Key Learnings from one of the best Investing Letters that I have read this year from @rohitchauhan
Time for a thread with SOIC Key Takeaways 🧵🧵🧵🧵
First Key Learning:
The first is the importance of getting the trend and its timing right. No business does well in isolation, it is a part of a much bigger trend. For eg:In sectors like API/CDMO/Chemicals, many businesses have created wealth. As they are going through tailwinds
Thus,It becomes important to identify long-term trends like manufacturing, Financialization of saving, or Formalization of sector (think PVC/CPVC Pipes) and to be patient. Long-term trends keep offering opportunities. Just think about it- if its truly long term, then the
Opportunity will exist for a long period of time no?
Second Key Learning:
Look at Valuation in a broader context and not in isolation. When a sector catches fancy of the markets, and earnings growth is strong in the entire sector. Most of the time, markets start discounting
the earnings and reward the business with a high multiple. As long as the trend holds and management is executing, one should hold the stock and be tolerant of higher valuations 💯💯💯
Third Key Learning: Boredom is the enemy
Unlike cyclical stocks,, timing the purchase is not critical. Most of these trends last for a long time. Betting on the right management and holding through periods where the business keeps moving forward, but the stock price remains
stagnant is the key. This reminds me of Pi Industries and Syngene. Pi went through a stagnant period between 2016-2018 and Syngene is going through one right now. Given the trends last for a long period, it is okay to hold through and to reap the rewards as markets are non-linear
You will make returns in phases. This is a hallmark of long-term investing.
Fourth Key Learning: Diversification is not just about position size, but also the underlying economic drivers behind each company. Suppose if you own a Building Material co and a Real estate company. The underlying economic drivers remain the same. If you are looking to
diversify properly. Then even the underlying economic drivers of the business have to be different. An example that comes to mind is Navin Fluorine and Prince Pipes. Both the businesses have different underlying economic drivers, which leads to proper diversification.
Last Key Learning: Simplicity is the key
"When I started investing, I thought there is some magic formulae to grow your capital. After 10 years of search, I realized that the answer was staring me in the face.
The key to wealth creation was very simple – Save aggressively and invest patiently." - @rohitchauhan
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
I have seen plenty of Buffettology on Twitter and in other places over the past few years. Its time to clear the air and understand that there wasn't one but 3 different Warren Buffett's that existed throughout his career 📚📚
Time for a thread: 3 Different Buffett's 🧵🧵🧵
One of the biggest mistakes that you as an investor can make is to forget the basic and the most important mental model an investor can have: Numeracy. Being fluent with numbers and respecting the context in which Buffett made his returns.
At the beginning of his career, let's call this Warren Buffett 1 i.e. Between 1957-1968. This was the time when he was working with small sums of money. He was extremely valuation conscious and guess what. How many stocks did he buy and sell between this period?
Let's Understand why Narrative is important in investing and how to create a Thesis that can help you to hold a stock in spite of the market environments
Time for a thread with international and Indian examples, Please retweet so that everyone can benefit 🧵🧵🧵🧵
The world we see and defined is given meaning by the words we choose to use. In short, the world is what we make of it. Something similar applies to creating a thesis before investing in a stock. Your thesis is what makes you hold a stock thick and through in spite of bull/bear
Example 1: Amazon- In May 1997, Amazon became a publically listed business. The target price set by analysts was $18 per share. It finished its first day at $23 per share. (So much for targets). In 1999, in the middle of the tech bubble. Same stock was trading at $100 per share.
SOIC Book Reviews: Dhandho Investor in the Indian Context 🇮🇳🇮🇳
Link to the video 🔗:
Scenarios that often lead to a depressed stock price, Low risk and high uncertainty where often deep value opportunities are available 🚪
Before investing you should ask these questions to yourself otherwise you might enter the Chakravyuh but won't be able to exit like Abhimanyu. Both power of focus and circle of competence are key learnings from this episode 🏹
Markets reward businesses that display the ability to diversify into adjacencies while at the same time maintaining their return ratios.Signals expanding size of opportunity and managements ability to identify more profit pools
Time for a thread with examples 🧵
Astralpoly🚰 isn't just a pipes company anymore. It is a water solutions provider dealing in Adhesives, Tanks, Valves, and Pipes. Homework for everyone: check the CFO compounding of the last decade
Divis Labs💊-again another API Champion which is entering Contrast Media API's which a very concentrated segment. They believe they have the process chemistry advantage over here as well!
In the business world, the rearview mirror is always clearer than the windshield. Be forward-looking as an investor. Read everything about the industry, peers, new products, new methods of distribution, etc.
My go-to resources📝📝
1)Concalls
2)DRHPs
3)QIP docs
4)Annual Reports
5)Magazines like contract pharma, chemical weekly, Forbes, Outlook Business, etc
6)Better to know as much before you are investing. Only annual reports won't cut in today's investing world due to the increasing amount of change that is taking place
7)Read about international
players as much as possible. Looking at what has happened in the international industry can you give you some insight what can happen in the Indian industry :)
The key to it all is consistency- just read for 90mins a day for the next 3 years. The only way to get ahead is reading