Thread by @bartbarber

Some drill-down into the survey I ran several weeks ago about CRT/I opinions in the SBC. I'll try to release some factoid daily until I run out. Here's a link to the question-by-question results again. forms.office.com/Pages/Analysis…

Today's tweet correlates how people felt about Resolution 9 (Question 34 on the survey) with how people felt about the helpfulness of CRT/I (Question 28).

Some people responded that "Everything anyone says using these theories is wrong." This is the utter rejection of the idea that even a broken clock is right twice a day. CRT/I, according to this group, isn't even ever ACCIDENTALLY right about ANYTHING. 94 respondents agreed.

Of those 94, 11 (or a little more than 1 in 10) answered that they were glad that Resolution 9 passed in 2019.

Another 176 people agreed that "If anyone says anything right using these theories, it is accidental and unimportant." This is still a strong rejection of CRT/I, of course. Of those, 21 (about 12%) were glad that Resolution 9 passed in 2019.

There were 147 respondents who agreed that "It's rare, but sometimes these theories teach us something worthwhile." At this point, we start to encounter people who are affirming the most controversial statement of Resolution 9, that it could ever be a helpful analytical tool.

Still, these 147 folks are very suspicious of CRT. Back home they'd be the folks saying that even a blind hog finds an acorn every once in a while.

37% of them were glad that Resolution 9 passed in 2019.

A whopping 558 people agreed that "These theories have a mixed record, yielding some good ideas and some bad ones depending upon who is using them." They were 74% glad that Resolution 9 passed in 2019.

There were 71 people who agreed that "These theories are basically correct, although sometimes people apply them wrongly." They were 85% in support of Resolution 9 in 2019.

The remaining 8 responses were the people who were all-in on CRT/I, agreeing that "These theories are the most accurate way available to understand race in our society." They were 75% glad that Resolution 9 passed in 2019.

Now, what's interesting to me are the MINORITIES in these categories that I just mentioned to you. If you take into account just the public Twitter debate, you'd expect question 28 to be a very reliable predictor of how anyone answered question 34.

In other words, people who can't admit to the possibility that CRT/I ever lead to the right understanding of anything would likely be unhappy with the passage of Resolution 9, while people who think these theories are at least occasionally right would be pro-Resolution-9.

Who are these people who buck the trend?

Let's look first at the 12% who chose one of the first 2 responses to question 28 but affirmed Resolution 9. These are people who are very skeptical about CRT/I.

My first guess was that these were people who were glad that Resolution 9 passed because, in their view, it revealed a problem that they are now addressing. But looking further, that seems unlikely.

After all, of those who gave highly negative responses about the usefulness of CRT/I but who affirmed Resolution 9, not a single one said that they think the SBC has embraced CRT.

Instead, I think these are people who believe (as I do) that the actual wording of Resolution 9 is quite skeptical of CRT/I, too. In other words, more than 1 in 10 of those who have the highest skepticism of CRT/I think Resolution 9 was negative enough toward these theories.

Then, on the other side, of the people who are open to the use of CRT/I, even if they expect it to be wrong more than it is right, more than a third of them wish Resolution 9 had not passed.

I'm guessing that these folks are expressing one of two feelings: Either, like the other 12% we just discussed, they think that Resolution 9 is quite skeptical of CRT/I or they just regret all of the controversy that has ensued.

23% of those who are not glad Resolution 9 passed but believe that CRT/I can sometimes be helpful have considered leaving the SBC over dissatisfaction about how we handle race or racial reconciliation. I wonder whether these wish Resolution 9 were more affirming of CRT.

That leaves 350 people who, I'm guessing, just hate the mess.

I've tried to employ the word "guess" liberally where I know that I'm going beyond the data. Apologies to @mhenslee and @Jonathan_Howe for the lengthy tweet thread.