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Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture
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10 Aug, 4 tweets, 1 min read
"Taiwan's time is running out! I believe that reunification will occur within my lifetime" - On July 29-30 the Taiwan Affairs Office of the CCP Central Committee and the State Council’s Taiwan Affairs Office hosted the 2021 Cross-Strait Relations Seminar in Nanning, Guangxi.
1/4
(they opened a special online portal with transcribed speeches and video interviews taiwan.cn/xwzx/zxzt/2021…). The quote above is from a video circulating online of Prof Yuan Zheng, Deputy Director at the American Research Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS)
"From now on", Yuan adds, "Taiwan should give up the illusion of "Taiwan independence" and consider how to conduct political negotiations with the mainland.
2/
"They should think about how Taiwan's future political arrangements and peaceful reunification can be achieved so that Taiwan has more rights, interests, and autonomy." /End

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More from @GeringTuvia

Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture
21 Jul
"China will work to foster an ideological environment conducive to its rise while opposing Western values" - Yan Xuetong, leading expert on CN foreign policy and the Dean of Tsinghua U's Inst of Contemporary IR, has written a new essay that you won't want to miss. A Summary:
1/15
Yan speaks for CN policymakers who believe that CN's elevated status as a great power gives it the authority to play a new role in IR, "one that cannot be reconciled" with US hegemony, as suggested by the title, "How Should We Make the Voice of CN Diplomacy Heard in the New Era?"
According to Yan, CN's either surpassed or is rapidly closing the gap with the US in a variety of areas, including the ongoing pandemic, 5G technologies, & digital currencies, per Xi: The world is in the midst of changes "unseen in a century", a rising East & a declining West. 3/
Read 16 tweets
Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture
19 Jul
There are a few key points and caveats about China's military ambitions in Djibouti and elsewhere that I'd like to add here, that were not included in the report:
🧵
1/12
That CN has become more aggressive toward its neighbors and repressive at home, and the ambitious nature of the BRI potentially threatens US predominance, does not necessarily mean that any steps beyond its traditional frontiers are less legitimate than the traditional powers' 2/
Beijing's top priority is to ensure that its growing number of citizens, troops, assets, and investments are no longer reliant on foreign forces for protection, particularly assets in BRI countries. Just look at the recent terror attack in Dassu for reference. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture
18 Jul
"A serious casualty like this must be paid for in blood!" - After China and Pakistan officially confirmed that the 9 Chinese citizens were killed by terrorists, the non-affiliated Zhanhao, one of the most popular WeChat blogs, says, "I told you so". 1/4 Image
Like Prof. Liu Zongyi and the Global Times, which I've tweeted about earlier, Zhanhao links the incident to the US, India, and the Pakistani Taliban, and declares that "the time has come for China to fight terrorism!"

2/
More specifically, Zhanhao says that "after the US forces completely withdraw from Afghanistan," China should "eliminate terrorism in northern Pakistan! Seize the opportunity and wipe 'em out in one fell swoop!" 3/
Read 5 tweets
Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture
14 Jul
"What does the decline of American hegemony mean to the world?" - Prof. Huang Renwei, executive president of the Fudan Institute of Belt and Road & Global Governance and former vice president of SASS, sees a future in which US hegemony declines and China's overall power grows 1/7
Because "US fear of losing its hegemony is combined with its fear of CN," and "Washington has positioned CN as its number one strategic competitor, primary strategic threat, and the largest "revisionist" country in the intn'l order," China, too, must rethink its US strategy.
Huang makes the following predictions:
1) Assuming that the US can no longer fulfill so many global obligations, it will abandon many. However, in new ventures, the US and China are on the same starting point, so there will be opportunities for China.
Read 8 tweets
Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture
14 Jul
"As the Taliban takes the initiative to show goodwill, China is determined not to follow in the footsteps of the United States and the Soviet Union [in Afghanistan]" - a short commentary for the Observer by Middle East columnist Sun Jialing. Excerpt:
1/4
"China has never clung to one side, let alone supported a single player, on the Middle East's intricate geopolitical chessboard.
2/4
"The reason this place is known as the graveyard of empires is that most empires have unrealistic ambitions and illusions, so they inevitably perish over their obsessively clenched fists;
Read 4 tweets
Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture
13 Jul
"The introduction of market laws into the moral sphere has resulted in the loss of people's moral constructs, resulting in the commodification of human consciousness and interpersonal relationships, as well as the legitimization of selfishness" - Prof. Chen Lai...
...Dean of Academy of Chinese Learning 国学 and philosophy professor at Tsinghua University, writes a short social critique, not unlike the short lecture video I tweeted about last week from renowned Fudan University professor of philosophy at Wang Defeng
But unlike Wang, Chen Lai believes that to save the souls, so to speak, of the Chinese people, the government should be more involved.
Read 5 tweets

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