1/ This is why you get an F in public health if you base your policy on viral loads, bad models, and rejected papers while still showing strong VE against severe outcomes.

You get stupid headlines and hysteria like this…
2/ Let’s see what others have to say -
6/ And to top it off, the R0 of Chickenpox is twice that of Delta (estimated)

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More from @aginnt

23 Jul
1/ This is dangerous.

“It would create a carveout in Section 230 opening social media platforms up to lawsuits for hosting health misinformation. The bill directs the HHS to issue guidelines on what should be classified as ‘health misinformation’.”
theverge.com/2021/7/22/2258…
2/ Several voices including myself to @MartinKulldorff to @BallouxFrancois have been slander with the label “misinformation” even though we present evidence and data based views.

This isn’t about your health or safety. It is purely about controlling you and science.
3/ What is “official advice” often contradicts itself. Officials will change their mind or not take a position due to uncertainty. This will force regulators to take unhealthy positions. Trust will fall.

It’s “misinformation” to assume there is one voice in science and medicine.
Read 4 tweets
3 Jul
1/This is profoundly incorrect.

"If you get vaccinated, about 90% of the time you’re not going to get COVID, even if you do get it, there will be less of the virus in you and your illness is likely to be much milder.” - Jeff Burgess, MD, MS, MPH

foxnews.com/health/covid-1…
2/ Who pushed that half (yes, half) of COVID infections will result in heart damage.

Classic measurement bias.
3/ Who supports endless lockdowns.
Read 4 tweets
8 Mar
1/ "[COVID] has exposed what we all have known existed, but we have tolerated for years: the overt bias of the media, the lack of diverse viewpoints on campuses, the absence of neutrality in big tech, and now more visibly than ever, the intrusion of politics into science."
2/ "We should also fear that the concept of 'the science' has been seriously damaged. Even the best journals in the world have become contaminated by politics and published bad science. That adds to the public’s confusion, and it diminishes trust in experts."
3/ "By now, many in the public have simply become fatigued...So, how do we proceed at this very moment, in this country, with its heavily damaged psyche? Those of us who want the truth must keep seeking it, and those of us who see the truth must keep speaking it."
Read 4 tweets
11 Feb
1/ COVID & mass hysteria

"Using the background of COVID, we study past mass hysteria. Negative information which is spread through mass media repetitively can affect public health negatively in the form of nocebo effects and mass hysteria."
2/ "We argue that mass and digital media in connection with the state may have had adverse consequences during the COVID crisis. The resulting collective hysteria may have contributed to policy errors by governments not in line with health recommendations."
3/ "Prior scientific research on disease mitigation measures during a possible influenza pandemic had warned against such invasive interventions and recommended a more normal social functioning. Moreover, in reaction to past pandemics, there were no lockdowns."
Read 4 tweets
27 Dec 20
1/ The COVID law fatigue argument for increase spread is fundamentally flawed and weak as it assumes efficacy. Though people are sick of the nosy, rude, hysterical voices, there is very little IRL evidence that these laws are practical or impact the infection curve notably.
2/ We regularly see articles and tweets condemning a lack of adherence to various incongruent and illogical COVID laws. These suffer from ascertainment and sampling bias.

Those that don’t believe the restrictions won’t follow the restrictions.

Shocking, I know.
3/ Polling data and our individual experience shows that adherence was well into the super majority. No rational mind assumes 100% compliance with any policy. Rather these events were reported because of their heterodoxy and a desire to push conventional thinking.
Read 5 tweets
14 Sep 20
1/ @YouTube should update their priors and follow recent statements by WHO or they will have to start taking down WHO videos.

Let’s review some of these statements from the @WHO and how similar they are to @SWAtlasHoover

thefederalist.com/2020/09/14/cen…
2/ We can’t stop society and have to learn to adapt. Protect the vulnerable -
3/ Avoid lockdowns at all costs - newstalk.com/news/says-nati…
Read 5 tweets

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