Reports of mass quarantine or school closures due to Covid-19 often spark “but did they get it in school?” comments.

This is irrelevant.

Why?

All school transmissions will start w an infection from outside of school.

To *prevent* in-school spread quarantine is still needed.
Another thing worth noting:

High community transmission rates means it will be *very* difficult to track down where someone contracted the virus.

Tracing works great when cases are low & there are limited possible exposures. When anywhere is a possible exposure point…
So don’t expect much info on whether cases were from outside or inside of school to be reported, especially in places with large spikes.

Either way 100+ kids showing up to school w Covid is BAD NEWS.
Make that 200+ kids with Covid since school started. 😬

Keeping school buildings open is going to require a massive public effort.

Despite the panic about education loss last year, it sure doesn’t seem like folks are willing to put in the work to make this possible.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Dominique Heinke

Dominique Heinke Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Epi_D_Nique

18 Aug
Make no mistake, this is a policy choice.

And no, it doesn’t matter if hospitalizations & kids in ICU are really there bc of RSV:

A full hospital is a full hospital.

A full hospital can’t care for kids who are sick or injured for *any* reason.

This is crucial…
As the linked article even very sick kids have high survival IF they can receive care.

But IF hospitals cannot take more patients, IF they run out if ventilators or staff, kids cannot get that life-saving care.

Sending kids to schools without adequate protections is dangerous.
There's not much excess capacity for children's hospitals in the US.

And remember, kids with cancer, major birth defects, genetic diseases need those ICU beds too. These kids are especially vulnerable to Covid-19 as well so a surge in cases risks their exposure in the hospital.
Read 40 tweets
17 May
My fan-fiction CDC statement:

Dear America,

We now have enough data to say that the vaccines are highly effective at preventing transmission as well as severe outcomes. This is great news!

Most people who are fully vaccinated can feel confident their level of protection.

1/
This means that people with fully functioning immune systems who are not on immunosuppressant drugs have strong protection against getting Covid-19 in nearly all situations.

This includes when you are outdoors or indoors with unvaccinated people.

However...
Although infection rates are dropping quickly in many places, thanks to these wonderful vaccines, Covid is still spreading to too many people and we do not have enough people vaccinated to gain good control.

We also do not have a vaccine verification program.

Therefore...
Read 5 tweets
19 Mar
@CarolineSeydel @tarahaelle I'll see if I can explain this via tweet!

As adults are vaccinated, they will be less likely to be infected, even if exposed to covid. As more adults become immune, the population who is still susceptible to infection will be mostly kids.
@CarolineSeydel @tarahaelle So, for example, if only 10% of infections are in 5-14 range, as adults become vaccinated this group is more likely to make up an increasing proportion of cases.

This is true even if their infection rate was constant bc there'd be less infected adults.
@CarolineSeydel @tarahaelle But, as more schools go in-person kids will have more contact with each other, both in classrooms and in sports, play dates, etc. so the infection rate is also likely to increase in this group.

And again, even if the chance of each interaction still had the same transmission...
Read 12 tweets
19 Mar
On the subject of vacations:

It is possible (*for some folks*) to vacation safely during the pandemic, even with others!

The key is not to pretend that children are magically protected, but to follow reasonable precautions.

#EpiTwitter: How would you behave to vacation safely?
So, say for me, an unvaccinated adult potentially at risk for complications from covid, with an adult partner (low risk) and no children:

We are likely to drive to a destination where we can stay in our own space - say a cabin or vacation rental. Others would stay separate.
Say my friends join (2 vaccinated adults and 2 low-risk kids <10).

They would have their own space and we would plan our activities around outdoor spaces - hiking, beach, etc. Meals together would be outdoor & spaced, masks in all indoor spaces together (minimize).
Read 6 tweets
29 Jan
This study adds some new information on the spread of Covid in schools.

Let's walk through this and see what we can learn!

Thread!
The study follows the experience of two K-12 independent schools through the fall of 2020.

School A (Southern US): 2299 students & staff
School B (Mid-Atlantic): 1200 students & staff

The schools had similar plans re: opening, closing, mitigation
Here's where this study really stands out:

Universal Testing.

Regular testing of students & staff regardless of symptoms!

Testing was not as frequent as would be ideal, especially in the beginning. BUT this helps us glimpse how many infections are missed w/o this testing.
Read 37 tweets
2 Nov 20
When we are thinking about the best learning environment for kids *right now* it seems to me a mistake to use pre-Covid performance as the comparison.

That’s not possible in most places so the comparison it isn’t helping us answer the relevant question:

What works best NOW? 1/
Partially this is bc MANY things have changed with the pandemic.

Who among us isn’t more stressed?

Kids now live under the risk of a deadly disease.

Some have lost family.

Parents have lost jobs.

All have lost freedom and social interaction.

KIDS are different now.

2/
It is absolutely expected that test performance and learning will be lower in these circumstances - even with ideal instruction.

So when we compare Covid to pre-Covid it’s not just in-school vs at home that is being tested but:

in school - Covid vs out of school + Covid. 3/
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(