The latest #JOLTS report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics reveals a notable uptick in hires and the hires rate, up nearly 700k and 0.4 percentage points between May and June while layoffs continue to trend down. Altogether a promising sign for an economy continuing to recover.
The uptick in the quits rate is notable, likely due in part to increased opportunities for workers to find better job matches, potentially with higher wages or safer working conditions in the lingering pandemic (which had not worsening as much during the June reference period).
Using the last three months of data by sector to smooth data volatility, it's clear that there are still many sectors with more unemployed workers than job openings. To be clear, these comparisons only include those who are in the official measure of unemployment.
It cannot be emphasized enough that the official unemployment measure misses millions of workers that left the labor force, were misclassified as employed not at work, or experienced a drop in pay or hours because of the pandemic.
Remember today's #JOLTS data are for June. What we know from the latest jobs report for July is that the labor market grew by 943,000 jobs, a sign of continue strength in the recovery.
For the latest analysis and charts on the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, please visit
@EconomicPolicy's #JOLTS landing page
epi.org/indicators/jol….
Thanks to @Dannperr for today's updates!

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More from @eliselgould

4 Jun
Today's jobs report is a promising sign that the recovery is on track. The labor market added 559,000 jobs in May and the unemployment rate fell to 5.8%.

1/n
bls.gov/news.release/p…
+559k jobs in May is slightly better than the average growth of the prior 3 months. If this pace continues over the next year, we will likely get down to 4% unemployment by mid-2022 and will be fully recovered before the end of 2022, fully absorbing losses plus population growth.
Employment in leisure and hospitality continues to record strong improvements, gaining 292k in May on top of 328k in April, and 227k in March.

3/n
Read 12 tweets
2 Jun
The COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated underlying disparities in the health and economic wellbeing of people across the country. Segregated cities and neighborhoods have devastated many—disproportionately Black and Hispanic communities—others less so.
1.
journals.lww.com/lww-medicalcar…
Some families have seen multiple family members and friends become seriously ill or lose their jobs, while others have come away relatively unscathed (and in some cases, prospered).
See @LarryMishel+@joriskywalker's latest on the growth in CEO pay: epi.org/blog/prelimina…
2.
Millions of workers have risked their health and the health of their families by going to work in-person, while others have been able to work from home and don’t regularly encounter those facing the pandemic’s wrath.
3.
epi.org/blog/only-one-…
Read 20 tweets
2 Jun
New paper alert from @EconomicPolicy using the latest CPS data on telework, co-authored w/ @joriskywalker.

As of April 2021, only 1 in 5 workers (18.3%) worked from home due to COVID. Black and Hispanic workers are less likely to be able to telework.
1/n
epi.org/blog/only-one-…
At the beginning of the pandemic, @hshierholz and I showed that not everybody can work from home, with the ability to telework differing enormously by race and ethnicity.
epi.org/blog/black-and…
2/n
When we look over the pandemic yea, large disparities remain: only one in six Hispanic workers (15.2%) and one in five Black workers (20.4%) are able to telework due to COVID, contrasted with one in four white workers (25.9%) and two in five AAPI workers (39.2%).
3/n Image
Read 6 tweets
9 Dec 20
Today's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report says "little changed" 16 times. This is not a labor market speeding towards recovery.

bls.gov/news.release/p…
The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey continues to show weaker levels of hires than before the recession hit.
Any hope for a quick recovery is off the table unless Congress acts now.

epi.org/blog/the-job-o…
Last week, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that, as of the middle of November, the economy was still 9.8 million jobs below where it was in February and job growth slowed considerably in November.
epi.org/press/recovery…
Read 10 tweets
4 Sep 20
Today, six months into the recession, when the labor market has seen the sharpest employment declines in our lifetimes, we will get the latest jobs data and learn about how workers are faring. It will confirm what we already know: continuing economic pain.
epi.org/blog/what-to-w…
Today, the BLS reports an increase of 1.4 million jobs in August. In normal times, this would be an enormous jump, but it represents a noted slowdown in the pace of job growth. At this point, the U.S. economy is still down 11.5 million jobs from where it was in February.
In August, the economy is still down 11.5 million jobs from where it was in February (11.8 million if you remove the temporary Census jobs). With this kind of slowing job growth we've seen over the last couple months, it will take years to return to the pre-pandemic labor market.
Read 13 tweets
6 Aug 20
What should we expect in tomorrow's jobs day release?

A stalled recovery.

epi.org/blog/what-to-w…
1/
After historically fast growth in May and June, July's jobs report is sure to disappoint. Because so many jobs were lost in March and April, the economy remains 14.7 million jobs short, and a full recovery even with rapid growth is many months away.
epi.org/press/two-mont…
2/
As COVID-19 has spread rapidly throughout the country, various other data released since the jobs report reference period in mid-June suggest—at best—a stalled recovery. At worst, we could see job losses for July.
3/
Read 17 tweets

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