La Tunisie a toujours été un facteur de stabilité en Afrique du Nord. Elle a toujours contribué à trouver un terrain d'entente entre l'Algérie et le Maroc.
Notre diplomatie vogue sans orientation depuis quelques temps.
Pris dans nos querelles, nous n'avons pas vu venir.
Sur le différend Algérie / Maroc, la Tunisie est toujours partie du principe que personne n'a tort ni raison.
Le non-Maghreb continue à nous coûter.
Décidément, la région de l'Afrique du Nord connaît bien des tensions. L'Égypte qui est loin de l'apaisement politique et social.
La Libye où l'entente nationale est assez fragile dans l'attente des hypothétiques élections. Le Sahel en proie aux conflits intérieurs et au djihadisme transfrontalier. L'Algérie et le Maroc qui se retrouvent à couteaux tirés et qui auront du mal à revenir au dialogue.
Et la Tunisie au milieu. Sans boussole institutionnelle. Qui se dirige vers une crispation de ses relations avec ses principaux partenaires. Assise sur une bombe à retardement sociale et économique.

Ça fait désordre tout ça.
Pour les pays et instances d'Europe, ainsi que les USA, il s'agit de trouver un équilibre, un arbitrage entre le protectionnisme isolationiste instinctif et le besoin de lutter contre les débordements et de maintenir une certaine stabilité au niveau de la région.
Surtout avec la Turquie en mode interventionniste tous azimuts, les Pays du Golfe qui mènent leurs guéguerres par procuration dans nos contrées, et la Chine à l'affût du recul de l'influence occidentale sur le continent africain.
Peut-être une piste pour la lecture de la déclaration de Michael Gahler ? Cette déclaration n'est pas un caprice personnel. Le tout-puissant PPE en a pesé le pour et le contre. Avec le CDU en arrière plan. Et le poids d'Angela Merkel.

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More from @AhlemHC

26 Aug
#Ghannouchi. the most hated politician in #Tunisia (surveys). Probably the reason so many Tunisians are willing to accept Saied's power grab after 10 years of democratic transition. How has he been handling the situation since July 25th through his online presence? #Thread
In 2 words: international support. He has been building a narrative for international public opinion, seeking support from foreign governments, NGOs and media. On the 25th, footage of him prevented by the military from entering the Parliament was clearly aiming at that target.
He has one official Facebook page and one Twitter account. On Facebook (major social media platform used by Tunisians), the only content published is in Arabic, mostly press releases from the party, and a couple of articles (only one in English from Middle East Eye.
Read 18 tweets
23 Aug
Kais Saïed announces on Facebook, at midnight, the extension of the "exceptional measures" until further notice. One month, no government, no plan, no deadline, no parliament, no visibility, no address to the people, no dialogue. Expected but not reassuring #Tunisia
Hard to imagine a return to "normal". He's completely shunned all national players. A couple of videos posted, a few foreign delegations met, cryptic monologues about conspiracies against him and fighting corruption, a lot of religious references, deliberate dismissal of talks
Meanwhile, house arrest measures and travel restrictions continue to be applied without due process, in an arbitrary manner. Pressure keeps growing. Most media is cautious. Political actors are mostly quiet. As well as national organizations and CSOs.
Read 6 tweets
30 Jul
A group of #Tunisian's is tweeting about the situation in the country, tweeting in English to target foreign media and decision-makers. They're doing this to counter the narrative spread by Ennahdha, Islamist party, and their operatives abroad that the President is doing a coup.
They consider that the President is acting upon the wishes of the general public, that he is supported by most Tunisians. They believe he'll fight corruption, end the reign of Islamists and restore order. His relying on the military so much is a good sign to them
The military are highly respect as they never openly interfered in politics. And today they are respected because they interfere in politics. How long will that last? Go figure.
Read 19 tweets

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