A number of folks asked for Aouar vs. Maddison vs. Odegaard today. I don't have time for a full thread but here are some charts I'm sure you'll use responsibly...

Warnings: Ligue 1 tax! Odegaard at Arsenal small sample size!
1. Ball Carrying. Aouar has covered the most distance carrying, is he starting deeper? Dribbles are Aouar's huge advantage, although MØ had a big season in that area at Sociedad, where his success rate was also very high. All three pretty consistent.
Passing! This is a lot in one chart, but:
-Huge spike for Aouar last year in most areas. He's either fully blooming or last year is an outlier. Odegaard most voluminous passing into the penalty area. Maddison making the KPs and creating shots.
Here's finishing/scoring. Aouar was a menace last season, but he finished pretty poorly (right bars). Again that's a big year-over-year spike for him, you wonder if that's figuring it out or an anomaly. More of a scorer than MØ on average either way.

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More from @adamvoge

29 Jul
Back in mid-June, for @LeGrove I picked out Bruno Guimaraes, the 23-yo Brazilian currently at Lyon, as a good buy for Arsenal's midfield. Article here: le-grove.co.uk/2021/06/15/dat…

More about why I like him as a potential fit: Image
Ligue 1 and everything, but Bruno checks all my personal boxes. Here's his radar compared to Granit Xhaka and the two most concrete CM links out there, Bissouma and Neves. Look at all that green! 🤯 Image
Here's how those four compare in some key passing metrics, per 90 mins from last season. Bruno is an active shot creator and goal creator. He passes a lot into the penalty area. His xGChain and xGBuildup speak more to his contribution pre-assist, and in both cases he rates well. Image
Read 5 tweets
29 Jul
OK everyone, we need to talk about Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. I call this one "Why Auba can't be as far off as he was last season..." (1/x) Image
Stop me if you've heard this one before: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang had a poor 2020-2021 Premier League season. He scored 10 goals in the league, two from penalties. Unlucky? Ted Lasso might call it "New York Jets."

Perspective: Auba scored 10 for Arsenal in 2018...in 12 gms.
What happened?! For one, his shooting dropped off. Auba hit the target with 33.9 percent of his shots in PL play and was 36.9 pct in all comps. Auba is a career 44.2 percent shooter.

2020-2021 was also the first domestic campaign Auba failed to hit at least one SoT/90, (0.73). Image
Read 15 tweets
27 Jul
OK, lots of interest in the Odegaard thread from earlier, so...let's make it head-to-head! (1/x)...
I noted that Arsenal recorded 1.89 points per match in Odegaard's 9 starts.

In the Prem, Maddison has 88 starts the past three seasons. Leicester have recorded 140 points in those matches. = 1.59 per.

Without JM? 26 matches, 40 points. =1.54 points per.
Next, key passes! Going pace-based here, but keep in mind Maddison has a LOT more appearances in the Prem. MØ's pace last year would have put him between 60-70 KPs. Maddison's last three years:
52
84
95
Read 9 tweets
27 Jul
Should #Arsenal sign Martin Odegaard? A quick statistical detour...
No causation/correlation line here, but MØ was undoubtedly part of the turnaround. The club registered 17 points in his 9 PL starts, 1.89 per. Arsenal put up 44 points in its other 29 matches, 1.51 per match.

The latter pace would have gotten them 11th over a full season.
Odegaard's league starts included wins over Leeds, Tottenham and Chelsea, but he did also start the 0-3 drubbing to Liverpool (Xhaka, Luiz and Saka all missed) and the 1-1 draw to Burnley, one of Arsenal's worst finishing performances of the season.
Read 12 tweets
26 Jul
Why I think a big Pepe year is coming, backed by numbers, in thread form. Buckle up!

@afcnine @LinkUpArsenal @YouAreMyArsenal @itsdjharry @scoutingindoors @mike_mmcdonald Image
In 20-21, Pepe played 32.6 90s, up slightly from his first year at Arsenal, but still down from Lille. He struggled in year one to match his output from his last year in France, as you'd expect after a league change. But year two saw bounces back in goalscoring and shooting. Image
One area Pepe did not improve last year -- assists. His assists/90 were halved, and his xA were down by about 30 percent. He absolutely needs to do better finding his teammates and creating chances, but here's reason to be encouraged that he can.
Read 10 tweets
25 Jul
Arsenal's most-used defensive combination, 20-21 Premier League: Tierney, Mari, Holding, Bellerin.

4 matches, 9 points.
+6 GD
+1.4 expected GD
Tierney-Gabriel-Holding-Chambers

3 matches, 6 points
+1 GD
-0.9 xGD
Cedric-Holding-Luiz-Bellerin
3 matches, 4 points
+1 GD
-0.5 xGD
Read 5 tweets

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