Thread by @EduEngineer

British Airways lost 4 out of 4000 pilots in one month during mass vaccination.
Similarly, JetBlue lost 5 out of less than 4000.

Using reasonable assumptions, I compute p-values of 0.0140 and 0.0025:

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

Actually, the p-value for JetBlue is a little lower, but I used 4000 pilots to be quick, when the actual number is under 3800.

I used actuarial tables under an assumption of a smooth age distribution of 30-60.

#CoincidenceTheory is alive and well.

Note: this does not mean vaccines kill 1 in 850 or so healthy 30-60 year-olds. Blood clotting is well understood to be a greater risk at high altitudes. Those with clotting issues have historically been warned about flying as an increased risk.

However, it's one more serious hole in the story of anyone who tries to sell us on the notion that nobody is dying from the vaccines.

I'd be very interested in seeing airline reports of health emergencies and deaths in the skies during 2021. Anyone have that available?