I am doing my master's thesis on alternative option pricing models with applications to risk management (e.g. #VaR measures, hedging).
I have a good background in finance and econometrics.
What kind of new and valuable insight could I bring to this topic?
@GARP_Risk @PRMIA
VaR - Value at Risk is not an Option Pricing model!
BSOP Greeks enable the Options trader to understand and hedge against Market Risk in various forms.
You cannot really use VaR to price options on its own.
A RAROC / RARORAC / RORAC/ ROVAR Type Model might do the trick, but that is beyond the scope of your question and this discussion,
Simply put =>
#VaR is a risk measurement derived from a computation technique, used by Enterprise (Financial) Risk Managers, to forecast financial losses.
VaR is a probabilistic, and forward-looking measure of “potential” loss, reported either on an individual asset wise and/or across a portfolio-wide basis!
Market, Credit and Operational VaR Models can further be referred to as the Maximum Loss Measure derived under the given Normal Market or
Operational Statistical Process Control Assumptions.
Operational VaR models, which might use a PMF - Probability Mass Function, are slightly different from their Credit and Market VaR Model counterparts.
They are different VaR Computational Methods / Models.
They are different #VaR Computational Methods / Models.
I won't get into that!
DIFFERENT TYPES OF POTENTIAL LOSSES AS PREDICTED BY THE VaR - VALUE AT RISK MODEL =>
1.A financial (marked to market) loss or an accounting is driven revaluation loss(usually in the trading book).
For, E.g. due to #IFRS9.
2.Capital Impairment Risk driven Loss Event/s, as reported in the context of Private Equity Investments and/or #REITs / Property Market Investments.
3.A Credit Rating Downgrade led Credit Loss Given Event (usually in the banking book or within the fixed income assets portfolio) which is used to predict the maximum credit event-driven loss/es of a Corporate Loan Portfolio (as reported by the JP Morgan styled
aka Credit metrics VaR Model) or a Pooled Default Event(having Homogeneous Characteristics) as witnessed in terms of both the expected
and unexpected loss severity of a Retail Loan Portfolio (as reported by the Credit Risk Plus Model which is a Reduced Form Model, which uses a Poisson Distribution for modelling default incidents).
4.or purely due to an Operational Risk led Loss Given Event. This can be used across different industries, and not just FIs - Financial Institutions.
For e.g. the Credit Risk Modeling - Type I and Type II Operational Risk Failures and so on etc.
5. Other risk methods, applications and insights used in the context of Options Markets by financial engineers and risk managers can be discussed by the others!
But, again, please do not mix option pricing models with VaR Computational Methods per se.
Yes, VaR can help you compute the risk of an Options Exposure / Portfolio using the GREEKS! But the way you have framed the question can irritate and mislead our other readers.
Thank you !!

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Risk Manager(Banks,Asset Management,Insurance)

Risk Manager(Banks,Asset Management,Insurance) Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @SAH16928046

28 Jul
I have even met some foolhardy alternative investment aka asset managers that use the BSOP Black Scholes Option Pricing Model Calculator to price oil exploration, drilling and other natural resource mining risks.
BS Option Pricing Model like its cousin the CAP-M is widely misused
Neither BSOP nor CAP-M were invented to price the risks of tangible engineering projects and other physical activities of commercial nature such as mining, drilling, real estate ventures, REITs, Securitized Toxic Assets, Embedded Bonds, etc.
Model Abuse leads to Modelling Risk!
Although the #BSOP Model has paved the way forward in the domains of Quantitative Finance, Investment Portfolio Management, and Mathematical Trading, like no other academic invention,, it's abuse and misuse, was never controlled.
#LTCM is a case study and an e.g. of that failure!
Read 5 tweets
25 Jul
An Autocratic Ruler needs to control the following to maintain a tight grip over both power and people->
1. Education
2. Religious Interpretation
3. Taxation
4. Currency
5. Military
6. Monopoly Permits
7. Land
8. Unions
9. Publishing and Broadcasting
10. Property Rights
Of course, this is an expandable list!
Many are arguing that I should add more to it.
I just added a few domineering aspects, tools and policy interacting methods of governance, which a ruler might bring into use!
You may add more to the above suggestions.
In modern times, no leader, in the so-called developing world, outside the Fascist Southern European Region, the NAM Nations, LATAM Markets, and the OIC Bloc, had exercised so much control, across all walks of life, other than Late Lee Kuan Yew of #Singapore
Read 56 tweets
24 Jul
I will not invest in a mutual fund, until and unless I won't carry out specific due diligence of my own.
These @MorningstarInc style fund reports are not very helpful.
You should know inside out about the management and especially the fund manager who will be managing your money.
The standard Bull Shit advice marketed in the industry by investor relations and advisory experts =>
Maybe you can check out the Sharpe and Sortino ratios for funds before investing.
If you understand risk management concepts, do check out the VaR - Value at risk figures of all the competing funds drawn from the universe of investment possibilities.
Read 28 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(