Everyone agrees that the ability to understand (and therefore influence) systems is immensely powerful. But what is systems thinking in the first place?

A Definition of Systems Thinking: A Systems Approach by Ross Arnold & John Wade (2015).

Paper #4 #30papers30days 👇
This paper argues that to make Systems Thinking more understandable, a complete definition is required.

The dictionary says "a system is defined as a regularly interacting or interdependent group of items forming a unified whole."

Something more than a collection of its parts.
Early on, the authors realise that systems thinking is literally *a system for thinking about systems* Image
Barry Richmond, who coined the term 'Systems Thinking', thinks it's about understanding underlying structures. Think org charts.

But it fails to express that systems are also about interconnections. The amount of Aperol Spritz or ice drinks sold is linked to the weather.
The authors exhaustively list what various experts consider to be definitions of systems thinking. There is broad consensus that undertstanding wholes, relationships and feedback loops is an essential part of systems thinking.

Ps, the following tweets are worth bookmarking. Image
THE 8 ESSENTIAL ELEMENTS OF SYSTEMS THINKING.

1. The ability to recognise interconnections between parts of a system. "Even highly educated adults tend to lack this ability."

2. Identifying how some connections form cause-effect feedback loops and impact system behaviour.
3. Understanding System Structure. Think not in things (new event/ pattern/ trend) but in the relation of things. Causal connections.

4. Differentiate between
Stocks: pool of resource ($£€/ time/ will)
Flows: changes in resource levels
Variables: flow rate of resource/ limits
5. Identifying and understanding non-linear relationships. Eg, temp x icecream sales: when too hot, sales reverse

6. Understanding dynamic behaviour. Interconnections, how they combine into feedback loops and even influence stocks/ flows/ variables.
7. Reduce complexity by modelling systems conceptually. Poke at it 10 ways.

8. Understanding systems at different scales. The ability to see the forest and the trees with one eye each. What influences [workplace mental health] at Microsoft Outlook level vs the company's stock?
Light critique.
GOOD: only 11 page read; diagrams distil complexity effectively
BAD: typo; sets out to make ST approachable but uses a lot of undefined language
BETTER IF: more examples - give me at least one example of non-linear relationships or dynamic behaviour
Source.
Arnold, Ross & Wade, Jon. (2015). A Definition of Systems Thinking: A Systems Approach. Procedia Computer Science. 44. 669-678. 10.1016/j.procs.2015.03.050.

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More from @utterlydavid

6 Aug
A three ingredient recipe for keeping your human motivated.

Self-Determination Theory and the Facilitation of Intrinsic Motivation, Social Development, and Well-Being.

Paper #5 #30papers30days 👇
Here's how it opens: a joy to read.

"The fullest representations of humanity show people to be curious, vital, and self-motivated. At their best, they are agentic and inspired, striving to learn; extend themselves; master new skills; and apply their talents responsibly."
This paper is about our motivation and the conditions required to facilitate it. They identify three ingredients.

• Competence: I believe in my ability to do
• Autonomy: I am *choosing* to do it (even if it's painful)
• Relatedness: I matter to others
Read 13 tweets
4 Aug
If you're reading this, you're probably a semi-expert in behavioural economics. Today I read the granddaddy paper of our field: Prospect Theory.

Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk by Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky (1979)

Paper #3 #30papers30days 👇
This paper rails against Expected Utility Theory - the idea that we weigh all options up and choose rationally - and ultimately annihilates this idea.

This paper is about certainty. Our desire to pick options that are most certain, even if they are worse.
Certainty Effect. People overweight outcomes that are considered certain.

You could win some money here. Would you pick A or B?
A: $4000 with an 80% probability
B: $3,000 (100% probability)

80% go for B.
Read 13 tweets
1 Aug
To spread behaviour and start movements, you should be careful about targeting central hubs.

Complex Contagions and the Weakness of Long Ties by Damon Centola (2007). A summary and light critique.

Paper #1 #30papers30days
Most behaviour spreads through social contact. Weak ties - people you barely know - easily spread viruses, and information, like a new job opening. They reach deeply into neighbourhoods you would never know. Whereas, strong ties already know all the gossip.
But, weak ties only allow for 'simple contagion'. Only one source is required to give me covid or tell me Team GB's score.
When the behaviour is costly (social cred, etc) or controversial, people may require independent affirmation and reinforcement from multiple sources.
Read 9 tweets
20 Jun 20
This is everyone who tweeted #Nudgestock2020.
A few things to point out. A thread:

View full res: drive.google.com/drive/folders/…
Centrality. People closest to the centre are the most influential. They have the highest reach or they are associated w/ people who do.

Top 10
@OgilvyConsultUK @rorysutherland @Ogilvy @dilipsoman @42Courses @s_tatam @CassSunstein @danariely @peoplepatterns @CGraves
Clusters. Highly interconnected groups.

Shout out to team green: @adamferrier @thebrainybiz @austint @MikeyFox Blue: @NGruen1 @danbenyork Orange: @kaiwright @chiaravara Pink: @bjfogg @primalpoly @lauriesantos @sentientist @profpauldolan Hot pink: @UofT_BEAR @Bong_Bondhu
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