Even the parts of the elite now realising: Tory sleaze and Russian money has consequences... the VIP lane, the select influencer club, the dodgy donations, the erosion of the rule of law - hence Johnson's ratings drop *with Tories*... 1/ But...
2/ The most likely COA is another internal Tory coup and/or yet another attempt to create a centrist party ... just as in Labour 2019, ppl with money always think a new, bourgeois liberal party should be easy to create...
3/ But it's not. So Javid/Sunak revving up - there is no genuine liberal wing among MPs, even though the party in the shires is pretty liberal...
4/ Since the Tory party became a career path for rising businesspeople, the stench and chaos around Johnson has become a big negative: who wants "friend of Boris" on their LinkedIn profile?...
5/ ... and the Tories face real crunch points. They borrowed £330bn in a year. Unless they ditch all fiscal orthodoxy and go full MMT, they have to embrace high taxes and austerity eventually.. even before there's a social care solution...
6/ 'Global Britain' is a joke. They're selling off semiconductor plants, defence electronics and aerospace firms... there's no clear strategy to maintain a sovereign defence capability...
7/ In summary the Tories are becoming dysfunctional for the bourgeoisie - they remain functional agents mainly for their Russian mates, their Eton clique, the Spectator/GBNews, US defence firms and er, China's semiconductor strategy...
8/ As for the racist xenophobes who flocked to the party out of UKIP during 2018/19, they can't even get the Tories to attack the England football team with conviction...
9/ I do think British conservatism, such as you hear in the staff rooms of private schools, or at Shrivenham, is a coherent political philosophy: there's just not much of it operating in Johnson's administration...
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