One of the things that will be interesting as US leaves Afghanistan is the US doesn't have to have the charade of working with one country that supports the Taliban while also sending soldiers to fight the Taliban....
It's strange how in US history this pattern has repeated itself so many times where the US works with countries that openly hate the US, openly seek to undermine US interests and the US role in neighboring areas...
It has happened so often that one wonders if it's like a built-in flaw in the system; the same thing happened with US policy in Syria, where the US was doing one thing in Syria via CENTCOM and other US officials were working with Ankara to do the opposite.
It usually happens when the US deals with regimes that have for a long time sought to utilize extremist groups to their benefit, often groups that the US then ends up fighting (i.e Al Qaeda)...and US partners flirt with the groups or affiliates, while the US fights them...
It also tends to stem from a lack of coordination, where one part of the government knows or does one thing...while another does something else. Or a fear of "alienating" or "offending" the ostensibly partners.
Also there is this myth of "compartmentalizing" interests...like "we can work with country X on common interests and we will agree to disagree across the border"...but the fact is that US policy is undermined in long term.
The countries that do this tend to sense that the US will leave eventually and they want a hand in the neighboring state...they are happy to work with even genocidal extremists because they think they can control them or get them to at least massacre others.
These same countries, whether Turkey, Pakistan or others, tend to not do this when dealing with others, such as Russia, China, Iran etc; they don't have the janus-face, because they tend to take seriously those countries and know that those countries intel services will know.
Some of these countries also try to lobby DC, using think tanks and others to advance their interests, creating even more complex layers of problems.
I tend to think this is a systematic problem, that the US has tried to shoe-horn "interests" into things and purposely ignored the elephants in the room, quietly saying "we know they support extremists but...we need to engage blah blah"...
Many movies even capture this which shows how well known and obvious it is...whether it was Zero Dark Thirty or others like Charlie Wilson's War....basically it's like the US always knows this and generations were like "well this is how we do it."
Even in worse case scenarios it has involved US personnel being killed or threatened, as happened in Iraq when Iran was targeting US forces for years and there was purposeful attempt to ignore it.
One wonders if the US will get to the point, perhaps as US global hegemony is reduced, will it will have a more Clausewitz whole-of-government unified policy and work with actual friends/allies/partners and not always "engage" with countries that are undermining strategy
Also in the name of "geopolitics" there is this charade of manifestly working with countries that don't even share interests under myths that they might, if only they get X,Y and Z...which is how the US worked with Ankara badly from 2016-2020
There might also be a better method of instead of playing the "we need to engage" game that the US does more of the clear mission and willingness to use blunt language and demand action and get quid-pro-quo out of things then "well we know you support extremists against us but"
Relationships built on trust and clear expectations tend to be better than obfuscation and purposeful lying and faking common interests...especially when one country openly supports groups that want to harm the other country...that's not common interests.

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More from @sfrantzman

18 Aug
The real question, as large amount of the Jerusalem forest have been burned, is whether Israel will ever replant this forest, or instead now put "local" plants...meaning basically leaving it barren and no more forest in the future.
I'm cynical. I think that reforestation was a key aspect of Zionist activism and then Israel's policies in the last century...these things take 100 years to show affects...and when burned...new policies may change or be slow or incompetent.
My sense is that in general due to "experts" or environmental or other reasons, that there is a shift to not doing reforestation, especially with "non-native species" of trees....now there are native trees, but I wonder if they are being planted in mass. My sense is no.
Read 9 tweets
17 Aug
I almost want to create a thread on #TalibanDiplomacy where I post all the interesting tid bits that point to widespread and rapid recognition that Taliban seem to be aiming for from 🇶🇦 🇨🇳 🇷🇺 🇮🇷 🇵🇰 🇹🇷 but also messaging from 🇦🇪 even to 🇮🇳 and 🇺🇸 and I’m assuming many many more
Not sure the extent but Iran is very keen on seeing how this plays out, route to China and want US out and stability but Iran media is pressing for diversity snd regionalism
Now see how they are messaging ☮️…
Read 23 tweets
17 Aug
Whatever happened to those two Iranian ships that sailed half way around the world and then to Russia?
Read 4 tweets
16 Aug
It took decades to reforest these hills, generally after these fires Israel doesn’t bother to replant so eventually most of the hills of Jerusalem won’t have forests. It was nice seeing them while they existed. Symbolic overall of the neglect and impunity
I say this from having observed fires over the last 16 years around Jerusalem, such as near Meveseret, near Mevo Modi’in, Even Sapir and others. In my experience not enough was done after to rehabilitate. I’m sure some will claim that something was done. I just see it everyday
Am I cynical!? Yes. Because I see how fires ravage Greece and Turkey. And I remember the Carmel fire. The forests here are fragile and often seem a bit mismanaged tbh
Read 5 tweets
12 Aug
Fascism always begins by targeting one group and then another. First they came for journalists, dissidents, liberals, minorities like Kurds, LGBT, they targeted Armenia and ethnically cleansed Afrin…they push antisemitism…and now they reportedly attack Syrians.
Anyone who has watched the far-right drowning Turkey in propaganda for years with stories of mythical “terrorists” and leading to purges snd mass prisons and harassment of free thinkers knows what has happened
Also the state controlled media that means most of Turkish media is run by one party means there is no check or balance
Read 7 tweets
8 Aug
Thread: It's funny when people who purposely don't follow you on Twitter, despite the fact you cover things they tweet about...then send you "advice"...yeah, hey...I'm more interested in advice from people who respect my work...of course you're welcome to reach out and say hi...
Also if you're going to send someone suggestions, or try to "educate" them on how to make a news article better...it might behove you to learn that writers don't choose the photo illustrations for their articles...but then you might know that if you'd bother to ask them first...
Also...funny when the people who do this are the SAME ones who block people they don't follow from even replying to their tweets...like they don't want people to reply...but they want to send advice to others...hypocrisy...
Read 4 tweets

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