So. I’ve been pretty mute on the COVID front lately. It’s a topic that’s become pretty harsh as of late. We all want it done, especially our provincial government, hence the relabeling to endemic. Those who follow me know that I’m a big picture person, so here’s my take.
Our rising numbers are real, and predictable. We speak of how infection rates are decoupled from hospitalizations. That’s not true. It’s a numbers game, though the proportion of infections that require hospital admission is far less, without mitigation it is still significant.
Tertiary hospitals, the ones with advanced services, accept patients from all over the province. Our heterogeneous rural vaccination rate is a problem. Local outbreaks cause morbidity and high resource use. They require advanced transport and use ICU beds.
Rural resources have been stripped pretty bare by our government. It’s not just COVID that we are seeing, but late presentations of chronic manageable diseases and cancer. Potentially taking out our surgical services with a 4th wave is a huge issue.
As predicted, burnout has reared its head. In the lull without the moral pressure of “seeing it through” we are bleeding nurses and support staff. The bed closures you hear are real, and more concerning is the recruitment in this hostile environment will be very challenging.
We did well staffing the previous waves, but I fear it will be a supreme challenge to staff for a 4th wave. We’ve used up our reserves and good will.
We have seen continuing challenges. The heat wave hammered us, and the smoke has exacerbated chronic breathing conditions, but I have never seen overdoses and self harm rates like I am right now. I honestly have been admitting people who have lost the will to live.
These problems are the exacerbation of greater social injustices. These mountains are beyond one person’s ability to climb, but mitigating a 4th wave will help. At this point we can do several simple things to make things better.
Accept that we’re not done with COVID. It’s not herpes but we will be dealing with it for at least another year. No, I don’t think there will be an escape variant, but there’s enough unvaccinated out there to keep it propagating for a while.
Accept that even though you live in an area with low local activity and hence risk, that’s not the case for all of Alberta. Masking mandates work, and should be provincially reinstated. Delta is super infectious way before symptoms and testing detect it. Consistency matters.
Calm the hell down and be nice. There are some pretty clear triggers out there. Long COVID and airborne spread are contentious for a reason. The internet hates nuance, and we can get pretty siloed here. In the end public health has to be implemented in the real world.
Some good news? Vaccine trials for kids are underway and hopefully we will be seeing results by fall. That’s huge for endemic spread. Yes, all the vaccines for adults have done a spectacular job and controlling this disease. I salute everyone who has put their best arm forward.
Finally, when this is done, let’s get back to the bigger picture. Climate effects health, income disparity is ridiculous, mental health is health, addictions are not moral failings, and private health care is a means to profit off the sick. Vote accordingly. 🙂

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More from @drdagly

19 Jun
Picking up a lot of collateral flack for not being “happy” that the pandemic is over. I want this done more than anyone. I also realize that I am very sensitive to the worse case scenario for personal reasons. However, I know the science and the history of how we have used it.
I am also pretty well schooled on human nature. Trust me, I’ve seen a lot of bad choices roll through the ICU, not to mention doing some impulsive stuff myself. However the solutions we seek may be guided by the past but need to anticipate the future.
I’d we look at the UK we can see the issues.
🔹80% single shot
🔹60% double vaxed
Vaccine pressure has now made delta their predominant variant. >90% of new cases. With exponential growth. This is expected. It’s taking advantage of millions of partially vaxed people.
Read 8 tweets
16 Jun
It’s warm and muggy out. My patient just canceled so I went outside to grab some daylight. I started to sweat. The nephrologist is me just couldn’t stop thinking about how amazing this process is, and how it’s a biological advantage that has made humans so successful. Image
In fact thermoregulation is what made us very successful hunters. We may not have been the fastest runners or had the biggest claws, but we were determined and really good at following that ibex for days until it finally gave up and died of heat exhaustion.
It probably lead us down the pathway of hairlessness too, further giving us more efficient evaporative heat loss. Well most of us anyway. 😉
Read 5 tweets
2 Jun
Lots of questions about dosing schedules right now as Alberta opens up second shots. I’m pretty stoked about this btw.
First, these schedules are really just how the research protocols are put together when doing the original trials to test a new vaccines. For the Adenovirus vaccines they mostly followed protocols from other AV studies, except they needed to abbreviate them cuz time was short.
That’s why when the dust settled they did follow up research to see if longer dosing intervals evoke better response amplification and hence better efficacy. They compared 6 and 12 weeks. 12 weeks was better, but 6 was still very good.
Read 12 tweets
20 May
On schools and COVID. This one is a hot topic in our household as my partner is a developmental Pediatrician and I’m an ICU physician. It’s pretty clear that we are directly albeit oppositely effected by the school system and how it handles infections. Yes, we often disagree.
The pinion on which this argument seems to rotate is whether or not schools drive community transmission or they are just a function of it. There seems to be a lot of dancing around these definitions. We know when we shut schools down we see dropping community numbers.
The problem is, those measures come with a bunch of simultaneous interventions. Add lots of variables and it becomes increasingly more difficult to sort out which ones have the greatest effects. There is also heterogeneity amounts school resources and management.
Read 13 tweets
12 May
Story time. I hope this isn’t too maudlin, but in the time of COVID, this seems to be the way we eulogize. Today I found out that my elementary guidance councillor died. It should have come as no surprise as he was also one of my patients.
I called his wife to express my condolences, but really it was to grieve over the phone with her. You see, this man was remarkable for so many reasons. Of course he was an amazing teacher, but he was also a force of nature.
I struggled in school. Our family moved around a lot because of my dad, & when we finally settled down, it was because of my dad. He got sick. My mom protected us, shielding us from the diagnosis. As a kid, normal is what you do every day. So I never clued in. Maybe intentionally
Read 15 tweets
9 May
Last night before I intubated a lovely man with COVID, he insisted on calling his boss to explain why he wouldn’t be into work on Mon. He was so short of breath I had to finish the call for him. In the aftermath I realized how this job was a lifeline for him. It left me unnerved.
More and more this shows me how disparities drive despair. Without financial support essential workers and the marginalized don’t have a real chance at avoiding these risks. These are the people in our unit. Privilege is protective. I’ve known this, but damn, this hits me.
Without meaningful social change, most of intensive care medicine is just a band aid.
Read 4 tweets

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