I've spoken to 2,000+ companies over the last 12 months about their plans for remote work going forward

Here are a few things I've learned

[ a thread ] 💻🏠🌍
🏢 HQ’s are finished: companies will cut their commercial office space by 50-70%

The will allow every worker to work from home 2-4 days a week, and come into the office 1-2 days a week
🌍 Fully distributed: ~30% of the companies we talk to are getting rid of the office entirely and going remote-first

Companies doing this have seen their workers decentralize rapidly, leaving expensive cities to be closer to family
⭐ Access talent: The first reason they are going remote-first is simple – it lets them hire more talented people

Rather than hiring the best person in a 30-mile radius of the office, they can hire the best person in the world for every role
💰 Cut costs: The second reason they are going remote-first is because it lets them be far more cost-efficient

Rather than spending $20,000 / worker / year on office space they can provide the best remote setup on the planet for $2,000 / worker / year
📈 Remote burnout: The productivity inside the companies we’ve spoken to has gone through the roof

Their biggest concern is that workers burnout because they are working too hard

They are actively exploring ways to combat this
✈️ Remote onsites: 60%+ of companies we talk to are already thinking about ways to use time together physically to improve culture

The most popular we hear is flying the team into remote locations for ~week. Portugal, Spain, Puerto Rico seem to be the most popular
💃 Personal choice: the smartest people I know personally are all planning to work remotely this decade

The most exciting companies I know personally all plan to hire remotely this decade

~90% of the workforces we’ve spoken to never want to be in an office again full-time
🚨 Async by default: is the thing that organizations are struggling with most

The majority of companies have replicated the office remotely and it is causing strains that are beginning to show
🤕 Personal injury: These are exploding. Companies haven’t moved quickly enough to prevent them and back, neck and repetitive strain injuries are becoming a huge problem

Expect this to remedy this quickly by providing better, ergonomic equipment to workers
🌐 Universal problems: doesn’t matter the size of the organization, every company is dealing with the same thing

We spoke to early-stage companies, publicly listed tech companies, through to legacy incumbents with hundreds of thousands of employees

All will be more remote
🏭 Pollution reduction: many companies we’ve spoken to care massively about the environmental impact that eradicating the office – and the commute – will have

108 million tons of Co2 less every year
❤️ Quality of life: even more importantly companies are realizing that they don’t need to expect workers to waste 2 hours a day commuting to sit in an office chair for 8 hour

Almost every company we talk to believes that their workers will be happier as a result of remote work
😨 Remote pressure: a few companies we’ve spoken to have decided to be more remote than they initially intended because their competitors already did it

There is a fear inside companies that if they don’t go remote they will lose their best people to their competitors
👻 Remote fear: most companies aren’t scared about the quality of work that will be produced

They are scared about intangible things they can’t measure ‘quality of communication’ && ‘collaboration in person’ && ‘water cooler chat’

Many have realized these were excuses
🚀 Output over time: the measure of performance in the office is how much time you spend sat in your seat

The measure of performance while working remotely has to become output. Tools that enable this to be tracked more accurately are something we are asked for a lot
✍️ Written over spoken: documentation is the unspoken superpower of remote teams. The most successful team members remotely will be great writers

Companies are searching for ways to do this more effectively. Tools that enable others to write better will explode
👨‍💼 Flattened orgs: middle management is in trouble, an unnecessary bottlenecks which serve no tangible purpose inside async organizations

Companies need coaching and facilitators to maximize organizational effectiveness
🎟️ Company Resorts: Several companies are thinking about creating resort like compounds where work happens in person

Expect these to be built in incredible locations and focussed on providing the best on-site experience possible
👩‍⚖️ Remote Laws: Many companies are beginning to operate under the assumption that the choice to work remotely will become a legal right

This will give workers the option to choose where they work, and many companies are acting before they are forced
🛑 Meeting Death: Wasting 2 hours traveling to a meeting will end. The benefits of in-person are eroded by the benefits of not traveling

Conferences and quarterly networking events will become more important for cultivating in-person relationships
Why are these companies talking to me?

FirstbaseHQ.com

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More from @chris_herd

10 Sep
I spoke to 10 x Billion $ companies who canceled return to the office due to the delta variant

A few predictions on what else is going to happen

[ a thread ] 💻🏠🌍
☠️ Office Death: leases are expiring and not being renewed

By the time people can return to the office a lot of companies will no longer have space to return to
🏃‍♂️City Flight: workers will continue to leave the cities their offices are located in

Many will end up quitting their jobs if their companies try to force them back to the office
Read 19 tweets
9 Sep
Blows my mind some people believe going back to the office is the only way to see people IRL

Employers controlling your closest relationships is a bad thing

Your closest relationships depending on business success – where if that changes relationships end – is even worse

🤷‍♂️
This highlights so many societal issues around friendship and meaning

Go back 30 years, people had hobbies outside of work

Now, work occupies so much of your day, and commute time has grown, meaning people no longer have time for relationships outside work
People don’t need more shallow, superficial relationships that happen via full-time office work

They need deeper, meaningful relationships with the people they care about most

They need more time to do the things that make them happiest with others who share common interests
Read 8 tweets
1 Sep
I spoke to 3,000+ teams about remote working after Covid-19

This is what I learned

[ a thread ] 💻🏠🌎
🏢 HQ’s are finished: companies will cut their commercial office space by 50-70%

They will allow every worker to work from home 2-4 days a week, and come into the office 1-2 days a week
🌍 Fully distributed: ~30% of the companies we talk to are getting rid of the office entirely and going remote-first

Companies doing this have seen their workers decentralize rapidly, leaving expensive cities to be closer to family
Read 23 tweets
16 Aug
$100B+ companies are delaying their return to office plans again

By the time offices open, people will have worked remotely for 2+ years

A few prediction on what happens next

[ a thread ] 💻🏠🌍
💫 Worker Choice: millions of workers will never go back to the office full-time

Companies who let workers choose where they want to work will dominate the next decade
☠️ Office-first Death: companies who go ahead with return to office plans will be crushed

All their most talented people will leave for companies who care about their quality of life
Read 20 tweets
13 Aug
The media obsession of asking people what they’d *give up* for remote work is wrong

We ran a survey to ask people what what they *expect*

200+ people responded: what we learned is fascinating

[ a thread ] 💻🏠🌍
✅ Worker Choice:7 in 10 employees want to be free to choose where they work

2 in 10 want to be fully remote
1 in 10 want to be in office "a few days a week"

Only 3 in 100 want to be in the office full-time
🪜 Remote Support: 8 in 10 workers think companies should do whatever it takes to make remote work great

2 in 10 think there should be moderate support to help remote workers

Only 2 in 100 think companies should optimize for the office & let remote workers fend for themselves
Read 22 tweets
12 Aug
Not becoming remote-first will lead to a Trillion $ company being replaced

A few reasons why this will happen

[ a thread ] 💻🏠🌍
📜 The Past: What happened to every company that didn’t adopt computers?

What happened to every company that didn’t implement Software?

What happened to every company that didn’t accept the internet?

What’s about to happen to every company that doesn’t embrace remote work?
📊 The Data: 9 in 10 people never want to work in an office again full-time

Full-time office companies face the biggest exodus of talent in history

We are about to see the highest period of turnover in history between companies
Read 11 tweets

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