So after we throw unvaccinated people out of school and college, ban them from restaurants & bars, fire them from private and federal employment, the next step is to round them up and put them in prison?
I would love it if someone who offers strong arm tactics walks me through their thinking about what happens next in a volatile nation with 300 million guns
This time the fat tail risk is what the response will be.
I just wish folks could think through their policy ideas.
What specifically would you do?
How would you enforce it?
What might ensue?
This is policy 101
Some people saying the punishment will be a fine... Ok, I suspect many will just pay the fine.
Others saying it works for kindergartners. Something tells me that doesn't extrapolate to 50 year olds
You can keep cranking up the pressure, but I strongly suspect you won't increase your vaccination rate by more than 5 % and the negative social consequences from firing people may outweigh the gains.
Policy is more than slogans
One more addendum: drawing analogy to a public health interventions that took years or decades to increase compliance is silly
Here you need compliance increased in days to weeks. In years will be a moot pt.
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I listened and its true
He says parents of unvaccinated kids should wear masks at home
Probably the worst policy idea I have heard the entire pandemic.
How can anyone have confidence in leaders so out of touch with humanity?
Parents of unvaccinated children should not wear masks at home
They should allow children to see their entire face
And NIH leadership should turn over every 5 years or so; for fresh ideas
Americans are so delusional about masking children. Our CDC recommends we mask kids under the age of five, although there's no data that supports this, and it's contrary to the world Health organization recommendation and ignores any downside such as language acquisition
The idea that Delta somehow changes the risk benefit for kids attending school is literally the dumbest idea I've heard
Unless a new variant has an IFR 10-fold higher in that age group, the net benefit is to continue school in person
School has mental and physical benefits
It has benefits on upward mobility, socioeconomic status, equality, civics, society.
It was always a bad idea to close schools. It was a forgivable bad idea in the spring of 2020. By the fall of 2020, the data were clear and it was no longer a forgivable mistake. By 2021 It's criminal to keep it closed any longer
I hope real experts in EBM know that the idea cloth masks "work" on vaccinated people with >50/100k cases SUMMED over 7 days with delta, but not pre-delta, & not at lower case rates, is actually....
Like, I hope that masks have not been so politicized and so linked to virtue that the last intelligent person in biomedicine actually thinks this is evidence based anything
Instead, what it is is the APPEARANCE of doing something, as we wait for the inevitable break in the pandemic trajectory
First, all this fiasco is due to Rick himself!
STAT reports that he advised FDA to approve aduhelm by AA, which drew attention to the pathway
The pathway had been abused for years in cancer, but few cared; now all eyes on it.
He has only himself to blame for the attention!!
Next, as background. FDA lets cancer drugs come to market that improve survival AND some that shrink tumors (RR) or slow their growth past arbitrary thresholds (PFS)
The ratio is what, would you guess?
5:1?
4:1?
....