TUESDAY #COVID19Colorado update

Headline: Definite slowdown in CASE increase. Peak? Not sure yet. But we aren't rising fast at all anymore. Patient count, OTOH, nears 500.

HOSPITALIZATIONS
covid+ ONLY

Today: 494 (+16)
Last week: 383

#9news
CASES

Look at this... Case count has totally leveled off in last few days.

(Yes, I know, cases ain't a great metric... but it's still a metric we should watch)
Look closer... Leveling off easier to see.
POSITIVITY

Nearing 6%

Testing is going back up again. Not surprising
What's it all mean?

For now, case increase has slowed to a crawl.

Ideally, this would be sign of us hitting the peak.

too soon, IMHO, to say for sure. But it's better than sharp increases. Right?
Bottom line...

Let's do something I don't normally recommend... but let's watch CASES this week.

A continued leveling off will add evidence to idea that we've hit peak.

Hospitalizations will likely still go up for a bit longer.

As always. Take care!

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More from @chrisvanderveen

10 Aug
QUICK #COVID19Colorado Thread

It's early -- and, of course, things could change -- but Colorado showing signs of potentially hitting latest wave peak

Look at cases. Numbers have stabilized over the last 5 days.

Generally right around 900 cases

No significant growth.
Denver...

Just showing very recent stabilization. This is SUPER early. And I wouldn't recommend drawing too many conclusions here.
Hospitalizations are still headed up

Gone from 291 to 478 in 2 weeks

(this metric lags... so even if cases have peaked, we won't see it here for a bit.. .also... there are an unknown # of out-of-state patients here now)

@COHospitalAssn: Do you have any current number on this?
Read 4 tweets
5 Aug
QUICK THREAD

Look, I'm just a dopey reporter. And, of course, you shouldn't take my word when it comes to getting a vaccine

If you're nervous... or just somewhat inquisitive...

... of course...

...ask a doctor.

But here's the thing...

(MORE)
DO NOT BE SURPRISED when that doctor tells you to get the vaccine.

Doctors have overwhelmingly elected to get the vaccine themselves. How overwhelmingly?

96% seems pretty high. Right?

ama-assn.org/press-center/p…
Here's the thing...

Of course you should ask your doctor... but when people keep bringing this subject it up...

it smacks of a red herring.

I see it... over and over and over and over in my feed.
Read 7 tweets
4 Aug
WEDNESDAY #COVID19Colorado Update

Headline: (SIGH of relief). Hospitalizations dip.

HOSPITALIZATIONS
covid+ ONLY

today: 367 (down 16)
last week: 297

#9news
CASES

Probably being a little optimistic... but if you look closely you can see a tiny little plateau on the far right.

Yeah. It's early. And "one day don't a trend make"

But will be good to watch this is next few days
POSITIVITY

Look at this as well!

Slight plateau on far right?

(Good news is that fast increase has, at least for the time being, slowed)
Read 6 tweets
4 Aug
QUICK THREAD re: states & covid

Louisiana...

Note: Nearly identical CASE and HOSPITALIZATION rise continues

(thanks @nytimes)
Florida

Steeper HOSPITALIZATION curve
Alabama

Same deal
Read 8 tweets
3 Aug
DENVER

It's clear Denver is now seeing a steady increase in COVID cases

Nearing 100 in one-week incidence rate

The rise, at least right now, is a bit steeper than the state rise. We should watch that closely.

#COVID19Colorado
Also leading to increased hospitalizations.

Just starting to go up
Looks like the two main drivers...

20-29
and
30-39
Read 5 tweets
3 Aug
Journalists (myself included) haven’t asked enough tough questions about forcing the previously infected to get vaccinated

Yes. I know. It’s recommended

But there’s clearly a level of protection & the assumption they’re massively contributing to spikes doesn’t seem to be true
To be clear…I’ll still follow the guidance that says previously infected are even better protected with one dose.

And I realize the logistics here wouldn’t be easy.

But I think it’s time we ask more questions.

Open to a (civil) discussion below.
I’m also wary of the numerous red herrings the anti-vax crowd has routinely thrown out.

Loads of people simply believed they had COVId, particularly early on. They’re now trying to suggest they’re good when they have no proof that they are.
Read 4 tweets

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