The strategy we are going to look at today is called the Initial Balance strategy
The name is important
What's in the name?
Lots! & the game too
The Initial Balance is the first 60 minutes of trading. Now you understand why we use the word Initial .
But Why 60 mins?
Cos it would take about 60 mins for the market to show 2 sides of trade involving both buyers and sellers
Sometimes the market opens up strongly one way or another, up or down, and the first 20- 30 minutes are dominated quickly by one party only ( either buyer or seller).
But with a 60 minute window, we get a chance to see both a Buyer and a seller in action
When a market has both a Buyer and a seller participating together, we call it a fair auction or a balance.
Option charts of the MarketProfile are also there.
In this strategy called the Initial Balance strategy, we wait for the first 60 minutes to be over and take our first trade only with the Initial Balance or the IB is done.
Here are the steps
a)Wait for the IB to complete
b)Allow it an additional 30 minutes (can wait till 10.45)
c)Buy when it crosses above the day highs. Maintain a Stop loss below the vwap (not at or around the vwap)
d)If the market is moving lower, sell below IB lows & maintain a Sl above vwap
Done now what?
what about targets...
Once entry is done and risk is defined you need to use your phone calculator and quickly do a calculation as under.
a) Calculate the range of the IB or the difference in the highs and the lows of the first hour.
b) You will get a number, say 40 points for the Nifty Futures ( for example)
c) Take this number and add it to the top of the first hour range.
d) Say the first hour range was 40 points and the Nifty value at the end of the first hour was 16000. So after you add the range of the IB you get a number which is 16040.
e) 16040 is now the target.
f) If the market moves lower, then add the range of the IB to the Initial balance lows .
g) Say the lows from the Open to the first hour were at 15960. So from 15960 you reduce 40 points for the IB range and now you get a target which is 15920 for the sell side.
It's a simple strategy and has magical results.
Risk in the trade is easy to manage
Keep working on it as a #process to trade and you would see the results over time
Learning and using the correct terms are important and add a certain flavor to the process we follow.
Appropriate words help in learning and enjoying the subject.
For the trading strategy mentioned above, please note the following.
Around the last week of October I was aware of 2 big conferences which would bring together a lot of new traders, & a few struggling ones, & I had made up my mind to speak at one of these on #MarketProfile and using the message of the market well, to stay ahead of the curve(1/n)
It was a choice for me, and I wanted to offer my time to the one who first came to me. Of the two, TC had built a reputation for conducting these events, and DE was a new kid on the block with people who had previously worked with TC. So there was no choice between the 2 actually
For those unaware, the 2 groups bring together a section of speakers through a discretionary process , for benefits ranging from gate money which is the price you pay for entry to sponsorships to selling their charting software which is true for DE and so far not the case with TC