Ok, we are one month out from the first court hearing in Weisselberg trial (fastest route of 5 that each take Trump to prison for life). Hearing is 20 Sept. Manhattan DA is attempting to flip Weisselberg (and others). Let's do a preview Thread
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I was the first source on Twitter to give you a SCHEDULE for when Trump crimes get processed. I told you Weisselberg is indicted ("July or Aug"). He was (July). I told you his trial will start this Autumn. His first court hearing is 20 September
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I told you Trump faces over 25 criminal cases. FIVE paths take Trump to prison for life
1. Weisselberg (NY Taxes) 2. Giuliani (Ukraine) 3. Matt Gaetz (selling Pardons) 4. Roger Stone (Jan 6) 5. Tom Barrack (Qatar extortion)
In EVERY crime, Trump was Mafia boss. Mafia boss is ALWAYS tried last. Like with NY Taxes:
1. Michael Cohen 2. Weisselberg 3. Trump kids (Don Jr, Ivanka, Eric) 4. Trump himself
The Mafia boss is ALWAYS tried LAST. That is how this works, ALWAYS
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The NY taxes NEVER expire. Weisselberg is CAUGHT. He will lose. He defrauded about $1 million in taxes, will do 10 years in prison - FOR THIS ONE CRIME ALONE. Trump could not PARDON a State crime. Allen will do the time and pay back his due taxes
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Allen Weisselberg BEGGED Trump for a pardon. Not for NY taxes, but for his SANCTIONS-BUSTING crime, for Russia, against the United States of America. This is a TREASONOUS crime that carries federal LIFE IN PRISON, 'Natural Life Remaining': no parole
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So understand. Allen Weisselberg NY Tax fraud trial is a PRELUDE to a WORLD OF PAIN. If Allen flips, he can probably avoid most of the prison time of the OTHER 4 crimes. But has to do AT LEAST 5 years, and pay back NY taxes. He is 74 years old
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Like anyone who flips to plea-bargain, Allen has to CONFESS to ALL crimes AND testify against ALL other criminals, including Don Jr, Eric, Ivanka.. and Donald Trump. On ALL the crimes incl Money Laundering for Mafia. Incl Sanctions busting for Putin
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With that, Sept 20 is Manhattan DA vs Weisselberg, on NY Tax fraud, nothing else
NY financial crimes unit is world's largest army of financial crime prosecutors & forensic accountants, because Wall Street is world's financial center. They win 90% of time
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In tax fraud cases, the holy grail is the 'double bookkeeping' (you remember Al Capone, the movie The Untouchables, you want that accountant - he is Allen Weisselberg. You want his BOOKS). Manhattan DA has these books already. They have the COMPUTER FILES
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Allen Weisselberg MIGHT have had a chance, denying everything. Michael Cohen already provided testimony against Weisselberg. It could have been "he said/she said" argument, but Trump nr 2 bookkeeper guy, Jeff McConney has testified under limited immunity
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What sinks Allen Weisselberg, is that Donald Trump has CONFESSED to this crime in front of live audience in Florida in July. Also both Don Jr & Eric, officers of Trump Org, have confessed to the same crime on Fox. Allen CANNOT win
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Donald Trump, Eric & Don Jr tried to argue, that because some other people have committed the same crime, they should not be prosecuted for it? Imagine a murderer try that defense? Yeah, I did it, but there have been other murderers also, so let me walk..
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Allen Weisselberg committed systematic tax fraud for 12 years, totalling unpaid taxes worth about $1 million dollars. With NY penalties, he owes $3 million. His tax fraud sends him to prison for 5 years. The Grand Larceny involved doubles it to 10-12 yrs
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Juries hate TAX CHEATS. Manhattan residents pay even higher taxes than others in NY, who pay higher taxes than say NJ across the river. Manhattan is not red hat Maganutter territory, New York City voted HEAVILY against Trump. This jury will convict Allen
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Allen knew he was in hot water. He was indicted, and he surrendered July 1. He pleaded not guilty. Surrendered his passport, waits at home for his trial, first hearing 20 Sept. Since then Trump fired him from most positions of trust at Trump companies
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Manhattan DA now is putting pressure on Weisselberg. His WIFE took a tax-free Mercedes. If he does not strike a bargain, SHE goes to prison for AT LEAST 3 years. Allen's SONS took fax-free education for their kids. The sons go to prison as well
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Manhattan DA is also targeting Barry Weisselberg, Allen's son. He ran a Trump ice rink, that was a money laundering business for Trump and the Mafia. This is significant separate crime for Barry, easily 10-15 years, possibly NY state Life sentence.
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Manhattan DA has a 'Special' Grand Jury that sits 6 months, not 1 month. Its ONLY purpose is to issue MORE indictments. In 1 month it indicted Weisselberg. There will be 4-5 more indictments, coming some time before, or by Nov
Don Jr Ivanka Eric Calamari
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Remember, this is a MAFIA trial. They prosecute the criminals from smaller fish to bigger: Michael Cohen -> Weisselberg -> Trump kids -> Trump. So if one of Trump kids flips on Trump, Weisselberg testimony becomes LESS VALUABLE, his DEAL will become WORSE
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If Weisselberg stonewalls, Trump will still lose and go to prison on Trump's tax fraud. Allen himself will CERTAINLY lose, and go to prison. His family will also go to prison. But Allen will get SUPERCEDING indictments, that add to his crimes: life inside
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We learned that Manhattan DA had provided Weisselberg defense 3 MILLION documents. If Allen were to hire an army of competent FINANCIAL matters attorneys, it would take more than 260 of them to briefly scan each for 5 minutes, ..and cost Allen $20 million
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It is not CERTAIN that Weisselberg will flip on Trump
It is HIGHLY likely that he will. Allen cannot protect Trump. Allen's life gets FAR worse if he doesn't
It is CERTAIN Allen loses this trial, then he becomes convicted felon for his next 4 trials
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It is CERTAIN that Manhattan DA will prosecute Donald Trump AFTER Weisselberg (but Trump kids before Trump of course)
Why? Because DA said in the Weisselberg charging document there are OTHER TAX CHEATS and someone cheated MORE than Allen. That is Donald
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How much TIME? In July I did a preliminary count in for some of the Trumpomobsters
If Weisselberg does not flip, his 5 trials get him 122 years inside (consecutive, not concurrent time)
Donald Trump Weisselberg-related prison time is 152 years
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On Don Jr & Eric, their Weisselberg-related prison time is about 5 years tax fraud (Weisselberg 1), 15+15 years Money Laundering (Weisselberg 2) and 60 years Sanctions Busting (Weisselberg 3) = 95 years for each boy
First to flip gets less
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On Ivanka, I have not yet seen her involvement in Weisselberg 2 & 3 crimes. She is involved in Weisselberg 4 & 5. I estimate she faces 5 years taxes (Weisselberg 1), 10 years Campaign & Inaugration, 10 years emoluments = 25 years
She'll flip to cut that
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Remember Donald Trump faces FIVE paths to prison. Each will land him there for a LIFE SENTENCE without parole:
1. Weisselberg 2. Giuliani 3. Matt Gaetz (pardons) 4. Roger Stone (Jan 6)
5 Tom Barrack
Weisselberg is only FIRST and fastest way to get Trump
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Let's start this week? What is up with the 5 paths that take Trump to prison (each) 1. Weisselberg: Court hearing 20 Sep
+ 4-5 Indictments by Nov 2. Giuliani: Sept/Oct indictment 3. Matt Gaetz: Nov/Dec indictment 4. Roger Stone: late 2021/early 2022 5. Tom Barrack: Court Oct/Nov
On Weisselberg, the big question is who is next to be indicted. The ONLY reason a Grand Jury sits, is to issue indictments
It took them 1 month to indict Weisselberg. They've seen evidence for 2 months past that. We will get more: Don Jr, Ivanka, Eric, Calamari. Sometime by Nov
With Giuliani, his arrest comes some days after the Special Master has finished reviewing the evidence seized at FBI raid of Rudy's office & home. It SEEMS there is 1 or 2 devices left with very old evidence on them. THAT however, seems to be MORE crimes, that FBI did not know of
Some people are concerned about Jan 6. When they've read now my Thread about Weisselberg & NY Taxes, they feel partial relief, that ok, like Al Capone, we get Trump for something, but why not Jan 6?
We WILL get Trump for Jan 6. I PROMISE you that. Short overview Thread...
New York Taxes are a slam dunk. Nut just on Weisselberg, but the Mafia boss - Trump. Weisselberg faces 122 years for financial crimes (5 criminal cases, starting with NY taxes, 12 years). Trump gets 152 years for those same crimes
The FIRST crime to send Trump to prison is taxes
AFTER Trump is a CONVICTED tax fraud, wearing orange, doing 12 years at Rikers Island prison in New York, he will be bused to 24 other criminal trials. And now it becomes FAR EASIER to convict Trump. Of Tax fraud in Illinois, California and New Jersey. Then of Money Laundering..
When Trump was elected I decided, I must give him a chance. After exactly one year, I said, enough. And started my fight to dethrone him (ie joined the 'resistance'). From that point, I knew whatever I can do with my TW power I will
I have mostly used comedy to mock Trump (obviously to mostly no real effect)
I have tried to assist where my skills are of use, ie math. So for example midterms 2018, general elecition 2020 and the 2 impeachments. Working the numbers here for Team Blue. It is my core competence
But the LEGAL stuff? I was frustrated nobody with a proper legal degree was GIVING us that info. When will Trump's criminal trials come? How many years will he get? Which crimes are the biggies? Who will flip?
Trump WILL win the 2024 nomination EASILY. But will lose in general election by Mondale level disaster, sinking GOP Senate & House members with his horrid coat-tails
First, why will Trump win the nomination?
The Republican party primary contest is a WINNER-TAKE-ALL system. The guy who has the highest popularity, takes ALL VOTES in each state
Because Trump is FAR ahead of the pack among Maganutters #Cult45 of course Trump wins nomination when he runs in 2024 #Trump2024
Will Trump run in 2024? OF COURSE
Not because it is sane, or because he has or doesn't have a chance. It is because Trump is ADDICTED to the RALLIES. So addicted, his campaign PAID EXTRAS to enlarge his audiences - wasting money this way!
So in Weisselberg's trial, Manhattan DA has collected 3 MILLION pages of evidence. It cover 12 years of crimes. That means 250,000 documents per year. That means 685 documents produced by Weisselberg PER DAY (including Sundays)
That is utterly impossible. What is it then?
It was not 685 physical PAPER documents, that Weisselberg produced every day for 12 years. That is the PRINOUT of the FILES that Weisselberg worked on, every day (Monday-through-Friday) as Trump's chief accountant.
They are print-outs of EXCEL files. That is FAR FAR FAR worse
A medium sized spreadsheet may have 300 lines and 30 columns across (through X, Y, Z columns and then into AA, AB, AC and AD columns). To print those out, take 25 lines down and 10 columns across. 300 lines = 12. 30 clumns = 3. 12 x 3 = 36 pages printout from one sheet