Thread by @charles_gaba

Interesting. There's a bigger trend line difference between the % of people vaccinated based on *total doses administered* (left) and those *fully vaccinated* (right) by state than I had expected. 1/

The graph on the left (which I use for my daily state-level tracking) is based on total doses divided by 2x pop. (w/J&J counting twice).

The graph on the right only counts people fully vaxxed (either 2 Pfizer/Moderna or 1 J&J); this is what I use for *county-level* tracking. 2/

Since the graph on the right doesn't include those who've only had their 1st dose, it makes sense that every state will be somewhat lower. What surprised me is that there's such a wide difference in *how much* lower some states are than others. 3/

Here's what it looks like for every state. The District of Columbia has BY FAR the biggest gap between residents who've gotten both shots & those who've only gotten their 1st shot (11.4%).

Michigan has the smallest gap (1.9%).

I'm not sure what this means, to be honest.

A negative interpretation would be that DC residents are far more likely to skip the 2nd shot than actual states, which would mean they have a high % of residents running around only half-vaxxed.

A *positive* interpretation would be that there was a big surge in people getting 1st shots in DC about 3 weeks ago, which would mean another big surge of 2nd shots is due over the next week or so.

I haven't been tracking the 1st-shot only data over time, however, so I dunno.

In any event, this particular measurement doesn't seem to have any particular partisan connection, at least at the state level.