Thread by @Chrisbilbo

NSW R_eff as of Aug 14th with daily cases and Sydney restrictions. Latest estimate: R_eff = 1.36 ± 0.13

Plus projected effect of vaccination rollout.

Cases shown on a linear scale (log scale in next tweet).

More info chrisbillington.net/COVID_NSW.html

#covid19nsw #covidsydney

NSW R_eff as of Aug 14th with daily cases and Sydney restrictions. Latest estimate: R_eff = 1.36 ± 0.13

Plus projected effect of vaccination rollout.

(Cases shown on a log scale)

More info chrisbillington.net/COVID_NSW.html

#covid19nsw #covidsydney

R_eff in LGAs of concern* vs the rest of NSW (*all of Penrith counted as an LGA of concern):

LGAs of concern: R_eff = 1.25 ± 0.11
Rest of NSW: R_eff = 1.70 ± 0.22

(Cases shown on a log scale)

#covid19nsw #covidsydney

Expected numbers if the current trend continues:

Sun: 460 388—538
Mon: 490 403—585
Tue: 522 418—635
Wed: 553 436—689
Thu: 586 451—747
Fri: 619 468—808
Sat: 656 484—876

Doubling time is 11 days.