a reminder as you read the #IPCCReport today that governments everywhere, including Biden's, already have an answer to 'what do we do about the climate crisis'
unfortunately for us, and the planet, the answer is 'let's surrender decarbonisation macro to carbon financiers'
another reminder that we cannot rely on central banks to lead decarbonisation.
Not because they shouldnt (it's within mandate, we now agree), but because they fear the threats to their powerful position in the macrofinancial architecture
basically, we wont get serious climate policies until we get a change in macrofinancial paradigm:
1. Rolling back power of private finance (no more climate/nature as an asset class, ESG greenwashing bullshit) 2. Rolling out fiscal arm, with better support from central banks
I for one will be more optimistic about green macro policies for low-carbon transition when my timeline will be debates about how to improve institutional capacity of Ministries for Green Planning
with due respect, systemic greenwashing is a feature, not a bug of 'private finance solution to climate crisis'.
I love infrastructure just as much as any post/Keynesian, and what concerns me (analytically and politically) is not @adam_tooze obsession with infrastructure but financial capital's.
@adam_tooze so we should be talking political economy of Infrastructure as an Asset Class: why and how did private finance sell infrastructure as a transformative economic policy to governments everywhere, formally at G20 since Argentina's (2018, Macri) presidency?
the why according to Natixis: financial capital wants to run our environmental, technological and social transition #WallStreetConsensus
Spain's Social Democrats asking Cuba to push on with 'structural reform' as if: 1. we dont know how that went in Europe 2. it's not the very pro-market reforms that are fomenting inequality and social tensions against background of tighter US blockade
Under Diaz-Canel, Cuba has implemented gradual but substantive Washington Consensus:
weakened social safety net (la libreta, comedores en empresas), pushed price liberalisation, unified currencies, allowed more private sector activity, prioritised foreign currency shops
some of these measures make sense if you're living under the mother of all balance of payment constraints.
but we know from Eastern Europe that such measures exacerbate inequality dramatically.
pretending otherwise is silly, especially from 'progressive' politicians
Larry Fink complaining that IMF/WB havent embraced derisking as development/Wall Street Consensus sufficiently - and not anywhere, but at the G20 meeting.
cannot decide whether @ecb 2% tinkering is a distraction or a massive Trojan Horse for normalising targeting spreads and other innovative crisis policies
10 minutes into this press conference, and all we're debating is what happens around 2%
it's shocking that @ecb Strategy Review says nothing about fiscal-monetary interactions, when ECB has bought basically all sovvies issued by Euroarea countries since the pandemic
yes @Lagarde mentions macrofinancial linkages, but there is nothing in the text that points to the critical role that sovereign yields play in those linkages