Thread: I was in an online meeting today with people talking about making the college admissions process better. I was in a room with people who literally have forgotten more about statistics than I'll probably ever know.

So I guess I should have shut up. But I didn't.
In the room were faculty experts on measurement and assessment. People from CBOs and other NFPs who were trying to make a difference in the lives of students. High school counselors. People from testing companies. And a few people who had actually done admissions.
We heard a lot about what things we could collect to make prediction better. We heard about measuring potential, about the problems with grades, about new tests and new measures and better ways to "increase access."

The three of us from admissions waited our turn.
They finally asked what we thought about all of this.

Here's sort of what I said:
It seems odd to work in this profession that at one time was almost considered so ignoble it barely had a place in the academy. That to be the focus such attention from esteemed researchers now was both tragic and comic.
I said I thought reducing admissions to a prediction equation was curious. People who do admissions would probably think so, too. After all, at the highly rejectives, things like leadership and musical talent and athletics came into play, too.
I said that if an alien from another planet came to earth, they might look at the data and surmise that the children of white, wealthy, college-education parents were the most intelligent, or the most meritorious, because that's how college admissions looks at some places.
I quoted David Brooks (not well, since he's not my favorite guy in the world): “…let’s say you work at a university or a college. You are a cog in the one of the great inequality producing machines this country has known.”
I quoted the late Fred Hargadon, who was among the first conference sessions I ever attended in 1985 in AACRAO in 1985. He was filling in at the last minute for someone else, but was still among the best things I've ever heard.
He said, "In all my years of doing this, I've learned two things: If we had to pick the worst age for someone to choose a college, it would be 17; and that the block on which you are born has more to do with where you end up in life than any other single factor."
I should have quoted @HarryBrighouse1 and his excellent talk about America's tendency to equate achievement and call it merit, and how achievement only happens if someone invests in you.

Maybe next time.
I probably broke some rule by dividing "admission" into "ad" (toward, in Latin) and "mission." I suggested admission was based on institutional mission.

And I cited Cardinal Newman's "first principles" and asked: What is the role of the admission office?
I suggested that external assessments that students haven't had the chance to study for probably don't tell us much about what they're capable of.
I reminded them that four years of high school is more similar to four years of college than anything else, and that we already had a way to measure what's happened in high school, and at most places, it's sufficient to make good decisions.
Of course, even I think GPA can be made better, and that better context will help. I offered some ideas about that, too.
I said that I was gratified by the California Regents and the discussion of testing, and happy to hear a few of them talk about how we shouldn't be mostly about "high quality in --> high quality out."
Along the way I mentioned that the largest expansion of educational attainment and the largest expansion in our economy happened when almost no one was taking college entrance exams. It was mostly GPA (not essays or LORs or anything else.)
So that's what I said. I thought it was interesting, but I'm not sure many appreciated hearing me drone on. Admissions needs fixin', people seem to think. So fix it we must.
It was good to get that off my chest, anyway. Even if it might not make much difference in the long run.

We'll see.
Oh, and #EMTalk

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More from @JonBoeckenstedt

4 Apr
Thread: This got a little crazy, and it's only been 18 hours. It's still going strong. Some observations:
I stopped trying to ❤️or reply to responses. It's impossible to keep up. So this will have to do: A mass reply-to-all, if you will.

Beyond that, there are a dozen side conversations happening, and I'm not going to get involved in the arguments, no matter how right one side is
I'm glad this touched a nerve with a lot of people. It was intended to (just maybe not so many?)

We in admissions never used to be the subject of much academic scrutiny; now the research appears to be non-stop. That's both good and bad, of course.
Read 15 tweets
4 Apr
Thread: We need to get a few things straight, people.

Those advocating for the return of the SAT in admissions because "other things seem to favor wealthy students" seem to be missing something.

Something kind of big.
Can you guess what it is?

I'll wait.

Go on, don't be afraid. I bet you know the answer but you're too shy to say it.
OK, here it is:

Everything (save perhaps one thing) in the admissions process favors wealthy students.

And people who actually do admissions for a living already know this. We don't need research to prove it to us.
Read 26 tweets
29 Mar
Thread:

Sigh. We know what this means: College admissions offices do not--because they cannot--visit every high school.

We do not have the staff or the time to visit every high school in our state each year, and we're a public university. hechingerreport.org/a-big-reason-r…
The problem of having people cover admissions who do not know--or haven't taken the time to learn--the business is that you get headlines like this based on faulty assumptions, namely, that "recruiting = visiting a high school."
Our job and our profession looks simple, as witnessed by anyone who's heard a trustee say, "we'll call on our alumni volunteers to help with recruiting." As if they'd do that when they need help with accounting or architecture or athletic coaching. Admissions is a profession.
Read 15 tweets
10 Mar
Thread: Here is a headline that's been making the rounds. Stop me if you've heard this from @DanRosensweig or any handful of others before:
Thing is, as I've tweeted before, he might be right. And it wouldn't matter too much.

Here's why.
Let's assume our focus is on the effects on undergraduates only. That makes sense, of course, as they are the biggest segment of the post-secondary market. As you can see, full-time undergrads (purple, FT UG) make up over half of all enrollment.
Read 17 tweets
17 Feb
Thread: I bet you're wondering what's going on in the mind of your friendly local EM or admissions/FA professional.

So follow along.
There are no reliable trends. We have anecdotes. Harvard up 57%. Colgate up 102%.

Princeton ended up 15% ahead of last year, probably because they dropped all early options in response to COVID-19.

Refer to this tweet if you ever ask why colleges keep early plans.
Big public universities with panache in their state are up. UCLA and UCB blew 100K apps out of the water. We're up about 35%, but our in-state rival is also having a record year.

Cal States appear to be down. Most unis with a direction in their name are seeing similar trends.
Read 22 tweets
30 Dec 20
Thread: Just because I have some vacation time this week, and because I'm interested, a little bit about colleges closing.

@collhistgarden at the College History Garden has done a good job of this, but I wanted to do something else. Here's that site: collegehistorygarden.blogspot.com
This is of interest to me for a few reasons: First, we've had a few announcements about well-known colleges closing in the last two years (some later rescinded or modified); second, colleges always close; and third, we've been hearing pundits predict this trend for 20 years.
So, how to do this? There is no perfect way, of course. But I downloaded the data of all US institutions in 2009 and 2019 from IPEDS and did a bit of analysis. It's not perfect.

Some of these places have changed names and gotten a new ID (Jefferson Davis CC in Alabama), e.g.
Read 17 tweets

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