The only argument I have seen is that @POTUS is afraid of political backlash if anyone he commutes commits a new crime

1. this fear of "Willie Horton" is still racist, and not even accurate, listen to @JohnFPfaff if not to me

#KeepThemHome @POTUS @VP

2. It is a problem of framing

People come home from federal prison EVERY day, the question should be how many people committed new crimes before compared to after reforms or relief

These folks have been home for 16 months with less than 1% return

#KeepThemHome @POTUS @VP
Think of it like this....if using the traditional method and timing of release there is a 49% recidivism rate (because that is the truth) and with this group there is a less than 1% recidivism rate......you are getting much more relative safety using compassionate release
But let's also go back to the @JohnFPfaff argument, if the Horton effect is accurate, how did @DA_LarryKrasner get reelected with around 80% of the people most directly impacted by crime voting for him?

#KeepThemHome @POTUS @VP
I mean, you can also challenge the premise that the fate of policies that impact thousands should be determined by single-cases....if you need more...but in all honesty, this should not be hard

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More from @JoshuaBHoe

27 Jul
What a typically sad response: Why would it be okay to assault capital officers because officers were hurt at other protests?

Also, what about all of the PEACEFUL PROTESTERS who were assaulted by law enforcement during the protests against police violence? Image
In addition, millions of people hit the streets in the protests against police violence, the overwhelming majority were peaceful, those are facts

acleddata.com/2020/09/03/dem…
Regardless, let's assume you were right, two wrongs don't make a right. It is not okay for protesters to be violent, it is not okay for police to be violent, and it is not okay for people to assault our capital and attack the capital police
Read 5 tweets
27 Jul
🧵

A bed time story

This is a story about a

1. A movie
2. Criminal Justice Reform
3. Tom Cotton
4.🐴💩 (aka B.S)
5. People
6. And the Truth

Hope you will stay with me for the whole story

1/
1. The movie

In 1982 a movie came out called "The Verdict" - it is, without question, one of my favorite movies. The movie is about an alcoholic, unlucky, often betrayed, and beyond down on his luck attorney who has gone from world beater to failed ambulance chaser
The movie stars Paul Newman and he is amazing, it is like you can see the bare outlines of what made him so cocksure in "The Sting" somewhere inside of his character, whose name is Frank Gavin, but that part is so lost, that you know he can never fully recover
Read 39 tweets
26 Jul
One thing I learned this weekend is a few people with under 50k followers can actually have a Twitter event that trends....also learned that my idea for a Twitterthon had merit (kind of an elongated Twitter Storm)
In the past, I had a very specific model for building successful twitter events that had worked in the past for me, this helped me refine my thoughts and also broaden my model
Anyway, the way it appeared to me is that you can spark a Bernie-like economy of smaller accounts that can work together to create more meaningful engagement and even trend....It doesn't always have to be led by huge influencers
Read 9 tweets
25 Jul
🧵

Thread:

One thing I saw time after time during the #KeepThemHome Twitterthon yesterday was the glib response:

"If they did the crime, they should do the time"

So, let's go through this again

Let's start with the notion of "The Time"

1/
1. Sentence lengths are largely made up - there is no basis for them from experience or science

2. Two people with the exact same crime will often have very different sentences, some judges are tough, others lenient, different states have different guidelines and practices

2/
3. Almost always, black and brown people and poor people will receive longer sentences (it's a fact, look it up)

4. Most, but not all, systems have ways for incarcerated people to EARN back time for good behavior, for completing programming, & for meeting certain criteria

3/
Read 36 tweets
25 Jul
1.

It is really easy to see incarcerated people or formerly incarcerated people as only bad words, like "CRIMINAL" or "FELON," but, take a second, and imagine it is your brother, your sister, your mother, or your father....or maybe your own kid

#KeepThemHome @POTUS @VP
2.

For MILLIONS of American families that is the reality of incarceration.

Right now, for the families of 4,400 formerly incarcerated people, they are terrified because it is possible their loved ones will be sent back soon

#KeepThemHome @POTUS @VP
3.

Because of a legal interpretation, by the DOJ, of the CARES Act, approximately 4,400 people - who have been home for 16 months successfully - will be sent back for no good reason

#KeepThemHome @POTUS @VP
Read 5 tweets
24 Jul
Let me address this again:

1. None of the people released to home confinement have violent charges

2. Most of them have been home for 16 months now, with no incidents

3. In the federal system, you can earn early release through several mechanisms

#KeepThemHome @POTUS @VP
4. Sentences are largely made up, the idea that there is a magic date you reach, based on research or some calculation of optimal length is a fantasy

Prison - even accounting for incapacitation - creates more crime than it prevents Image
5. 600,000 people are released from facilities in this country every single year.....around 96% of all people who are incarcerated will one day be coming home....the most important thing for public safety is them coming home SUCCESSFULLY

#KeepThemHome @POTUS @VP
Read 6 tweets

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