As the linked article even very sick kids have high survival IF they can receive care.
But IF hospitals cannot take more patients, IF they run out if ventilators or staff, kids cannot get that life-saving care.
Sending kids to schools without adequate protections is dangerous.
There's not much excess capacity for children's hospitals in the US.
And remember, kids with cancer, major birth defects, genetic diseases need those ICU beds too. These kids are especially vulnerable to Covid-19 as well so a surge in cases risks their exposure in the hospital.
We now have enough data to say that the vaccines are highly effective at preventing transmission as well as severe outcomes. This is great news!
Most people who are fully vaccinated can feel confident their level of protection.
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This means that people with fully functioning immune systems who are not on immunosuppressant drugs have strong protection against getting Covid-19 in nearly all situations.
This includes when you are outdoors or indoors with unvaccinated people.
However...
Although infection rates are dropping quickly in many places, thanks to these wonderful vaccines, Covid is still spreading to too many people and we do not have enough people vaccinated to gain good control.
We also do not have a vaccine verification program.
As adults are vaccinated, they will be less likely to be infected, even if exposed to covid. As more adults become immune, the population who is still susceptible to infection will be mostly kids.
@CarolineSeydel@tarahaelle So, for example, if only 10% of infections are in 5-14 range, as adults become vaccinated this group is more likely to make up an increasing proportion of cases.
This is true even if their infection rate was constant bc there'd be less infected adults.
@CarolineSeydel@tarahaelle But, as more schools go in-person kids will have more contact with each other, both in classrooms and in sports, play dates, etc. so the infection rate is also likely to increase in this group.
And again, even if the chance of each interaction still had the same transmission...
So, say for me, an unvaccinated adult potentially at risk for complications from covid, with an adult partner (low risk) and no children:
We are likely to drive to a destination where we can stay in our own space - say a cabin or vacation rental. Others would stay separate.
Say my friends join (2 vaccinated adults and 2 low-risk kids <10).
They would have their own space and we would plan our activities around outdoor spaces - hiking, beach, etc. Meals together would be outdoor & spaced, masks in all indoor spaces together (minimize).