Climate change dwarfs the pandemic threat. The influence of summits and conference of the parties (COPs) over the past 30 years shows no effect on carbon emissions. (1)
We are in deep trouble: increases in extreme weather events, floods, droughts, wildfires, sea-level rise, food insecurity. And now scary signs of Gulf Stream collapse. (2) theguardian.com/us-news/2021/a…
Each year we publish the Lancet Countdown report describing 41 indicators which track the connections between public health and climate change. (3) lancetcountdown.org
It is shocking that our mainstream papers still carry climate sceptic articles by senior journalists like Dominic Lawson and Matt Ridley that fly in the face of the world's climate scientists. Editors should be more responsible. (5)
Climate change will devastate businesses, banks, stock exchanges and global trade. Much of our housing stock will be blighted. The insurance industry knows the risks. Swiss Re estimate an 18% fall in global GDP in <30 years with no effective action. (6) swissre.com/media/news-rel…
The UK government has a final chance at COP26 to play a part in galvanising really EFFECTIVE global action to get us to a zero carbon world. Please put pressure on your MPs to ensure the commitments of all nations match the crisis. For our children. (7) cap-2030.org
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The £20 benefit cut next month will reduce incomes of claimants less than 25years by 18% and >25 by 15%. Add in the effect of 2.5% inflation. Food bank use is up by one third in a year with one million parcels being given to children (1)
Destitution rates ("going without the essentials we all need to eat, stay warm and dry, and keep clean") have more than doubled since 2019 to 1 in 67 households...with rates as high as 1 in 17 HHs in the North West. (2)
We may expect to see 4-5 million people suffering periods of destitution this winter based on Joseph Rowntree figures from 2019, with unprecedented levels of hunger and food poverty. (3)
I've heard three serious examples of misinformation on BBC programmes in the past 24 hours from Professor Robert Dingwall of JCVI, Lord Sumption and Sir Charles Walker MP. (1)
Dingwall, social science private consultant, who sits on JCVI (why?), was asked about Long Covid. He said the evidence was just 'anecdotal', the numbers of cases causally related to Covid was 'very small' and symptoms were due to people's 'minds' and 'stress'. He is wrong.(2)
Lord Sumption said deaths from Covid outside highly vulnerable groups is very small, 'in the hundreds'. Prof Spiegelhalter has since said he is wrong. (In India 2.2 million people are estimated to have died from Covid). Sumption should not be invited onto BBC to mislead.(3)
I don't mind public criticism but I do object to being misrepresented, in a major paper like @thesundaytimes without being consulted. Their leader writer Dominic Lawson has taken a pop at me so let me correct his accusations. (1)
He says I am not 'an epidemiologist', unlike Chris Whitty. He might have checked my publication record iris.ucl.ac.uk/iris/browse/pr… I would guess 80% of my 403 research papers are 'epidemiological', including numerous population trials.(2)
He takes a 2019 twitter quote from me about being "to the left of Jeremy Corbyn on economics and environmental issues." If you look at the context you'll see I was actually defending @campbellclaret from being expelled from the Labour party. (3)
Seven excellent reports in the FT from UNICEF and Children in All Policies-2030 (cap-2030.org) on what governments + companies should pursue to help the next generation overcome the Covid-19 pandemic, climate change, and economic inequity.(1) ft.com/reports/unicef…
Why investing in children is the most important economic imperative. ft.com/content/01eb69… (2)
Why cutting UK aid damages families, children and also our own international reputation.(3) ft.com/content/137490…
On vaccinating children. UK data released today reports that over ONE Year 5,800 children were admitted with Covid19, 690 children admitted with a linked paediatric inflammatory multisystem syndrome(PIMS-TS) of whom 251 required intensive care. 25 children died from Covid19. (1)
What about Long Covid? ONS figures: 14.5% (of children aged 12-16 have symptoms lasting longer than 5 weeks, and 5.7% (4.1-8.1) lose taste and smell. If half of all children aged 12-16 became infected we might expect >100,000 to lose taste +smell. (3) ons.gov.uk/releases/preva…
The story so far. About the failure of public health. Not masks. Look at the death rates in China (pop 1.4bn), Vietnam (100m), USA (340m) and UK (68m). Yes, you cannot see the death curves in the first two because they are so low. (1)
Our leaders/advisers said you cannot suppress this virus. China and Vietnam did. Then they said these countries will inevitably face a huge second wave. They haven't - just smaller outbreaks that they jump on with good public health implemented by people on the ground. (2)
We were forced into prolonged national lockdowns. Hugely damaging to livelihoods, the economy and mental health. None of the Asian states had national lockdowns, only local ones. Their economies had ten times less damage. (3)