COVID. It disgusts me that a lawyer with no experience of treating these patients would say that they died ‘with COVID not from COVID’. Complete nonsense. Arrogant and heartless insult to the families of 150,000 people who died. @BBCr4today 5/10
During 2020, COVID was often falsely dismissed as a disease of the old and sick. Now we hear it dismissed because patients are younger and not vaccinated. Which is it? How can we presume to dismiss the lives of people we will never know? 6/10
The wonderful success of our National Health Service is that huge numbers of people live good lives despite diseases which used to kill so many. High blood pressure, stroke, cancer, HIV, kidney failure, the list is endless. These are the diseases people die ‘with’. 7/10
The greatest NHS value is that we don’t judge patients for why they come to hospital. We care for people with diseases caused by smoking, drinking and obesity. We care for people who rode their motorbikes way too fast, and who harm themselves through poor mental health. 8/10
In my time I have cared for armed robbers, murderers and terrorists. So yes, at times it is hard not to let judgements shape patient care. But nevertheless this is still the greatest value of the NHS. Healthcare for all, free at the point of care. Without judgement. 9/10
So when people ask whether our COVID patients are frail, elderly or have long-term disease, it makes me angry. Because the question is so often loaded with the judgement that these lives somehow matter less. They don’t and they never will. Not in our NHS. 💙10/10
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COVID sitrep: As infections rise exponentially the NHS is again reconfiguring for COVID hospital admissions. This week in the hospital where I work we re-opened our temporary ‘surge’ intensive care unit. The link between infection and serious illness is weaker but not broken 1/10
This from a one my nursing colleagues. It is heart-breaking to think we will again see significant numbers of patients in Intensive Care, and more deaths from COVID-19. 2/10
The virus is all around us. >50,000 infections yesterday. This is why so many are being notified of contacts by the NHS app. Frustrating that newspapers casually call this a ‘ping-demic’ as if it were a software glitch. These are real infections; some will cause real deaths. 3/10
COVID sitrep: The latest UK wave continues to grow. The good news is (compared to previous waves) there are definitely fewer hospital admissions in relation to the number of infections. But the number of infections is now very large. TLDR: The link is weaker but not broken. 1/10
We are still seeing a significant number of people who need hospital care for COVID. They are mostly people who have not yet been vaccinated. A few have medical problems that leave them at greater risk of infection. Others are young and previously fit & well. 2/10
The daily number of new COVID cases in the UK continues to rise (now more than 35,000/day) and is bigger than the November peak. We expected a peak of infections in late July but as we are relaxing not tightening public health measures, the timing is now harder to predict. 3/10
COVID sitrep: On call for ICU this weekend. We definitely have another wave of COVID hospital admissions in the UK. As we did in Nov ’20, we are projecting a ‘slow burn’ of hospital admissions rather than a third wave. Let’s hope our forecast is more accurate this time….. 1/13
The number of COVID cases diagnosed each day in the UK rose more than 10-fold from ~2000 at the start of May to almost 30,000/day now. Meanwhile COVID-19 admissions to NHS hospitals have doubled to ~250 patients/day in the same period (January ’21 peak was over 4000/day). 2/13
We have nearly 2,000 hospital in-patients with COVID-19 across the NHS and rising. Of these, nearly ~300 patients are in intensive care beds. This compares to the January peak of nearly 40,000 in-patients with 4,000 in ICU. Small by comparison but still a major epidemic. 3/13
COVID sitrep: We are definitely now entering another wave of hospital admissions in the UK. In the NHS Trust where I work, we are admitting more COVID-19 patients to hospital and more to intensive care, although the pattern seems different to the winter.... 1/8
What we are seeing locally in east London fits with the national pattern of infection rates. The number of patients coming to our hospital group who test positive for COVID had dwindled to single figures but is now back up to 40+ each day and rising. 2/8
Hospital admissions are rising too. Both older patients yet to take up the invitation to be vaccinated, and young fit patients in their 20’s and 30’s who have not yet had the chance. There are ~1500 COVID patients in NHS hospitals. The January peak was just under 40,000. 3/8
Covid sitrep: Was not planning on doing another one but things are definitely changing on the ground in some NHS hospitals. Vaccination has been a huge help but we are seeing more patients admitted to hospital and to ICU. Frustrating but there are reasons to be hopeful 1/11:
First thing to explain is that although there has definitely been an increase in new admissions to hospital, the numbers are very small. We are reassured by @DHSCgovuk reports that vaccination is reducing the number of severe cases of Covid 2/11.
The flow of patients with covid needing intensive care had almost stopped for a few weeks but is rising again. ICU staff are seeing a change. Again, the numbers are very small but we also know they start small. 3/11
COVID sitrep: The situation in NHS hospitals continues to improve as new infections reach the lowest level since mid-September. Lots of green on the map now. Many patients now well enough to be cared for at home. Still lots going on though. 1/9
We now have fewer than 10,000 COVID patients in NHS hospitals, and the lowest number since 24th October. A great milestone but still a vast number for a single infectious disease. The NHS is a long way from business as usual. 2/9
National patterns can often hide regional variations but it’s great to see both hospital admissions and deaths from COVID now falling in every region of England. 3/9