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Sep 1, 2021 9 tweets 6 min read Read on X
**New publication alert**
What could happen to communication networks if a large #earthquake happened in the SF Bay Area, along the Hayward fault? 📞📱☎️📳
The new #HayWiredScenario chapter on telecommunications & ICT asks “what if” & explains why we should #TextNotTalk Map depicting SCENARIO distribution of shaking severity in a
Using proxies including power shutoffs, wildfires, & other earthquakes to model what happens to #telecom in a #HayWiredScenario, they found vulnerabilities in power service, cell sites on buildings and poles, and data lines crossing the fault surface rupture. Map of the San Francisco Bay region, California, showing fib
Contributing to the issue are multiple competitive service providers in a largely unregulated industry, convergence of analog and digital systems, layers of hardware and software functionality, dependence on electric power, and the rapid evolution of technology. Photo showing co-located electrical and telecom infrastructuThese photos show repair dependence between telecommunicatio
Along w/ damage to network infra & power outages, the network capacity gets jammed & stops working when 8 million people reach for their phones to communicate about the earthquake, or call friends & family to tell them what happened.
The #HayWiredScenario shows, like other recent #earthquakes, that power outages are the major cause of communication network failures. Backup power, if available, may only last for a few hours. Grid power can take much longer to restore.
High network usages combined with strained resources and damaged #infrastructure results in variable and possibly unreliable service, as it would take days, if not weeks, to coordinate the fuel, equipment, and labor to restore #telecommunication systems. Line graph showing the electric power restoration curve by c
Most of the SF Bay Area’s macro cell sites are on buildings, and small cells don’t have backup power. Investing in backup power is critical for both providers and subscribers. Also, surges in use creates extra load on systems - that’s why we say #TextNotTalk. Photo showing common setup with cell signal antennas sited a
What can you do to help?
After an earthquake - text, don’t talk. ⌨️📵
Don’t send or receive video, to reduce load on the networks.
For your home broadband equipment, make sure you have a backup power supply or generator.
Want to know more about how the SF Bay Area telecom infrastructure may fare after a large earthquake? Read the HayWired scenario Telecommunications & Information Communication Technology chapter at on.doi.gov/38i0ISU

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More from @USGS_Quakes

Jul 19, 2022
Many folks (and their kids) asked why earthquakes happen in the central and eastern U.S., far away from plate boundaries. There are many reasons! #QuakeQuestions🧵
First, the plate boundary is a lot wider than you might think. In California, most motion between the Pacific and North America plates happens on the San Andreas fault. But that plate motion is stretching the crust (and causing earthquakes) as far east as the Colorado Plateau.
In the past, the tectonic plates were very different than they are today. Remnants of ancient plates and past mountain building have left faults throughout the U.S. on which earthquakes can occur to relieve stress. And there are plenty of non-tectonic stress sources. Map of North America showing locations of faults within the
Read 6 tweets
Jul 14, 2022
Ok Oregon, you asked so we’re answering your #QuakeQuestions from Monday. If you’re not already following @OregonOEM or @PNSN1 be sure to do so as they are your go-to's for local info about emergencies and earthquakes in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest.
What’s the deal with earthquakes in Oregon? As many of you mentioned in Monday's #QuakeQuestions post, this region of the U.S. is capable of hosting very large (M9!) earthquakes along the #Cascadia subduction zone where the Pacific plate slides beneath the North American plate. Cascadia megathrust fault map. Topo-bathymetric map of the CSubduction zone schematic. Schematic cross-section of the ac
How do we know such large earthquakes are possible? Check out this thread to learn more about the 1700 M9 Cascadia earthquake – the largest known earthquake to have occurred in the conterminous U.S.
Read 10 tweets
Jan 26, 2022
Today marks the 322nd anniversary of the 1700 AD Cascadia earthquake – the largest known earthquake to have occurred in the "lower 48" United States.
This (estimated) magnitude 8-9 earthquake ruptured along the 1300-km-long Cascadia subduction zone which sits off the coast of northern California, Oregon and Washington. Topo-bathymetric map of the Cascadia subduction zone. Cascad
Here, the eastern margins and dense oceanic crust of the Gorda and Juan De Fuca plates meet their demise as they subduct beneath the lighter continental crust of the north American plate. Cross-section or side view schematic of the Cascadia Subduct
Read 9 tweets
Oct 14, 2021
An intro to earthquake prediction 🧵🧵

Individual earthquakes can’t be usefully predicted. It’s not because they’re mystical or magical. Earthquakes obey very simple physics. The issue is that earthquakes occur deep underground.
In California, earthquakes typically rupture faults at depths of ~10 mi (~15 km). We have no eyes on the fault at depth: can’t see what materials are in the fault, where they’re lubricated by fluids, how close any point is to failure, or how large an area might fail.
If you can’t see the fault at depth, you can’t directly predict what the fault will do. Instead some researchers try to correlate large quakes with other things like having small quakes – or maybe not having small quakes? It’s not clear that there is any predictive power here.
Read 6 tweets
Jul 9, 2021
Yesterday afternoon, just before 4 pm local time, a M6.0 earthquake occurred at the California-Nevada border. Let’s dive deeper into some of the regional geology on this edition of #FaultFriday.
East of the San Andreas fault, the plate boundary doesn’t stop moving. Even though ~70% of the relative motion of the Pacific-North American plates occurs within the San Andreas fault system, that leaves ~30% to be accommodated elsewhere.
Moving east from the San Andreas fault from ~San Francisco, more plate motion is accommodated at the eastern rangefront of the Sierra Nevada. If you’ve ever wondered why the Sierra look even more impressive from the east than the west, enter: active tectonics.
Read 13 tweets
Jul 9, 2021
Update on the M 6.0 #earthquake that occurred at 3:29 pm Pacific Time July 8, in Antelope Valley, California, near the Nevada border. #califearthquake You can find up-to-date details about the earthquake here: earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ev…
Shaking of intensities up to VII was reported nearest the epicenter. The quake was felt all the way to the Pacific Coast and throughout CA’s Central Valley as well as strongly in Reno and Carson City.
Did You Feel It? Report here:
earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ev…
Our @USGS_ShakeAlert earthquake early warning system sent out some ShakeAlert-powered alerts through phone apps and @Google @Android. Check out earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ev… for more information about ShakeAlert’s performance.
Read 5 tweets

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