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Seth Frantzman Profile picture
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17 Aug, 23 tweets, 7 min read
I almost want to create a thread on #TalibanDiplomacy where I post all the interesting tid bits that point to widespread and rapid recognition that Taliban seem to be aiming for from 🇶🇦 🇨🇳 🇷🇺 🇮🇷 🇵🇰 🇹🇷 but also messaging from 🇦🇪 even to 🇮🇳 and 🇺🇸 and I’m assuming many many more
Not sure the extent but Iran is very keen on seeing how this plays out, route to China and want US out and stability but Iran media is pressing for diversity snd regionalism
Now see how they are messaging ☮️…
Now US looks like it could BUILD on confidence building happening at airport 🇺🇸 🇦🇫
This 🧵 is HAPPENING…more below
Now relating to 🇮🇳 🇵🇰
Israel too 🇮🇱
Here is UAE @AnwarGargash discussing possibilities
Hamas was no surprise via @KhaledAbuToameh
Also of course Qatar played key role and will leverage it’s Taliban ties for region and across Asia
Oman, which is often neutral in many regional issues and also open to Iran diplomats, has hosted Israel PM in 2018, India etc; can look to play a role also
EU seems concerned mostly with migrants
They have met 🇷🇺 and deputy foreign minister Vepa of Turkmenistan
Was Tajikistan choice a sign?
Uzbekistan has also been in touch, also Lavrov out out a positive comment;
We know Turkey has positive messaging; Azerbaijan says it’s peacekeepers are safe
Turkey doesn’t want Afghan refugees but is pleased with possible ties Image
Besides the obvious China relations, I think we could see Malaysia also
Could also see Bangladesh signals but also concerns over local extremists
These are all the #TalibanDiplomacy details I’ve seen so far and broad brush strokes of what is happening #Kabul #Afghanistan ; will keep updates in next days and probably write something
Via @Adam_Lucente on the Gulf and Taliban
UK may see positive energy;
Iran reports on EU possibilities with Taliban; tasnimnews.com/fa/news/1400/0…

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More from @sfrantzman

Seth Frantzman Profile picture
5 Sep
Remember all that mumbo-jumbo about a borderless world and globalization blah blah…well turns out that this is a world is walls and MORE walls everyday, and soon it will all be walls. A divided, totalitarian world is what this century brings. Boxes and more alertness. Bigotry
I had to sit through these ridiculous classes in university where people would talk about their world without borders….yeah it was tried in Schengen, I was there in HU in 2015 when it began to breakdown, also saw the border wall Ankara put up, I saw the one Israel built etc etc
When I was in high school people used to go leave water for migrants crossing from Mexico in Arizona…now there are walls and more walls…I think basically everywhere I’ve been I’ve seen the walls and fences go up. And then the pandemic and more CCTV etc etc
Read 4 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
5 Sep
Thread: The whole story of how Syria is positioning itself to be an energy broker for Lebanon, either via Iranian gas shipments and/or via Jordan and Egypt natural gas and electricity has potentially HUGE implications.
The Syrian regime was isolated and under sanctions, but this enables it to play the "good cop" and help energy flow to Lebanon, thus aiding what the US thinks are its interests AND Iran thinks are its interests...Syria suddenly becomes key to Iran and the US, Jordan, Egypt
Syria can use this to get around sanctions and it can work closely with Jordan and Egypt, as it has wanted to do more work also with Iraq (via Albukamal) and Iran...and then to the Gulf, where Riyadh is now working with Iraq, and other Gulf states want Syria back in the fold.
Read 12 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
5 Sep
The destruction of the middle class in Lebanon and the ruin of the economy to subvert the country to Hezbollah and Iran is the Iranian “resistance axis” model for the Middle East. There is no country Iran’s proxies got into that didn’t become economic wasteland. Shame
Unfortunately this is the goal. The Tehran goal and its proxies that divert the economy, hijack and mafia off it, then send the profits and grift back to Tehran, they turn countries into hollowed out carcass and then bring in parallel state. They never build anything
if you look at a swath of states that Iran’s regime is involved in over the last decades you won’t find the influence building highways and universities and water infrastructure. You will find that in areas outside the Tehran clutches, such as the Gulf or Jordan, Israel, Turkey.
Read 5 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
4 Sep
The reports of an incident near Damman and/or Dhahran, Saudi Arabia this evening, here is the distance from Yemen where there have been growing tensions, escalation;
I'll add some tweets as things develop;
And here;
Read 14 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
4 Sep
There to oversee the victory
Some have said he has a resemblance to actor Silvio Dante….but this is apparently him… dawn.com/news/1488568
This is Silvio Dante; sopranos.fandom.com/wiki/Silvio_Da…
Read 4 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
31 Aug
Israel's IDF: "The Historic "Noble Waters" Naval Exercise Between the Israeli Navy and the U.S. Navy’s Fifth Fleet: The first exercise between the Israeli Navy and the U.S. Navy's Fifth Fleet was held today (Tuesday) in the Red Sea." (Photos courtesy IDF)
"During the exercise, the two navies practiced a variety of scenarios including defense and rescue operations. The exercise saw the two navies working side by side, learning together and strengthening the connection and familiarity of the two nations' fleets."
"The exercise marks the beginning of joint efforts between the Israeli Navy and the U.S. Fifth Fleet, as part of the transitioning of IDF matters to the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM). This is the first exercise of many planned to take place in the future."
Read 4 tweets

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