Completely correct. Probably easiest to illustrate this by showing how you can build out a real estate firm in 2 different scenarios

Scenario 1: You keep the "firm" small (1-man shop) and only invest your own money

Scenario 2: You take on investor money and grow out a PE firm
For both scenarios, lets assume you're pursuing a value-add strategy that's expected to 2x your capital in 5 years (~15% IRR)
In Scenario 1, you can stay in far smaller deal ranges. Let's say you stay in the $2MM-$10MM deal range.

If you do a $6MM deal, that would require ~$2MM of equity. A 2x on that capital would net you $2MM profit
You can probably pull off ~3 or so of those deals a year if you're running a 1-man shop with a few VAs or similar. So it's not unreasonable, once you hit your stride, to be making $5MM+/year with very few responsibilities. Few employees, no investors, only answerable to yourself
In Scenario 2, on the other hand, you need to do far bigger/more deals to yield that same profit. Typically private equity firms receive 20% of the profits (classic 2 and 20 model)

That means you'd need $10MM of investor equity to receive that same $2MM profit from a deal
$10MM equity=~$30MM deal size

Doing 3 $30MM deals each year is far more difficult than doing 3 sub $10MM deals. You can obviously also try to increase the deal size (to deploy that equity in 1 deal) but finding good $90MM deals is even more difficult than finding good $30MM ones
It's more difficult because you're now competing against institutions rather than retail. And many institutions have lower return thresholds than you. Not only that, but the marketing process is more robust. Harder to steal a deal marketed by Eastdil than one by a small brokerage
Let's say you're able to pull it off. 3 $30MM deals nets you $6MM profit ($30MM*20%)

(Yes you'll receive mgmt fees too but those are mostly breakeven until you reach a larger AUM)

But you don't get to keep all of that $6MM - you now have employees who eat up some of the promote
If you've given carry to some of your employees totaling 33% of the promote, you're now only making $4MM. So now you're actually making *less* than you would have just simply running your own money

So now you need to grow even bigger to compensate
There's obviously more potential profit in S2 since you're dealing with way larger amounts of money and it's easier to scale when you have a team. But in S2 you're now operating in a more competitive deal size range and against sophisticated PE firms rather than retail investors
So investing itself is actually way harder. Not only that but you have more added stress. You now have a team you're responsible for (and their families as well). You have added stress in that you have investors who you have to answer to and whose money you need to protect
In summary, there's no right or wrong answer. But it's important to think about what you're truly looking for (both in regard to your life and the business)

If you want to scale to the moon and become a billionaire, go for it
But growing isn't always the right option. Sometimes you can make more money with less stress by staying small

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More from @TheRealEstateG6

15 Sep
Think people go about choosing a market all wrong. RE investors make money on mispricings

Smaller mkt=less competition=less price discovery=more mispricings=easier to generate outsized returns

So your main criteria for a mkt should be "place with the least competition"

THREAD:
Most people will tell you to look for population growth, etc

But that just means more competition

If 15 firms are bidding on a deal (like in bigger/higher growth markets) there's no mispricing and only way you get outsized returns is if you're lucky or have a unique biz plan
So (as long as you're searching for short term flips) I would ignore all of those "population growth"-type stats entirely

The only stat that matters is finding a market that has the most mispricings. Everything else is essentially useless noise
Read 25 tweets
2 Sep
Since I've been getting a ton of DMs about the RE career path,

// DECODING REAL ESTATE CAREERS //: An in-depth overview of the career paths in the real estate sector, which ones you want to target and which ones you want to avoid
Read 6 tweets
20 Aug
Got some questions regarding the flow of funds in an RE deal

The flow of funds is actually determined by the lender, which is provided in loan docs. Then, the operating agreement will have a separate FOF afterward for "excess" funds

Lender FOF on the left, LLC FOF on the right
Cash Management typically occurs when a debt covenant has been breached (usually the DSCR or Debt Yield dipping below a required threshold)

Once this occurs, all cash is swept into a "lockbox" controlled by the lender and follows the "lockbox" FOF (rather than the normal FOF)
The Cash Management Period can typically be resolved by 2 consecutive calendar quarters above a specific DSCR or Debt Yield threshold, after which time revenue is no longer swept into a lockbox and the normal flow of funds resumes
Read 8 tweets
18 Aug
Majority of your yield is locked in at acquisition, which is why buying well is so important

Even an accretive, high return-on-cost action only represents a fraction of the purchase price - which is why having great deal flow (good purchase price) is so important

For example...
Say you buy a building for $10MM at a 5% cap rate, meaning the NOI is $500k

The building is 100 units and you plan on spending $1MM renovating it to increase the rents by $1,200/year in each unit ($120k revenue increase in total)
That's a 12% return on cost ($120k/$1MM) - which is pretty good, considering you bought the building for a 5% cap rate

After the renovations at the property are complete, the stabilized yield will be $620k/$11MM = 5.64%
Read 9 tweets
29 Jul
Bringing back an old ex. after today's deal structuring questions

DEAL STRUCTURE - HOW TO ANALYZE A DEAL LIKE THIS:

Deals like this are all about:

1. How quickly you can get your money out
2. How "secure" the cashflow is

We'll go through both in order

1. How quick you can get your $$ out

A 10% cap rate on $1.3MM is $130k of NOI. Since this is a retail deal, I probably won't leverage above 60%

60% * $1.3MM = $780k. Assuming a 5% interest rate (interest-only debt, your debt payment would be ~$40k, leaving you ~$90k of cashflow
$90k * 5 years = $450k of cashflow over 5 years

Initial equity in the deal is:

$1.3MM PP + $50k deal costs = $1.35MM

$1.35MM - $780k debt = $570k of initial equity

So over the 5 years of the lease, you would be able to pull out $450k of $570k (~80%) in cashflow alone
Read 18 tweets
28 Jul
HOW TO KNOW WHEN TO IMPROVE YOUR PROPERTY:

Return on cost is simply the revenue boost or cost savings of a specific action (ex renovating units) divided by the cost to get there

Anytime the ROC exceeds the cap rate you bought the property for, that action is accretive
For example, on my newest deal, changing out the toilets to more efficient toilets saves ~$3.5k/year on the water bill. Cost of the toilets will be ~$175/toilet*40 units = $7k. Add in labor costs, $10k total

That’s a ROC of 35%, which is very accretive as I’m buying for an 8 cap
Essentially, the starting NOI was $200k and the purchase price was $2.5MM ($200k/$2.5MM = 8% cap rate)

That $200k NOI becomes $203.5k after the cost savings and the cost of the deal becomes $2.51MM, resulting in an 8.1% yield, a 10 bps increase from the 8% I bought it for
Read 6 tweets

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