I’m getting depressed about covid again.

It’s suddenly pretty bad in SoCal.

A friend’s mom is in the hospital with it even though she appeared to have had it before.

And Israel and UK data suggests that the vaccines don’t work quite as well against the current Delta variant.
Hopefully, the vaccines mostly still keep you out of the hospital.

But what if they don’t?

We’ve been assuming that we will get to herd immunity one way or another: either the easy way (vaccination) or the hard way (infection).
But what if the vaccines only moderately work against new variants and the virus keeps evolving so that prior infections don’t offer much protection?

Then the question would be whether people who survived early variants would keep surviving reinfection every few years?
Perhaps they would. But what if the variants are not just evolving to be more infectious (which would be logically expected) but also evolving to be more lethal (which could happen by accident)?

If they did, then we'd seem to be headed toward 12 Monkeys time, which would be bad.
Anyway, if you can cheer me up, I’d appreciate it.

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More from @Steve_Sailer

19 Jul
@mattyglesias @Noahpinion I worked for the market research firm that invented the all-time greatest real world laboratory for testing TV advertising's effect on supermarket sales. Famous firms loved us ... for about 5 years. But only rarely did we find a statistically significant effect from more ads.
1/x
@mattyglesias @Noahpinion The one test I ran where more advertising moved the needle of sales as measured by supermarket scanners was when a client made an important breakthru by adding a highly effective new ingredient to their toothpaste. More (informative) advertising sold more of the new toothpaste.
@mattyglesias @Noahpinion But most of the time, brand managers hired us to prove to their bosses that their ads were so great that their TV ad budget should be doubled.

But that almost never worked (unless they had new news about the product to convey).

2/x
Read 10 tweets
14 Jul
My new column on how Australia has solved it racial gap problem: by making it illegal to point out that the high-achieving Aborigines featured on TV appear to be white people:

"The Flight From White Down Under"
takimag.com/article/the-fl…
Strikingly, both of the Aboriginal-identifying accusers dishing on other Australian female grievance studies academics claiming to be "Aboriginal" themselves wear their hair blond. Grieve-Williams looks rather like Donald Trump’s first wife, Ivana:

takimag.com/article/the-fl…
takimag.com/article/the-fl…

And the officially Aboriginal Suzanne Ingram, who complains of whites horning in on the Aboriginal gravy train in "The Australian," resembles a Danish milkmaid:
Read 9 tweets
10 Jul
A Pfizer exec admitted that Pfizer put its vaccine trial on ice from late Oct. to day after election:

statnews.com/2020/11/09/cov…

"... if Pfizer had held to the original plan, the data would likely have been available in October, as its CEO, Albert Bourla, had initially predicted."
One of the most extraordinary facts about the 2020 election: that Trump was likely denied his hoped-for October Surprise of a near-miraculous breakthrough in vaccines because Pfizer shut down work on the world's most important clinical trial until the day after the election.
Virtually no Trump supporters are aware of how Trump was denied his October (or November 2, 2020) Surprise of a colossal breakthrough in vaccines because they lean instead toward lowbrow anti-vaxx thinking.
Read 20 tweets
11 Jun
Thomas "Gravity's Rainbow" Pynchon's casting choices for golfer biopics:

"Owen Wilson as Jack Nicklaus, Hugh Grant in 'The Phil Mickelson Story,': and "here’s Christopher Walken, starring in 'The Chi Chi Rodriguez Story,'" with "Gene Hackman in a cameo as Arnold Palmer"
I'd like to see Michael Pena in "The Lee Trevino Story."

Hugh Grant, I am told, spends much of his time in big money golf games at Royal St. George in Sandwich, which sounds like what Phil Mickelson would do if he were an English movie star.
Thomas Pynchon's choice of Christopher Walken as Puerto Rican golf pro Chi Chi Rodriguez sounds weird, but Chi Chi had slightly unsettling movie star good looks, which is how he wound up on the cover of Devo's first album:

wbur.org/onlyagame/2017…
Read 4 tweets
9 Jun
Traffic fatalities among blacks soared as the Racial Reckoning was declared after George Floyd's death on 5/25/2020.

The triumph of BLM got more blacks killed in two separate ways: in murders and in 36% more black traffic fatalities in June-December 2020.
takimag.com/article/the-ra… Traffic fatalities among African Americans soared as soon as
Traffic fatalities among the nonblack 87% of the US population also went up as the police retreated to the donut shop during the Racial Reckoning, but much less than did black road deaths.

takimag.com/article/the-ra… Traffic Fatalities among nonblack Americans went up 9% in th
As has previously been noted, in 2020 total traffic fatalities among all Americans were 7% higher overall than in 2019 and a ridiculous 23% higher per mile driven.

But black road deaths were up 23% in 2020 and 36% higher in the seven months following George Floyd's death.
Read 5 tweets
29 May
@ModeledBehavior It's admirable that Jewish intellectuals tend to be so tradition-minded, so ethnocentric, so inclined to venerate their ancestors that they've rewritten American history to make Emma Lazarus the Founding Mother and Ellis Island the Plymouth Rock.
@ModeledBehavior But it's a little alarming that Jews seem less and less to realize that the joke they've put over on the rest of Americans in hyping their ancestors' arrival at Ellis Island as the founding event of American history is a funny put-on, not serious history.
@ModeledBehavior As the generations go by, fewer and fewer Jewish intellectuals seem to get the joke that when their forefathers turned the "wretched refuse" poem into the National Mission Statement in the mid-20th Century, they were just doing it out of ethnic egocentrism.
Read 4 tweets

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