It has been reported that UMNO leadership unanimously agreed to propose Ismail Sabri as its nominee for PM9.
In essence what UMNO decides is also what BN decides.
Lest we forget, this is the same UMNO that
- colluded with Bersatu and PAS to topple the elected PH govt
(cont.)
- was a MAJOR part of the PN government, but was publicly wishy-washy as to being part of the PN govt
- PUBLICLY stated (more than once) that it would withdraw support from PM8, but at the same time supports the PN govt
If Mental Gymnastics were an Olympic event, Malaysia would win Gold, Silver AND Bronze… no contest.
What’s less strenuous to figure out is that UMNO wants to regain its previous position of power.
The other question: given the various candidates, who will PPBM back?
Because the answer to that question contributes to who really has the numbers.
It doesn’t take sophisticated analytics to figure out that UMNO is the source of the PN regime’s fall. PPBM *should* realize this, unless they’re completely brainless - the jury’s still out on this
IF PPBM doesn’t throw their support behind the candidate of the party that screwed them over, whom *will* they cast their Yea vote for?
The answer to that probably lies in another question: what do they want in return, and what concessions will they actually get?
Personally, I find it interesting, if not a little ironic, that Malaysia’s political impasse (again) and the Afghan theater are happening almost in perfect parallel.
Both, however, are worlds apart; figuratively and literally. Apart from timing, though, not much in common...
… except for one thing: criticality of the OPTICS in creating public perception.
But from where I sit at the moment, the optics for both are still kinda off-focus…
(END)
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1/ Tomorrow, 31st August 2021, we commemorate the 64th year of “Merdeka”.
“Merdeka” simply means ‘independence’. In our case, the independence of the Federated and Unfederated Malay States, plus the Straits Settlements of Penang and Melaka, from the British.
[This is a thread]
2/ And this “Merdeka”, which happened in 1957, led to the formation of the Federation of Malaya. It wouldn’t be until 6 years later, with the addition of Sabah, Sarawak and (for 2 years) Singapore, that Malaysia was born, in 1963 on 16th September.
3/ This independence in 1957 also eventually led to us trying to erase anything and everything “British”, or as much of it as we could.
But there is one very important aspect of British rule that has never gone away. In fact, it has been adapted & has continues to this day.
Truth be told, what PM8 offered as last-ditch desperate attempt to stay in power wasn’t a bad deal. Granted politics is about compromise, the PROBLEM with it was *when* PM8 offered the deal, making his gesture seem to completely lack any genuine sincerity.
Lest we forget, it wasn’t just rejected by PH, but also by Pejuang and even UMNO.
Now that UMNO is pretty much in the driver’s seat, there is little doubt that “the deal” will completely be out of the question.
Reform is the *LAST* thing UMNO wants.
UMNO is about status quo. THEIR status quo, crafted in THEIR image, and maintained for THEIR benefit.
What I would like to know: when PH’s top guns met with PM9 prior to the recycled cabinet announcement, did Anwar/MatSabu/GuanEng *know* what the cabinet would look like?
1) In the next few days, a new PM-designate will be named. Based on what’s been circulating on mainstream and social media, it will very likely be BN's (i.e., UMNO’s) candidate, Ismail Sabri.
As I type this, a contingent of UMNO MPs are on their way to an audience with the YDPA
2) This is for the YDPA to confirm the SD of support that each has submitted
I suspect this process may also be done with those MPs who submitted Anwar Ibrahim as their nominee. Maybe, or maybe not. We’ll have to wait and see.
But this thread is not about the process
3) If Ismail Sabri becomes PM9, what we’ll get is UMNO Regime 2.0, or more likely, PN Regime 2.0?
The latter, because UMNO alone doesn’t have the numbers. It needs PPBM, the Sabah/Sarawak, and as many independent MPs.
This time around, SD support alone isn’t going to cut it tho
This is a short thread, partly to thank @TuanSahib for the recommendation, and partly to express my own takeaways from a miniseries called “Our Boys”.
So, first things first - thanks for the recommendation - certainly 10 hours (almost) well-spent ❤️
@TuanSahib 1/n - If you’re unfamiliar with “Our Boys”, it’s based on what happened in Israel, Summer 2014, a grisly murder of an Arab youth, linked to retribution over the abduction & murder of three Jewish kids.
The 10-episode series is an uncomfortable watch. And I’ll share why.
@TuanSahib 2/n - In any conflict seen from afar, it’s not uncommon for observers to take sides. That’s certainly true of the Israel/Palestine strife that’s been ongoing for over 7 decades.
And often it’s taking sides purely due to an instilled affiliation, in this case, religious
The next few tweets in this thread replicates what you’ll find on that page
(1) *Back to harassment, intimidation and censorship*
When Malaysia experienced its first-ever transfer of power through elections in May 2018, the environment for journalists became much more favourable and the country rose dramatically in RSF’s Press Freedom Index. (cont.)